Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine | Page 162 | O-T Lounge
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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/31/16 at 7:43 pm to
Posted by NewNameAgain
Member since Jul 2016
20 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 7:43 pm to

The hurricane hunter is finding some stronger winds.




Here's the storm over the last 48 hours... It looks like it's getting stronger in the last few frames.

This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 8:07 pm
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 7:52 pm to
Ugh gonna be a crappy Friday
Posted by SG_Geaux
Beautiful St George, LA
Member since Aug 2004
80610 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 7:57 pm to
I guess my flight from BTR to Charlotte to Columbia on Friday night is frickED.
This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 7:58 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91492 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:21 pm to
Not sure how much stronger this thing can really get when it has little to no organization in half of the NE and SW quadrants and nothing of note whatsoever in the NW quadrant.

This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 8:21 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21249 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

Not sure how much stronger this thing can really get when it has little to no organization in half of the NE and SW quadrants and nothing of note whatsoever in the NW quadrant.


That image is actually from this morning but it certainly proves the point that the system is still a mess, esp. since current recon is still showing that the LLC is basically exposed to the NW:

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91492 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:38 pm to
Tropical Tidbits

Watch Levi's video from this evening. Start at the 2 minute mark. I've learned more from him in the past week than I've ever cared to know about tropical systems.
This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 8:42 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91492 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

That image is actually from this morning


Is it really? I thought 1:02 UTC was 8:02 CDT?

ETA: I see at the bottom there is a 22 hr data buffer.
This post was edited on 8/31/16 at 8:41 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21249 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:41 pm to
quote:


Is it really? I thought 1:02 UTC was 8:02 CDT?


The time stamp is at the bottom. I don't know what the time at the top represents
Posted by Python
Member since May 2008
6626 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:47 pm to
Water vapor loop in the OP makes it look like it's moving almost due East.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91492 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:48 pm to
On a side note, I love how they appear to be using dropsondes basically from the moment they leave the tarmac.
Posted by Leadhead
Member since Jan 2013
887 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA


Does not compute. May be true but sure doesn't seem possible
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21249 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

On a side note, I love how they appear to be using dropsondes basically from the moment they leave the tarmac.



The Global Hawk mission from yesterday dropped 90!
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91492 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA


Does not compute. May be true but sure doesn't seem possible


The approximations are a little loose. Storm coordinates to Apalachicola are 526 km. 556 km to Tampa.
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13092 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:57 pm to
Just wanted to make one point - this storm is coming in very close to where originally forecast almost a week ago. The models have been pretty good in retrospect.

Thanks for the thread. The forecast for tomorrow for where I live is 8.4 inches of rain and 50 mph winds by midnight. And if there is a strong storm surge I may have salt water under my house. But I'm happy it's not headed to Louisiana. I've got a bunch of flooded relatives that don't need it.
Posted by LakeViewLSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2009
17730 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 8:59 pm to
It does look like it's moving ENE right now. Heading for Miami.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21249 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:01 pm to
quote:


Just wanted to make one point - this storm is coming in very close to where originally forecast almost a week ago


Also, the NHC has done great on this one, their first forecast is below:

Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
10999 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:24 pm to
Yeah, I gotta hand it to them. They did great.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216346 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:24 pm to
Didn't I say the panhandle over a week ago????? Please refresh my memory.... Oh great storm tracker.......
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61622 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:31 pm to
quote:

Didn't I say the panhandle over a week ago?????


Would you please shut the fck up?
Nobody cares.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78105 posts
Posted on 8/31/16 at 9:33 pm to
Stop
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