Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Americans Greatly Overestimate Economic Mobility | Page 3 | O-T Lounge
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re: Americans Greatly Overestimate Economic Mobility

Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:46 pm to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471408 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Dude we are taught since day 1 that if you work hard, go to school,etc you'll be wealthy/successful regardless of where you started.

Clearly it's largely bulshit

it's not bullshite, esp in terms of success (wealth often requires luck)

quote:

What's the data - over 70% have less than $1k in savings?

bad choices due to social safety nets of our socialist system. people believe in social security as a legit retirement program
Posted by Breesus
Unplug
Member since Jan 2010
69549 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Dude we are taught since day 1 that if you work hard, go to school,etc you'll be wealthy/successful regardless of where you started.


This is absolutely true.
Posted by yallallcrazy
Member since Oct 2007
830 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

I wonder if perhaps demographics or any other social information would be helpful here


Yep. Huge piece of missing data
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27341 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:47 pm to
Are people who live in poverty at risk of losing entitlements if they start to move up the ladder? Do the entitlements make them less motivated to move up?
This post was edited on 2/15/17 at 12:48 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471408 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Corporatism is late-stage capitalism though

corporatism is only available via government power, often in terms of socialist policies. America's crony capitalism was not borne from capitalist policies of our government. it was created through socialist policies of our government that gave the government the sort of power necessary to create crony capitalism
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45129 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Are people who live in poverty at risk of losing entitlements if they start to move up the ladder? Do the entitlements make them less motivated to move up?


That is a question that should be asked, but no one will touch it with a ten foot pole.

ETA: Actually, JD Vance goes over this a bit in his book Hillbilly Elegy. Really, really good book that I can't recommend enough.
This post was edited on 2/15/17 at 12:53 pm
Posted by yallallcrazy
Member since Oct 2007
830 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

The system isn't wrong, it's just that everyone is doing it wrong.

Riiight


What system will take an uneducated person who cannot do basic math or write basic communications properly and has no marketable physical skills, and bring them to economic prosperity? And if one existed, would we really want it?

Now, what percentage of the bottom 20% that has the abilities I mentioned above has been unable to at least reach middle class?
That would be a useful study. This one seems good only as a propaganda piece.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471408 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Are people who live in poverty at risk of losing entitlements if they start to move up the ladder?


it's called the welfare cliff

quote:

Pretend you are a poor, single parent of two in Chicago, earning $12 an hour, working full time, and determined to do what is best for your family. And suppose your employer, impressed with your work, offers you training for and promotion to a new job paying $15. Should you take the offer?

It sounds like a no-brainer, but it’s not.

At your present $12 an hour you are eligible for refundable tax credits, food assistance, housing assistance, child care assistance, and medical assistance worth $41,465 combined. Together with your earned income after taxes of $22,121, you are now bringing home about $63,586 a year.

If you take your employer’s offer, you’ll earn $5,451 more after taxes, $27,572. You will also become eligible for an Affordable Care Act (ACA) premium tax credit. But at that level of earned income all your other benefits would decrease by $8,336, more than your increase in net pay. That means the income you would bring home would decrease from $63,586 to $60,701.

Now, would you take your employer’s offer? What would be best for you and your family, a move up the job ladder with a loss of $2,885 in income? Or staying in your same job and keeping the larger income?
Posted by Breesus
Unplug
Member since Jan 2010
69549 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Are people who live in poverty at risk of losing entitlements if they start to move up the ladder? Do the entitlements make them less motivated to move up?



Yes and yes
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Dude we are taught since day 1 that if you work hard, go to school,etc you'll be wealthy/successful regardless of where you started.


Correct.

But in 10 years?
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

Places like Seattle, Portland, San Jose Valley, Omaha showed the greatest chance at upward mobility. While places like Chicago, Memphis, Atlanta, and New Orleans showed the poorest chance at upward mobility.

Think about it.




Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73646 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:55 pm to
It is a PUTRID measurement to set the goalpost at top 20%.

Change that number to 40% and the picture is more rosy.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

it's called the welfare cliff


My dad had an employee that turned down a raise during an annual review because of this. He talked her into accepting the raise, with the idea that this would be temporary as her ceiling was much higher.

He ran into her a few years ago and 20 years later she's the director of a nursing unit at a major hospital.
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
Member since May 2012
59583 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:56 pm to
Again, the study and thread are not about the actual upward economic mobility in America, but our perception of it.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Again, the study and thread are not about the actual upward economic mobility in America, but our perception of it.



And I'm calling bullshite on the perception that 10 years of hard work will take you from poverty to upper middle class.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:58 pm to
Yes SFP. We are in final stages of capitalism now.

We hand out pennies to those on welfare/food stamps to keep them in line. With that first of the month check for food and water, they certainly will behave and the status quo remains

That's what they (top 1%) want.

While we in middle class bitch about the lower class freeloading, the true wealthy just laugh, it doesn't impact them



This post was edited on 2/15/17 at 12:59 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 12:59 pm to
It's true but 70% of Americans have less than $1k?

You're a good little drone
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471408 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 1:00 pm to
you aren't going to solve that with more government/socialism

you may change who the wealthy are, but there will still be a ruling/wealthy class

but there will be no middle and everyone becomes poor
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471408 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

It's true but 70% of Americans have less than $1k?

thank socialism (Social Security) for creating this incentive
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 2/15/17 at 1:03 pm to
I highly doubt ~70% of our country is motivated to stay on welfare.

My lord
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