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re: "TRUE" State of the Race based on Trump / Biden campaign events
Posted on 9/24/20 at 6:44 pm to Magician2
Posted on 9/24/20 at 6:44 pm to Magician2
quote:
But the white suburban woman thing is real and this board dismissing it is ridiculous.
I think it depends on where you live. I live in the Preston Hollow area of Dallas and while not a suburb of Dallas it might as well be because it has tons of college educated white women there who are consumed with Orange Man Bad.
Not all suburban women are the same. The ones here in Preston Hollow are different than those in Metairie or St. George. The closer to a major US city the suburbs are, the more cucked the suburbs will be. Manchester in New Hampshire is right next to Boston.
1
Posted on 9/24/20 at 6:53 pm to SirWinston
I don't believe any poll, chart, majority of Conservatives do not react to polls, poll'rs, and definately not to individuals asking them who they are voting for.
Been this way for 10+ years. Which is a big reason Trump won, he had always been ahead, but the voters didn't talk. Silent majority
Been this way for 10+ years. Which is a big reason Trump won, he had always been ahead, but the voters didn't talk. Silent majority
Posted on 9/24/20 at 6:54 pm to RICHIE APRILE
I still feel like something is off in New Mexico. I know it's a solid blue state, but Trump lost by 8% in 2016 and the libertarian former governor got 10%. That means 70% of those votes are going to Biden and the state is basically half white half hispanic/latino. The latino vote there has not grown for Trump at all because the last poll I saw had Biden up 15%. I'm not saying Trump is going to win it, for for some reason something there doesn't feel like it adds up to me. I'm probably totally wrong, but it's something I'm stuck on lately.
Posted on 9/24/20 at 7:00 pm to Magician2
quote:Why? What has he done the last 4 years except allay the fears that he'll wake up one morning and nuke Russia.
I just don't see how anyone thinks he'll still do well in the suburbs
Posted on 9/24/20 at 7:44 pm to Jake88
Why do people think he’ll have a huge suburban woman problem vs 2016
Posted on 9/24/20 at 7:57 pm to Magician2
2700 votes in 2016. Not out of question
Posted on 9/24/20 at 8:28 pm to Clemsontigers02
quote:
Why do people think he’ll have a huge suburban woman problem vs 2016
Even if he does, he can still close that gap big time between now and the election.
Suburban white women want to feel safe. These riots have helped Trump with that demographic, IMO. He just needs to keep hammering home the point that if Biden wins, this domestic terrorism and riots will come to your neighborhood.
Posted on 9/24/20 at 8:31 pm to Eat Your Crow
New Hampshire governor Sununu is very popular in the state and is pro trump, and makes that well known. That helps trump tremendously.
Posted on 9/24/20 at 8:45 pm to LSUSkip
I felt that exact same way about Wisconsin in 2016. There was ZERO energy for Hillary compared to Obama. I didn’t see a ton of energy for Trump like I did in Ohio or PA, so I didn’t really think he’d win.... but yah I get what you’re saying. I have a hunch Nevada could be that way too.
Great point about Gary Johnson btw
Great point about Gary Johnson btw
Posted on 9/24/20 at 8:48 pm to clhawkins19
quote:
New Hampshire governor Sununu is very popular in the state and is pro trump, and makes that well known. That helps trump tremendously.
Yeah. New Hampshire could be the rare example of reverse coattails. Sununu - a moderate Repub - is very popular up there and he will be on the ballot for re-election this year. I think the strategy is probably let him drag Trump across the finish line.
Also, I live in Virginia and heard some local state party wizards on the radio saying the Trump team thinks they can flip Virginia and that's why he is visiting and has it marked for future campaign events / politicking. Possibly just talk, but it lines up with what I have been seeing and hearing everywhere. Governor blackface and his carpetbagger marionettes up in Arlington/Fairfax have really pissed people off the past few years. You push people in this state too far left or right and they snap back.
Posted on 9/24/20 at 9:53 pm to SirWinston
quote:
I have a hunch Nevada could be that way too.
If the dems go hard after the SC nominee(we know they will) both of those states will change drastically. They don't have really large urban areas, and hispanic/latinos are catholic. In NM itself, catholicism makes up 30% of the religious population.
Posted on 9/24/20 at 10:07 pm to ValDawgsta
quote:
It’s gonna be very close and likely come down to a tight race in PA in my opinion.
Which is terrifying, because there is no way Trump wins that state with the fraud they will see.
He will be ahead Wednesday morning, but will be 5% back by the next Monday.
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