Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine | Page 166 | O-T Lounge
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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 9/1/16 at 11:28 am to
Posted by Itismemc
LA
Member since Nov 2008
4789 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 11:28 am to
Gulf Coast Jam in PCB cancelled....
Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
14160 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 11:57 am to
Can I ask a dumb question about the NHC Advisories/Discussions?

NHC is in Coral Gables/Miami, so why are all of their discussion/advisory posts on this storm time coded in central time? For example, public advisory #16 is time coded as 10AM CDT, and then ends by giving the next intermediate and complete advisory times as CDT as well? Are all of their reports given in the time zone of the location of the eye? Will the advisories change to EDT once the eye gets far enough east?
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 11:58 am to
I'm thinking since the storm is in the central time zone RIGHT NOW
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91484 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:00 pm to
This is the first storm I can recall where they use CDT once it was in that time zone.

In the past all I remember are EDT times on updates.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51374 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:18 pm to
NWS Tallahassee's radar has gone down. Horrible timing.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51374 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:21 pm to
Noon CDT advisory has pressure down to 989 mb, Max sustained winds at 70 mph.

Almost a hurricane.



This post was edited on 9/1/16 at 12:29 pm
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:29 pm to
Looks like an eye is starting to form.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51374 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

Looks like an eye is starting to form.

Yeah, it is certainly trying. It is taking in some dry air, though, which is probably keeping this thing from strengthening even more quickly.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51374 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:32 pm to
One more radar image

This post was edited on 9/1/16 at 12:32 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43265 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:34 pm to
Hopefully not too much damage but damn gotta a strengthening system and looks like it will make landfall at night which sucks.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51374 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:35 pm to
It's also important to note the rather substantial tornado threat over parts of Florida and south Georgia with the outer bands of Hermine.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91484 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:39 pm to
For everyone's sake it is going to simply run out of time to ramp up significantly, but it is still fairly impressive in size, even if only confined to the east side. Tropical storm force winds extend 185 miles form the center to the northeast and southeast. For reference, at its largest, Katrina had TS force winds 230 miles from the center.
Posted by Sampson
Drusilla and Jefferson
Member since Mar 2012
25040 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:44 pm to
I'm here in PCB, just took off the rest of the day. No rain/wind yet, calm and quiet just overcast.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36491 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:50 pm to
It's so big, it takes a while to wrap up and organize. The surge might be surprising for some given the size too. This seems to be the norm lately, huge systems bringing a shite ton of water with them.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27328 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 12:58 pm to
so which model or models were predicting this path the earliest?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87502 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 1:01 pm to
The LPPJ
Posted by Sampson
Drusilla and Jefferson
Member since Mar 2012
25040 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 1:01 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91484 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

so which model or models were predicting this path the earliest?


Not sure exactly. 12z GFS from 8/26 had it in nearly this exact spot at this exact time though...



Pretty damn good for 6 days out.
Posted by mule74
Watersound Beach
Member since Nov 2004
12639 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 1:05 pm to
Not a drop at Alys Beach yet. Nice day other than being overcast.
Posted by CEORanter
Nacogdoches, TX
Member since Oct 2013
281 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 1:05 pm to
We never seem to get that question answered. Always on to the next sphagetti dinner
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