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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 3 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 9/10/14 at 3:10 pm to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 9/10/14 at 3:10 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
ChemE in the OP
quote:
152] SOUTH CAROLINA +5½-105
Damn man, I've been reading your picks in this thread for a while now. Sucks that we're on opposite sides. Good luck man
1
Posted on 9/10/14 at 3:21 pm to B1rdman15
No worries. Sometimes I can't resist the public-hated, home dogs. Saw some stuff in this one I liked.
Posted on 9/10/14 at 3:22 pm to ChemE in the OP
I've got a fair bit invested in UGA -6. I'm confident they cover, but I love fading the public, and UGA is getting pretty much all of the action right now.
Posted on 9/10/14 at 3:24 pm to dcrews
I honestly don't think losing Dural is that huge in this game. Get to finally see Leslie and Peterson maybe and both need reps. We could be throwing again up 30 in 4th. Albeit we did like 4 times one for a score.
Posted on 9/10/14 at 3:28 pm to B1rdman15
Too many references to the A&M game being discussed in regards to this one. There is no translative property in football matchups to speak of. UGA attacks in a much different way, and one that fits worse against USCs new 3-4 in many ways, than A&Ms. We'll see though.
Posted on 9/10/14 at 3:35 pm to ChemE in the OP
Gonna eventually grab south carolina, waiting to see if i can get 6 or 7, may even tease it with another game.
Seeing dural out almost makes me want to go with ULM, but will wait
Seeing dural out almost makes me want to go with ULM, but will wait
Posted on 9/10/14 at 3:37 pm to josh336
haven't read the thread does anyone else really like Tulsa this week?
Have
Tulsa pk
aTm -31
Arkansas +3
Have
Tulsa pk
aTm -31
Arkansas +3
Posted on 9/10/14 at 4:57 pm to BeYou
Im just a littl curious about this Baylor on the road talk. As i want to try and be on the right side. Last year on the road they put up 35, 59, 63, 17, and 41. Be it the 2 lowest totals were against Kansas St and OSU. Not the biggest chumps by far.
Posted on 9/10/14 at 5:10 pm to blades8088
quote:
Im just a littl curious about this Baylor on the road talk. As i want to try and be on the right side. Last year on the road they put up 35, 59, 63, 17, and 41. Be it the 2 lowest totals were against Kansas St and OSU. Not the biggest chumps by far.
35 was against a KState team. Close game most of the way through. Baylor opened at -17.5, not sure where it closed but definitely didn't cover.
59 was against Kansas. Line was Baylor -34.5 when it opened. We won and covered.
63 was at a neutral field, we were the away team against Texas Tech. I think we covered but I didn't include it in the 1-3 on the road ATS since it was played on a neutral field at Cowboys Stadium.
17 was Oklahoma State. We got manhandled.
41 was TCU and we opened as 12 point favorites. We won 41-38 but TCU had a chance to win the game with the ball and driving before throwing an INT.
Generally, our offense isn't as efficient on the road. We struggle in the beginning before finally getting things going. The difference is that those are against Big 12 teams, we are playing a Buffalo team that almost gave up 500 yards of offense to Army last week.
Petty returns this week after sitting out last week with a broken back, not kidding. We are still missing our top 4 WRs and our backup RB but we do return on TE. Defense, which has been the surprise of the season, does not have any health issues.
Gun to my head I take Buffalo +35 because Baylor on the road has not proven yet under Briles to be Baylor at home. Poor road. ATS Injuries force a lot of reliance on our 2 true freshman WRs.
This post was edited on 9/10/14 at 5:18 pm
Posted on 9/10/14 at 5:17 pm to BeYou
[quote]we are playing a Buffalo [quote]
Buffalo is a joke but that is besides the point. It seems as the Baylor O ends up scoring what they want on the road.(not counting quality teams) it's the D that struggles mainly. But with Buffalo just being so bad how can you go the other way? If not take the Bears. I totally agree if their playing a decent conference opponent fade away. no way can you fade here though IMO
Buffalo is a joke but that is besides the point. It seems as the Baylor O ends up scoring what they want on the road.(not counting quality teams) it's the D that struggles mainly. But with Buffalo just being so bad how can you go the other way? If not take the Bears. I totally agree if their playing a decent conference opponent fade away. no way can you fade here though IMO
Posted on 9/10/14 at 5:19 pm to BeYou
quote:
missing our top 4 WRs
Did not know this! Have they been out since the opener or what?
