Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down | Page 36 | O-T Lounge
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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:24 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

12z GEFS is SW of the operational run and is going to have members in the Gulf this run.

Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30452 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:27 pm to
Well shite
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:29 pm to
this upcoming Euro is going to be... well... interesting, isn't it?
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
101485 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:33 pm to
I still don't see it plowing into that high pressure ridge like that. I still think it goes more westward toward Miami/south Florida
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

I still don't see it plowing into that high pressure ridge like that. I still think it goes more westward toward Miami/south Florida

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
101485 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:37 pm to
What would a 920 mb hurricane storm surge do to Chesapeake bay and the DC metro area?

Something tells me that would be bad
Posted by shallowminded
Member since Nov 2012
3130 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:38 pm to
What makes you think so?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

What would a 920 mb hurricane storm surge do to Chesapeake bay and the DC metro area?

Something tells me that would be bad

I think our federal government would be in exile for a while
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

What makes you think so?

what's he's basically saying is he doesn't see the hurricane breaking through the atmospheric equivalent of a brick wall
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:43 pm to
new Euro run is starting
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
101485 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

think our federal government would be in exile for a while


Support. Come on Irma!
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:13 pm to
up to 72 hours out in the new Euro is in... still in roughly the same place as it was said to be in the 00z run (which is not the least bit surprising)
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:19 pm to
this is a bit concerning... other runs have kept the storm just north of the islands

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43268 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:20 pm to
looks like it's moving it slower too.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

looks like it's moving it slower too.

at 120 hours it seems like it's ahead (faster) of the previous runs
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
86864 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:22 pm to
I know it's too early to put any weight behind the far out models, but is the generalized consensus still more of a east coast threat at the moment?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43268 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:26 pm to
could be i didn't look at the run last night.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

I know it's too early to put any weight behind the far out models, but is the generalized consensus still more of a east coast threat at the moment?

I'm still worried for all N Atlantic coastlines (which includes the GOM)
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43268 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:29 pm to
trough is lifting out at 144hrs
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146918 posts
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

could be i didn't look at the run last night.

last night's GFS was same area as today's (DC/Maryland landfall)

last night's Euro was landfall in Bahamas & Carolinas

ETA: this Euro seems to go back on the east side of the Bahamas at 144 hours
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 1:35 pm
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