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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/2/17 at 4:56 pm to otowntiger
quote:
How's the 18z GFS looking? Any different?
maybe a bit stronger through 96 hours than previous runs
still has it just barely north of Leeward Islands on Wednesday
ETA: so essentially the same though midday Wednesday as we've been seeing over the last day or so
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:00 pm to Chuker
quote:
this thing is going to be a nothing burger.
I think I speak for everyone when I say: I hope so.
Then again, I was wrong earlier
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 5:14 pm
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:03 pm to Hulkklogan
just noticing... it is a touch further south than it was at this time yesterday
ETA: not a lot... but enough to make a difference in the long haul
ETA2: the models... not the storm at this moment
ETA: not a lot... but enough to make a difference in the long haul
ETA2: the models... not the storm at this moment
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 5:05 pm
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:14 pm to rt3
EIGHT... NINE... FIVE
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:14 pm to rt3
889 and SW of 12z, ridge starting to build back in a bit
874 and finally starting to make the turn
874 and finally starting to make the turn
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 5:18 pm
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:17 pm to rds dc
EIGHT... SEVEN... EIGHT
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:19 pm to rt3
looks to have slowed down considerably from the 18z GFS yesterday
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:23 pm to rt3
Wherever it hits, it's damn sure going to be a monster
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:24 pm to GEAUXT
quote:
Wherever it hits, it's damn sure going to be a monster
this model is putting a major Cat. 5 hurricane within spitting distance of the Carolina coast on Friday
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:25 pm to rt3
No way this really becomes an 878 storm
These intensity models suck more than the guidance models do
These intensity models suck more than the guidance models do
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:27 pm to rt3
If I lived between Savanah and NYC I'd be making serious plans to be elsewhere a week from now
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:27 pm to Cosmo
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:31 pm to rt3
at 06z on Monday 9/11
yesterday's 18z... Irma is in Canada as a dissipating storm
today's 18z... Irma's just making landfall at the NC/VA border
yesterday's 18z... Irma is in Canada as a dissipating storm
today's 18z... Irma's just making landfall at the NC/VA border
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:33 pm to rt3
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:36 pm to GEAUXT
I have a really bad feeling about this one. I'm really hoping it just turns back out to sea.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:38 pm to Cosmo
quote:
No way this really becomes an 878 storm
These intensity models suck more than the guidance models do
That is a pretty safe bet
We can say that, as of now, the models are showing an environment favorable for strengthening as the storm approaches.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:39 pm to Cosmo
878 is plausable with the warmer than normal oceans, lack of shear, and expected shape and dynamics of the storm riding between a big high and a strong trough.
That being said the pressure is almost absurd for the Atlantic. I'd take it as saying an incredibly powerful hurricane at that point is likely but past that, expecting such a deep storm would be a mistake.
That being said the pressure is almost absurd for the Atlantic. I'd take it as saying an incredibly powerful hurricane at that point is likely but past that, expecting such a deep storm would be a mistake.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 5:46 pm to Cosmo
After dismissing the 50+ inch rain forecasts as absurd for Texas, I'm not going to discount anything.
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