Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us OFFICIAL Week 1 CFB bet thread™ | Page 20 | More Sports
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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 8/28/14 at 12:56 pm to
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 12:56 pm to
Good shite as always, dg.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8761 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 12:56 pm to
For tonight:

Ole Miss/BSU Under 53.5
ULM -2
Vandy/Temple Under 50
Weber/ASU Over 66.5

Will add A&M/USCe Under if it hits 62.
Posted by WinnPtiger
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2011
24970 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:01 pm to
is there a consensus on Bama WVU? I'm thinking no play. I want to bet WVU but I have this feeling Bama is gonna roll them by 40


eta: both Scar and Miss lines moved half a point
This post was edited on 8/28/14 at 1:02 pm
Posted by foreverLSU
Member since Mar 2006
17077 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:01 pm to
I've used Bodova and Sportsbook, but my big complaint with Bodova was that they didn't post CFB lines until Tuesday evenings, so it's hard to jump on a good line early the way you can on other sites.

I have to figure out how to go about the name change process with Sportsbook so I can cash out under my married name. This should be fun
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Guys I put together this little spreadsheet using information on Phil Steele's site. I sorted it and ranked the teams 1-128 in OL Career Starts returning, % of Offensive Yards Returning, % of Defensive Tackles Returning, and DL Career Starts returning.

Definitely useful information when jumping into the unknown that is Week 1 of the College Football Season.


I have to question how accurate your information is.

UTSA is returning 19 starters, yet you have them as only having 2 OL career starts returning a 3 DL career starts returning? That is impossible.

Edit - And you have them returning only 7% of their yardage and 2% of their tackles?
This post was edited on 8/28/14 at 1:07 pm
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

is there a consensus on Bama WVU?


Just don't see a good play out there.

With Bama looking to work two QBs, we could struggle to score, or we could keep scoring because we wanna get real reps for each QB. I have no clue.

Our defense should stop them from scoring. Maybe a WVU team total play?
Posted by WinnPtiger
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2011
24970 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Our defense should stop them from scoring. Maybe a WVU team total play?



I was thinking the under possibly. But like you said, Bama might not get off the gas
Posted by OutofTownAlumni
Member since Nov 2013
3036 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:06 pm to
Got USCe -11 and LSU -5.5
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6037 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

Anyone know anything about Eastern Illinois? They're playing Minnesota tonight.


They lost their coach, Dino Babers, to BGSU. Tread lightly.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36680 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

UTSA is returning 19 starters, yet you have them as only having 2 OL career starts returning a 3 DL career starts returning? That is impossible.

quote:

(Just for clarification 1 is the Best , 128 is the Worst)
It's a ranking, not a cumulative # of starts.

Teams returning well over 100% of their yardage and tackles didn't throw up a red flag?
This post was edited on 8/28/14 at 1:08 pm
Posted by Silky Johnston
DFW
Member since May 2013
998 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

I have to question how accurate your information is.

UTSA is returning 19 starters, yet you have them as only having 2 OL career starts returning a 3 DL career starts returning? That is impossible.

I had similar confusion, but I think everything there is a ranking. Not a raw number
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:07 pm to
Ah got it. I thought only the first column was a ranking. Makes sense.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:08 pm to
We looked like garbage on offense last year against VT to open in the dome, but we scored twice on special teams so we still got our points and Saban shut down the play book a bit (IMO).

This year, I think the playbook stays open for Sims and Coker.

But it is Saban's home state. He won't roll them by 50+.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
176494 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:10 pm to
You think Minnesota rolls them? Eastern Illinois was really good last season.

Their new coach is named Kim. Is that a woman?
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5703 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

I have to question how accurate your information is.

UTSA is returning 19 starters, yet you have them as only having 2 OL career starts returning a 3 DL career starts returning? That is impossible.

Edit - And you have them returning only 7% of their yardage and 2% of their tackles?


Sorry that is their National Ranking 1-128

The actual information I used to get the rankings can be found here.

LINK


Lol sorry for the Mass Confusion guys, I just like using the National Ranking system as a different way of viewing the infomation.
This post was edited on 8/28/14 at 1:14 pm
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:13 pm to
Nah it makes sense now. Good stuff.
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6037 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

You think Minnesota rolls them? Eastern Illinois was really good last season.

Their new coach is named Kim. Is that a woman?


I'm inclined to take EIU +14.5. Eastern Illinois still has several important players returning from last years outstanding team. The passing game will still be sharp as both senior receiver Adam Drake and senior tight end Jeff LePak will return. Shepard Little also returns for EIU. On the offensive line, they return a First Team All-American left tackle in Collin Siebert and first team Freshman All-American in right tackle Jimmy Lowrey. I am unsure of their QB situation though because you still need someone to get them the ball.

If anything, I don't trust the Minnesota offense. They can't throw the ball and will have to rely on the running the ball, which they have a good RB returning. However, all three of the EIU starting linebackers from a year ago will also be back. When it comes down to it, I don't trust the Minnesota offense to score enough to outscore a EIU offense by 14+ points.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

Sorry that is their National Ranking 1-128


shite, that makes a lot more sense.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

BeYou


I'm laying the lumber with Baylor this weekend vs. SMU - do you have good feels?
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6037 posts
Posted on 8/28/14 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

I'm laying the lumber with Baylor this weekend vs. SMU - do you have good feels?



I pretty much never bet Baylor lol. But I can provide some insight.

Offense will be better this season, scoring will not be an issue. With the opening of the new stadium as well, I see Briles keeping the starters in a little bit longer. We will score and get our points as we have the past few years.

Defensive wise, our pass defense is a big question mark. We return 1/4 DB (1/3 new starters does have significant playing time though) and they are inexperienced group. Supposedly just as talented/athletic but inexperienced. The fear is we will revert back to the 2011 pass defense we had, which was one of the worst in the nation. Luckily, SMU has a new QB and not much of an OLine. Our DLine will be one of the best in the Big 12 and I think that buys us time as our DB develop. If I were to bet, I would bet Baylor to cover and maybe the 1H line up to -23.5

I'm generally the type that never thinks we will cover and we where 8-0 at home last season ATS (1 game was a neutral sight game in Jerry's World against Tech).
This post was edited on 8/28/14 at 1:52 pm
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