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Message
re: RB Ginsburg dead 87
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:03 pm to dewster
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:03 pm to dewster
quote:
Not any any poll that was remotely accurate in 2016...
Rassmussen was the most accurate in 2016 and they have Trump's approval at 53% today. That's 4 points higher than Obama was at this stage in his presidency.
2
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:03 pm to munchman
Mother said if you don't have anything good to say, ...................
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:04 pm to dewster
guys, polling wasn't invented in 2016, and the polls that were worth a shite weren't egregiously off 
a couple of well-known junk polls got it right, because I don't have to watch football every week to bet on an underdog and get lucky
like anything else, polls give odds on what might happen, not guarantees. It's not an exact science. It's flawed and ever-changing.
But there are a shitload of smart people who work tirelessly on it. To dismiss all that education as useless because a slight underdog won in 2016 is just near-sighted at best.
That's all I'll say about it because I'm sure no one wants to really hear it, but shite, that talking point is worn the frick out.
a couple of well-known junk polls got it right, because I don't have to watch football every week to bet on an underdog and get lucky
like anything else, polls give odds on what might happen, not guarantees. It's not an exact science. It's flawed and ever-changing.
But there are a shitload of smart people who work tirelessly on it. To dismiss all that education as useless because a slight underdog won in 2016 is just near-sighted at best.
That's all I'll say about it because I'm sure no one wants to really hear it, but shite, that talking point is worn the frick out.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:05 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
Rassmussen
And that's what I'm talking about
Rassmussen got it right in 2016
They were among the worst polls out there in 2012 and 2018.
They have an inherent bias to the right and are unreliable. That one result doesn't change that.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:08 pm to NawlinsTiger9
You're gonna have a rough time come November, champ
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:10 pm to upgrayedd
That's the thing - I haven't even really said anything about one side or the other
Y'all act like I'm in ANTIFA for saying Biden is ahead in a couple of reputable polls in a couple of battleground states.
Y'all act like I'm in ANTIFA for saying Biden is ahead in a couple of reputable polls in a couple of battleground states.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:18 pm to TigerOnTheMountain
quote:
Mitch has already said they will vote on a nominee before the election.
Which is complete and utter horseshite.
We will not vote until after the election part 1
We will not vote part 2
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:19 pm to Scooba
quote:
her granddaughter Clara Spera
Aged ~30 now, graduated from Harvard Law in ‘17.
IWHI just for shits & giggles
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:20 pm to whoa
Elections have consequences.-Barack Obama
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:20 pm to soccerfüt
The definition of white privilege
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:23 pm to Adam Banks
Great rebuttal. How about holding these frickwads accountable.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:24 pm to whoa
Harry Reid says hello.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:27 pm to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
That's the thing - I haven't even really said anything about one side or the other
Y'all act like I'm in ANTIFA for saying Biden is ahead in a couple of reputable polls in a couple of battleground states.
Not really, but you said Biden is "polling extremely well in key states". You have to be either delusional, in the tank, or both to make such a preposterous statement.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:28 pm to crazyLSUstudent
quote:
Also, Republicans have only 53 seats in the senate while you need 60 to vote in a new Supreme Court justice.
You haven't been paying attention since Harry Reid implemented the nuclear option, huh?
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:29 pm to whoa
These are the rules your side laid out. Don’t be upset now because we’re playing along.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:30 pm to NawlinsTiger9
The state polls in 2016 were worse than the national polls.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:32 pm to upgrayedd
Or I’m just paying attention
PA has tightened a bit, which is probably Biden’s most important state to win as of now. FL is probably going red, which is a must win for Trump.
The other key states have Biden doing pretty damn good.
PA has tightened a bit, which is probably Biden’s most important state to win as of now. FL is probably going red, which is a must win for Trump.
The other key states have Biden doing pretty damn good.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:32 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
Rassmussen was the most accurate in 2016 and they have Trump's approval at 53% today.
Trump is polling really really well with the latino demo.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:33 pm to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
PA has tightened a bit, which is probably Biden’s most important state to win as of now.
Trump would win PA if it were not for mail in ballots. Philadelphia will likely pull Biden through 3 days after November 3rd.
Posted on 9/18/20 at 10:34 pm to OWLFAN86
quote:
If trump was smart (he's not} he nominates a moderate
lulz
And then wonders why his base stayed home on election day.
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