Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us The faux Impeachment Schedule: Odds that it makes it past today? | Page 2 | Political Talk
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re: The faux Impeachment Schedule: Odds that it makes it past today?

Posted on 2/9/21 at 9:31 am to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
176473 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 9:31 am to
quote:

The likelihood of Trump's conviction has waned as the premeditation evidence mounts, and now Democrats once gleeful they could end the 45th president's ability to ever hold office again are now pressing to get the trial over quickly as acquittal seems assured.

Dims overplayed their hand? No way holy shite
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14977 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 9:32 am to
quote:

there is Senate precedent for doing so. (Grant's Secretary of War)


Two distinctions regarding that precedent: 1) Belknap resigned in order to avoid removal by impeachment (may not matter from a purely jurisdictional standpoint); 2) he was a cabinet member and not the president whose impeachment absolutely requires the Chief Justice to preside. While there is historical precedent, we are again reminded that impeachments at their core are political and not legal proceedings.

Interesting historical perspective on Belknap on the grounds why he was impeached:

quote:

An impeachment trial for a secretary of war occupied much of the Senate’s time during May 1876.

At issue was the behavior of William Belknap, war secretary in the administration of President Ulysses Grant. A former Iowa state legislator and Civil War general, Belknap had held his cabinet post for nearly eight years. In the rollicking era that Mark Twain dubbed the Gilded Age, Belknap was famous for his extravagant Washington parties and his elegantly attired first and second wives. Many questioned how he managed such a grand lifestyle on his $8,000 government salary.

By early 1876, answers began to surface. A House of Representatives committee uncovered evidence supporting a pattern of corruption blatant even by the standards of the scandal-tarnished Grant administration.

The trail of evidence extended back to 1870. In that year, Belknap’s luxury-loving first wife assisted a wheeler-dealer named Caleb Marsh by getting her husband to select one of Marsh’s associates to operate the lucrative military trading post at Fort Sill in Indian territory. Marsh’s promise of generous kickbacks prompted Secretary Belknap to make the appointment. Over the next five years, the associate funneled thousands of dollars to Marsh, who provided Belknap regular quarterly payments totaling over $20,000.


Funny, this kind of behavior now qualifies you to be POTUS.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
30257 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 9:34 am to
quote:

There will be 52-55 votes to proceed.


So the vote today to proceed only needs a simple majority?
Posted by AggieHank86
Texas
Member since Sep 2013
44345 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 9:35 am to
quote:

So the vote today to proceed only needs a simple majority?
Correct.

I almost hate to keep referencing the Belknap impeachment, but it does provide some useful instruction.

In that case, ALMOST enough Senators agreed that they lacked jurisdiction, but more than half voted that they DID and could proceed. After the trial, the vote was essentially the same as the procedural vote, but it did not reach 2/3 so he was not convicted on the articles of impeachment.
This post was edited on 2/9/21 at 9:37 am
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
176473 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 9:37 am to
quote:

There will be 52-55 votes to proceed.


Which is for all intents and purposes the final vote. No one is going to vote against it proceeding then vote to convict. They could end the whole dog faced pony show after that vote today.
Posted by AggieHank86
Texas
Member since Sep 2013
44345 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 9:41 am to
quote:

Two distinctions regarding that precedent: 1) Belknap resigned in order to avoid removal by impeachment (may not matter from a purely jurisdictional standpoint)
Agreed. In another thread, I discussed the fact that this distinction exists. Agree that it is probably a distinction without a difference, on the procedural question.
quote:

2) he was a cabinet member and not the president whose impeachment absolutely requires the Chief Justice to preside
That is DEFINITELY an important distinction in designating the presiding officer. I don't think it makes one whit of difference on the jurisdictional question.
Posted by AggieHank86
Texas
Member since Sep 2013
44345 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 9:45 am to
quote:

quote:

There will be 52-55 votes to proceed.
Which is for all intents and purposes the final vote. No one is going to vote against it proceeding then vote to convict. They could end the whole dog faced pony show after that vote today.
A few folks in the Belknap case voted differently on the procedural vs substantive issue, and THAT Senate was almost as fractured as this one.

It DOES raise an interesting question, to me.

If a Senator LOSES on such a procedural point, does his oath on the impeachment trial (to act as an impartial fact-finder, in essence) REQUIRE him to attempt to set aside that disagreement and to address the substantive issue separately and objectively?

I think that the answer to that question is "yes," but I don't think that most Senators in this adversarial political environment will have the fortitude to do so.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
30257 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Correct.

I almost hate to keep referencing the Belknap impeachment, but it does provide some useful instruction.

In that case, ALMOST enough Senators agreed that they lacked jurisdiction, but more than half voted that they DID and could proceed. After the trial, the vote was essentially the same as the procedural vote, but it did not reach 2/3 so he was not convicted on the articles of impeachment.



What a huge fricking waste of time and taxpayer money.
Posted by dafif
Member since Jan 2019
8186 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 11:34 am to
I will never understand why trump did not file in fed court a motion to stop this. Clear violation of constitutional rights.

Easy for court to rule constitution not followed without being political.
Posted by AggieHank86
Texas
Member since Sep 2013
44345 posts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

There will be 52-55 votes to proceed.
Pretty close.

56 votes to proceed.
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