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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Cindy
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:15 am to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:15 am to GEAUXmedic
God damn rob perillo
2
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:19 am to Y.A. Tittle
Updated with PeeJ official track
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:20 am to S
the parallel seems like complete trash. bad news for the GFS model is this is going to be the operational soon. i think it's supposed to get another upgrade in 2019 but this upgrade seems to have ruined the model.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:20 am to hesterhamma
That bright green path looks amazing 
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:21 am to hesterhamma
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:23 am to gsvar2004
quote:
980s is cat 1? Are they predicting that?
No one is predicting anything like that, that's just model output.
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 11:24 am
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:25 am to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
quote:
the parallel seems like complete trash. bad news for the GFS model is this is going to be the operational soon. i think it's supposed to get another upgrade in 2019 but this upgrade seems to have ruined the model.
That's the conventional opinion, but i guess we will just have to see how it does
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:25 am to GEAUXmedic
NWS New Orleans:
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
The National Hurricane Center has a high chance of tropical
cyclone development during the next 2 days near the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the southern and central Gulf of Mexico. There
is still quite a bit of uncertainty in the evolution of this
system so please continue to follow the latest updates.
Depending on if a tropical system develops, east winds of 20 to
30 knots with higher gusts and waves of up to 14 feet may develop
over the open Gulf coastal waters Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Winds
may turn to the south at 20 to 25 knots by Wednesday and remain
at these levels through Friday. These conditions could result in
the continuation of Small Craft Advisories for portions of the
coastal waters Tuesday through Friday.
If the tropical system forms, persistent east and southeast winds
of 20 to 25 knots combined with high offshore seas could increase
tide levels 2 to 4 feet above normal levels on east facing shores
beginning Tuesday and lasting through Thursday.
A period of heavy rainfall could occur across Southeast Louisiana
and Southern Mississippi. A marginal to slight risk of excessive
rainfall is currently forecast for the area on Tuesday and
Wednesday. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches could occur between
Tuesday and Friday along the Louisiana and Mississippi coasts
including metro New Orleans with localized rainfall potential
for 10 to 15 inches plus.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be requested at some point over the week.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
The National Hurricane Center has a high chance of tropical
cyclone development during the next 2 days near the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the southern and central Gulf of Mexico. There
is still quite a bit of uncertainty in the evolution of this
system so please continue to follow the latest updates.
Depending on if a tropical system develops, east winds of 20 to
30 knots with higher gusts and waves of up to 14 feet may develop
over the open Gulf coastal waters Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Winds
may turn to the south at 20 to 25 knots by Wednesday and remain
at these levels through Friday. These conditions could result in
the continuation of Small Craft Advisories for portions of the
coastal waters Tuesday through Friday.
If the tropical system forms, persistent east and southeast winds
of 20 to 25 knots combined with high offshore seas could increase
tide levels 2 to 4 feet above normal levels on east facing shores
beginning Tuesday and lasting through Thursday.
A period of heavy rainfall could occur across Southeast Louisiana
and Southern Mississippi. A marginal to slight risk of excessive
rainfall is currently forecast for the area on Tuesday and
Wednesday. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches could occur between
Tuesday and Friday along the Louisiana and Mississippi coasts
including metro New Orleans with localized rainfall potential
for 10 to 15 inches plus.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be requested at some point over the week.
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 11:26 am
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:26 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
potential for 10 to 15 inches plus
Well they're certainly not talking about my bedroom.
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 11:27 am
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:30 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
There is still quite a bit of uncertainty
quote:
Depending on if a tropical system develops,
quote:
may develop
quote:
could result
quote:
If the tropical system forms
quote:
seas could increase
quote:
heavy rainfall could occur
quote:
A marginal to slight risk
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:35 am to LSURussian
quote:
quite a bit of uncertainty
quote:
if
quote:
may
quote:
could
Welcome to weather.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:46 am to GEAUXmedic
St Landry:
Due to the low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico and increasing percentages of rain over the next several days, the St. Landry Parish Government Public Works will have the Yambilee Building sandbag operation location at 1939 West Landry St. in Opelousas open from 7:30 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. this week for those residents needing sandbags. This will be a fill your own site, so residents are asked to bring their own shovel and be prepared to fill their own bags. Sand and bags will be available.
“Parish President, W.K. Bill Fontenot, advises residents to stay weather aware this week and be prepared. Review your family and business emergency plans, check disaster supply kits, and stay tuned to local weather networks in case situations change.”
Terrebonne:
The Terrebonne Parish Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness are continuing to monitor tropical system 93L near the Yucatan Peninsula. Parish officials will meet today to discuss preparations to prepare for the tropical system. The tropical system has a 90% chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm in the next couple of days. Terrebonne Parish could experience heavy rainfall, winds and tides above normal causing coastal flooding from this system. All residents are urged to begin their plans in case this storm affects Terrebonne Parish. All residents in low-lying areas of the Parish and those outside of the levee systems should be prepared for coastal flooding. Updates regarding this system will be posted as received from the National Hurricane Center and the National Weather Service in New Orleans.
Lafourche
Due to the low pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico and increasing percentages of rain over the next several days, the St. Landry Parish Government Public Works will have the Yambilee Building sandbag operation location at 1939 West Landry St. in Opelousas open from 7:30 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. this week for those residents needing sandbags. This will be a fill your own site, so residents are asked to bring their own shovel and be prepared to fill their own bags. Sand and bags will be available.
“Parish President, W.K. Bill Fontenot, advises residents to stay weather aware this week and be prepared. Review your family and business emergency plans, check disaster supply kits, and stay tuned to local weather networks in case situations change.”
Terrebonne:
The Terrebonne Parish Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness are continuing to monitor tropical system 93L near the Yucatan Peninsula. Parish officials will meet today to discuss preparations to prepare for the tropical system. The tropical system has a 90% chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm in the next couple of days. Terrebonne Parish could experience heavy rainfall, winds and tides above normal causing coastal flooding from this system. All residents are urged to begin their plans in case this storm affects Terrebonne Parish. All residents in low-lying areas of the Parish and those outside of the levee systems should be prepared for coastal flooding. Updates regarding this system will be posted as received from the National Hurricane Center and the National Weather Service in New Orleans.
Lafourche
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 11:51 am
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:48 am to GEAUXmedic
Can you translate what this means for the BR area for the next 5 days?
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:50 am to Y.A. Tittle
Well prove me wrong.....
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:51 am to S
My hiney will be clenched all week considering my flood insurance doesn't kick in for another couple of weeks.
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 11:52 am
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:52 am to tigerbandpiccolo
quote:
My hiney will be clenched all week considering my flood insurance doesn't kick in for another couple of weeks.
Where do you live?
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:54 am to rds dc
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:56 am to upgrayedd
If it tracks with the models, we'll get lots of rain in 72hrs
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:56 am to tigerbandpiccolo
Wow.... hope for the best for ya PICC...
Posted on 6/19/17 at 11:58 am to upgrayedd
I would imagine it depends on your area...10-15 inches is a lot of rain but they're forecasting that over several days. If it all came down at once you'd have a big problem and it sounds like it's an isolated area chance. That forecast could change. Just going to have to monitor it I guess. I'd prepare now to be safe. I'm not really worried about flooding here. August came close to flooding me but not quite. Just left me on an island. Only thing I'm worried about is all that rain coming down within 24 hours or something. That's the only way I'd flood because drainage couldn't handle that. Considering the flood in August didn't do that to me...I'm not too worried about this right now at least.
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 12:02 pm
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