Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread | Page 13 | O-T Lounge
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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread

Posted on 7/3/14 at 10:58 am to
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22363 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 10:58 am to
quote:

@ericfisher: Amazingly, the U.S. has not seen a Category 2 landfall in almost 6 years. The last was in September of 2008. #Arthur
Posted by ChallboiMatt
Geechee land
Member since Jul 2013
570 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 11:02 am to
quote:

It first made landfall in Florida...


Andrew made landfall in FL as a Cat 4 with 165 MPH winds, it made landfall in LA as a much weaker (although still significant) storm with winds of 115 MPH.
This post was edited on 7/3/14 at 11:07 am
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 12:01 pm to
Looks like Wilmington may get a direct hit..
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22363 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 12:03 pm to
This guy better start making a sharper turn pretty quick or you may be right.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

This guy better start making a sharper turn pretty quick or you may be right.



I just stared at the radar for 5 minutes straight trying to figure out if its gradually turning or making a straight b line and it just seems like they will get either directly hit, or the western eyewall
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 2:22 pm to
Arthur may be making one last attempt at strengthening before landfall.



Looks like it will just miss Wilmington but catch the Outer Banks. Shear has remained light but the orientation of the shear to the storm yesterday allowed for additional dry air to get into the core of the system. The shear vector should continue to improve as the system takes on more of a NE track. I think that is part of why we are seeing the burst of intense convection wrap around the center the last couple of hours.

ETA: Latest VDM came in reporting a closed eyewall
This post was edited on 8/8/14 at 9:31 pm
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22363 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 2:27 pm to
Really pretty organization.
Posted by Sellecks Moustache
NC
Member since Jun 2014
5994 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 2:41 pm to
Thank god my aunt came here for July 4th.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 2:44 pm to
I got rained on during my commute into work this morning (Columbia, SC).

#affected
Posted by JimMorrison
The Peninsula
Member since May 2012
20747 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 3:12 pm to
Didn't rain on me going into work and I live in Charleston.

#notaffected
Posted by foreverLSU
Member since Mar 2006
17077 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 4:07 pm to
Reporting live from Duck, NC. Beautiful weather today on the Outer Banks beaches. Storm should start rolling in tonight. Most of the weather will come through during the night/early morning where we are.
This post was edited on 7/3/14 at 4:09 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Reporting live from Duck, NC


Riding it out? Good luck. NHC is still forecasting additional strengthening and the forecast track passes the center really close to there.
Posted by foreverLSU
Member since Mar 2006
17077 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 4:38 pm to
Yeah. Been planning this trip for a few months, we come to the Outer Banks every year for the 4th. My in-laws got down here on Saturday, so they did the obligatory hunker down grocery/booze run for us. My husband and I flew into Norfolk last night and got to Duck around midnight. We were definitely worried they were going to do a mandatory evacuation before we could get here.

We went to the grocery store this morning to pick up a few things and it was not overly crowded. Good number of people on the beach today too. The storm is moving fairly quickly and it looks like Saturday and Sunday are shaping up to be really nice. No Cantore sightings yet

ETA: did my part and stayed out of the water today
This post was edited on 7/3/14 at 4:42 pm
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22363 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 4:43 pm to
Arthur has turned at the very least NE and maybe even ENE
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

The storm is moving fairly quickly and it looks like Saturday and Sunday are shaping up to be really nice.


It is a small compact storm and will be accelerating as it moves past. Tomorrow afternoon should even be nice out on the beach. Stay safe until then
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

Arthur has turned at the very least NE and maybe even ENE


It is making a bit more of turn towards the east and there are a couple of towers going up right in the eyewall. Should see the northern outflow start to improve over the next few hours creating a small window for additional strengthening. Looks like the NHC is going to nail this with their call for Cat 2.
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22363 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 4:56 pm to
Looks like the cold front that is causing trouble all up the NE region of table US has caught up to Arthur.
Posted by SM6
Georgia
Member since Jul 2008
8937 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 5:27 pm to
Track shifted west, looks like the Outer Banks will get a solid hit. NC12 at Oregon Inlet is definitely getting washed out.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13929 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 5:32 pm to
Impressive storm...to those in his path - stay safe!

Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 7/3/14 at 5:33 pm to
Can someone post a trajectory graph with all the various models?
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