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re: Update: Situation in Iran thread
Posted on 2/25/26 at 12:33 pm to VolInBavaria
Posted on 2/25/26 at 12:33 pm to VolInBavaria
Moving ships to open water makes them harder to target. It could also be a sign of escalation readiness.
0
Posted on 2/25/26 at 12:37 pm to VolInBavaria
quote:
I’m not a military expert at all, can someone explain if there’s any significance to the ships moving to open sea?
Think about the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor and the term "sitting ducks."
Posted on 2/25/26 at 12:39 pm to VolInBavaria
quote:
I’m not a military expert at all, can someone explain if there’s any significance to the ships moving to open sea?
Either they are planning something or intelligence told them missiles or attacks are imminent.
Ships are exponentially safer at sea than tied up.
Posted on 2/25/26 at 12:41 pm to Indefatigable
quote:
Ships are exponentially safer at sea than tied up.
Especially with the silent service lurking in the depths below
Posted on 2/25/26 at 12:44 pm to bayoudude
Bit of a weird spot for the subs. Obviously incredibly effective but the gulf is pretty narrow and shallow. I’m sure we’re poking around under there but I don’t know if it’s exactly prime territory for our 688’s and VA’s
We don’t need SSN’s to dispense with Iran’s navy. I’d guess our boats are in the Arabian Sea ready to lob missiles. Wouldn’t be shocked if one of the SSGN’s is slinking around there or the eastern Med.
We don’t need SSN’s to dispense with Iran’s navy. I’d guess our boats are in the Arabian Sea ready to lob missiles. Wouldn’t be shocked if one of the SSGN’s is slinking around there or the eastern Med.
This post was edited on 2/25/26 at 12:46 pm
Posted on 2/25/26 at 12:53 pm to Indefatigable
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:11 pm to VolInBavaria
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:17 pm to hawgfaninc
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Diego Garcia just revealed the mission has changed. And nobody has noticed.
New Chinese satellite imagery from February 24 shows something that was not there during Midnight Hammer: F-16 Fighting Falcons on the tarmac. Two of them. Alongside two P-8A Poseidons, a C-5M Super Galaxy, a C-17, and three KC-135 tankers. The base is accumulating every mission category simultaneously.
Here is why this matters more than the carriers, the F-22s, and every headline combined.
In June 2025, the B-2s that hit Fordow flew from Whiteman Air Force Base, Missouri. Round trip. Continental United States to Iran and back. Diego Garcia was not the launch point. The bombers do not need the atoll. They never did.
So why is Diego Garcia being armed?
Sun Tzu: “All warfare is based on deception. When capable, feign incapacity. When near, make it appear that you are far away.”
The entire world is watching the Gulf. Two carriers. 500 aircraft. 11 F-22s in Israel. C-17s on ADS-B. The buildup is the most visible American military operation since 2003. Every OSINT account tracks it. Every Iranian intelligence officer monitors it. The Gulf is the noise.
Diego Garcia is the signal.
F-16s do not deploy to a coral atoll 3,000 kilometers from Iran for deterrence. They deploy when you need combat air patrol protecting high-value assets at the base itself, or when you need sortie generation beyond the range of every Iranian ballistic missile that can reach Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. Al Udeid sits within Shahab-3 range. Diego Garcia does not. It is the one base Iran cannot touch.
The C-5M Galaxy is the aircraft that moves what C-17s cannot. THAAD components. Patriot battery packages. Entire maintenance architectures for sustained operations you have not announced. Two P-8A Poseidons instead of one means submarine surveillance has shifted from periodic to continuous across the Indian Ocean approach to Hormuz.
And the UK is saying no. Politico confirmed Starmer denied strike authorization from British territory. The assets are landing anyway. Either Washington has consent it will not publicize, or Washington has decided operational necessity overrides the objection.
Meanwhile China photographs every arrival and publishes it, handing Iran real-time intelligence on the one base that determines whether the refueling corridor from Missouri to Fordow stays open.
The Gulf buildup is what you are meant to see. Diego Garcia is what you are meant to miss.
Every carrier transit was announced. Every F-22 departure was tracked. Every C-17 was visible on FlightRadar. But nobody briefed the F-16s arriving at a coral atoll in the Indian Ocean at night.
The loud preparation is the shield. The quiet preparation is the sword. And the sword is on a runway that Iran cannot reach, Britain cannot control, and China cannot stop photographing.
Watch the noise. Miss the war.????????????????
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:22 pm to hawgfaninc
2 F-16s? 
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:23 pm to Jbird
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:24 pm to Jbird
Have we bombed Iran yet?
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:24 pm to VolInBavaria
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:25 pm to VolInBavaria
Again 2 F-16s? What are they supposed to be doing?
Give me your assessment please.
Give me your assessment please.
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:25 pm to Jbird
quote:
2 F-16s?
That would require about 26 air refueling to get to Iran with a combat load.
If anything it’s a signal to the Brits that we’ll use the base how we see fit.
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:26 pm to BOHICAMAN
quote:
That would require about 26 air refueling to get to Iran with a combat load.
quote:
If anything it’s a signal to the Brits that we’ll use the base how we see fit.
2 F-16s going to do all that?
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:28 pm to Jbird
I was being facetious about the number of refuelings, but F-16s are notorious for their short legs.
What do you think their presence at Diego Garcia means?
What do you think their presence at Diego Garcia means?
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:30 pm to BOHICAMAN
quote:
but F-16s are notorious for their short legs.
quote:They diverted for maintenance, one had issues and another diverted with him.
What do you think their presence at Diego Garcia means?
The C-5 very well might have the Advon, or maintenance package of parts and maintainers for the deploying Vipers.
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:36 pm to Jbird
quote:
They diverted for maintenance, one had issues and another diverted with him.
Do you know this for sure or is it an educated guess?
quote:
The C-5 very well might have the Advon, or maintenance package of parts and maintainers for the deploying Vipers.
2 747s landed there yesterday as well.
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:38 pm to VolInBavaria
Posted on 2/25/26 at 1:53 pm to BOHICAMAN
Past experience tells me with a high degree of certainty.
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