Posted on 9/10/14 at 5:20 pm to blades8088
quote:
Buffalo is a joke but that is besides the point. It seems as the Baylor O ends up scoring what they want on the road.(not counting quality teams) it's the D that struggles mainly. But with Buffalo just being so bad how can you go the other way? If not take the Bears. I totally agree if their playing a decent conference opponent fade away. no way can you fade here though IMO
I should disclaim I rarely bet Baylor because I find it difficult to be objective. I do lean to think we won't cover the spread almost every game against a P5 school. You're right, this is Buffalo and not a Big 12 opponent. That would be an excellent reason to take Baylor -35. If we don't cover it will likely be because we get started slow on offense and not because of the defense this time around.
quote:
Did not know this! Have they been out since the opener or what?
We had 3/4 for the opener. Goodley (had a great shot at the Blitenkoff before injury) will still be out nursing a quad injury. Levi Norwood had wrist surgery and is out until our first conference game in 2 weeks. Corey Coleman is still nursing a hamstring injury. Clay Fuller broke his clavicle in preseason. Also, Robbie Rhodes should of been our 5th best WR this season but got kicked off the team for failed drug test this past off season. We are relying on two true freshman for the all the work, but they are delivering and looking very good.
We have also struggled thus far establishing the run, that is something the OLine has been working on but hasn't found its groove yet. Our YPC is low for Baylor I believe.
This post was edited on 9/10/14 at 5:23 pm
Posted on 9/10/14 at 5:23 pm to BeYou
I was just playing devils advocate. Not sure if I'll bite, but it is def Baylor or no play. Thanks for the info One of many reasons I love this board. So many fans of different teams helps a bunch
One of many reasons I love this board. So many fans of different teams helps a bunchThis post was edited on 9/10/14 at 5:25 pm
Posted on 9/10/14 at 5:32 pm to BeYou
The x-factor IMO is Baylor's defense - it has been stifling this year. Shawn Oakman is a monster and unblockable so far.
Buffalo has proven it can score vs teams like Buffalo, but this is quite the step up in competition.
This game is all about Baylor's intangibles. If they want to cover, they will. Baylor is starting a 3 game roadtrip, so that concerns me a bit.
I wouldn't bet Buffalo with someone else's money, just based on speed discrepancy. We've seen how MAC teams matchup vs Power 5 teams not from the B1G
For me, it's Baylor -35 or nothing.
Buffalo has proven it can score vs teams like Buffalo, but this is quite the step up in competition.
This game is all about Baylor's intangibles. If they want to cover, they will. Baylor is starting a 3 game roadtrip, so that concerns me a bit.
I wouldn't bet Buffalo with someone else's money, just based on speed discrepancy. We've seen how MAC teams matchup vs Power 5 teams not from the B1G
For me, it's Baylor -35 or nothing.
This post was edited on 9/10/14 at 5:34 pm
Posted on 9/10/14 at 5:45 pm to Billy Mays
The last two times that LSU has played ULM we won 51-0 in 2010 and 49-7 in 2003 I believe this offense and defense can at least replicate those performances
Posted on 9/10/14 at 6:40 pm to Westlakeguy10
To be fair, this lsu defense is nowhere near those defenses, at least with the front 7
Posted on 9/10/14 at 6:41 pm to josh336
It's also a lot better than when we blew a couple non conference teams out of the water last year.
Posted on 9/10/14 at 7:38 pm to Billy Mays
N/a
This post was edited on 9/10/14 at 7:39 pm
Posted on 9/10/14 at 9:06 pm to Westlakeguy10
Wednesday nights are so awful.
No football and the betting thread goes on life support.
No football and the betting thread goes on life support.
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