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The Packers went winless in 5 games this year where they had a win probability >80%
Posted on 1/12/26 at 8:51 am
Posted on 1/12/26 at 8:51 am
Multiple were ~95% in the 4th.
Matt's legacy in Green Bay has become his brutal tendency to absolutely meltdown and not finish games. It's happened multiple times before and FIVE TIMES this season alone...two of those within a few weeks of each other to the Bears.
In all of those games, the Packers in-game win probability was greater than 80% (Broncos) to well above 90% for the other 4. Of those games they lost 4 of them and tied the Cowboys. This from the guy who came out in 2019 and said it was going to be "all gas, no brakes".
Browns game, special teams meltdown, gave it up at the final buzzer
Cowboys, a shootout where the defense couldn't get a stop to save their lives.
Broncos, win probability was actually higher than 87% but I couldn't get the screen grab. The interception is what started the "rest of the season meltdown"
Bears 1 in December, special teams and then defensive meltdown
Bears 2, playoffs, special teams and then defensive meltdown. The D gave up 25 points in the 4th quarter.
The Packers ended the season losing 5 straight games.
Here's the trend on LaFleur in Green Bay:
2019 - 13-3, won the division, lost in the NFC championship (Niners)
2020 - 13-3, won the division, lost in the NFC championship (Bucs)
2021 - 13-4, won the division, lost in the divisional round (Niners again)
2022 - 8-9, 3rd in the division, no playoffs
2023 - 9-8, 2nd in the division, won wildcard, lost divisional (Niners again)
2024 - 11-6, 3rd place, lost wild card (Eagles)
2025 - 9-7-1, 2nd place, lost wild card (Bears)
I struggle to think of another franchise that would accept what happened this season, let alone the obvious trend of downhill performances. His teams are soft, he has no ability to outcoach the opposition in big games, and it costs us season after season. Yet, I just saw the below tweet. Might as well yell from the rooftops that you're ok with perpetual mediocrity. Or maybe they'll do like they did with Rodgers and sign him to a big contract and then try to get out of it immediately following next season.
Matt's legacy in Green Bay has become his brutal tendency to absolutely meltdown and not finish games. It's happened multiple times before and FIVE TIMES this season alone...two of those within a few weeks of each other to the Bears.
In all of those games, the Packers in-game win probability was greater than 80% (Broncos) to well above 90% for the other 4. Of those games they lost 4 of them and tied the Cowboys. This from the guy who came out in 2019 and said it was going to be "all gas, no brakes".
Browns game, special teams meltdown, gave it up at the final buzzer
Cowboys, a shootout where the defense couldn't get a stop to save their lives.
Broncos, win probability was actually higher than 87% but I couldn't get the screen grab. The interception is what started the "rest of the season meltdown"
Bears 1 in December, special teams and then defensive meltdown
Bears 2, playoffs, special teams and then defensive meltdown. The D gave up 25 points in the 4th quarter.
The Packers ended the season losing 5 straight games.
Here's the trend on LaFleur in Green Bay:
2019 - 13-3, won the division, lost in the NFC championship (Niners)
2020 - 13-3, won the division, lost in the NFC championship (Bucs)
2021 - 13-4, won the division, lost in the divisional round (Niners again)
2022 - 8-9, 3rd in the division, no playoffs
2023 - 9-8, 2nd in the division, won wildcard, lost divisional (Niners again)
2024 - 11-6, 3rd place, lost wild card (Eagles)
2025 - 9-7-1, 2nd place, lost wild card (Bears)
I struggle to think of another franchise that would accept what happened this season, let alone the obvious trend of downhill performances. His teams are soft, he has no ability to outcoach the opposition in big games, and it costs us season after season. Yet, I just saw the below tweet. Might as well yell from the rooftops that you're ok with perpetual mediocrity. Or maybe they'll do like they did with Rodgers and sign him to a big contract and then try to get out of it immediately following next season.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. This post was edited on 1/12/26 at 6:07 pm
4
Posted on 1/12/26 at 8:52 am to Chucktown_Badger
Posted on 1/12/26 at 8:56 am to Chucktown_Badger
That's the Lincoln Riley special
Posted on 1/12/26 at 9:04 am to usc6158
But will USC then look to extend him because of those performances? I feel like most other teams would fire or not renew a guy for just that playoff meltdown, let alone the others that he absolutely pissed down his leg and lost. And keep in mind, this has happened before this season as well.
Posted on 1/12/26 at 5:46 pm to Chucktown_Badger
Your title is factually incorrect, I assume they had that win probability in every game they won too.
“The Packers lost 5 games with in game win probabilities above 80%”
“The Packers lost 5 games with in game win probabilities above 80%”
Posted on 1/12/26 at 6:02 pm to TheWalrus
You’re correct. Also this little tidbit. Bears went 2-1 in these games, but yeah, let’s find a way to extend LaFleur. Unreal.
This post was edited on 1/12/26 at 6:07 pm
Posted on 1/12/26 at 7:18 pm to Chucktown_Badger
Just busting your balls a bit, you didn’t actually have to change it
Posted on 1/12/26 at 7:21 pm to Chucktown_Badger
Extremely high quality post, good work.
A+
And frick the Packers lol
A+
And frick the Packers lol
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