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PresidentJerry
| Favorite team: | LSU  |
| Location: | Oakdale |
| Biography: | The next president of the US |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 53 |
| Registered on: | 8/13/2018 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Forum
Message
re: Trump's Impeachment Odds Surge following Manafort Conviction
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/22/18 at 12:11 pm to mtntiger
A poll? Lol Where did u see anything about a poll? This is a bet and I think ppl are coming to realize its a legit possibility Trump gets impeached.
Its really hard to argue that he "For Sure" won't be impeached.
Its really hard to argue that he "For Sure" won't be impeached.
2
re: Trump's Impeachment Odds Surge following Manafort Conviction
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/22/18 at 12:05 pm to memphis tiger
Put your money up bro. You can more than double it if you're so sure.
re: Trump's Impeachment Odds Surge following Manafort Conviction
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/22/18 at 12:04 pm to Jbird
Does that change the odds in any way lol? Nothing you can think of to reply to Vegas huh, who typically doesn't give money away.
re: Trump's Impeachment Odds Surge following Manafort Conviction
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/22/18 at 12:03 pm to FLTech
The odds are from Bovada moron. I checked them myself.
Trump's Impeachment Odds Surge following Manafort Conviction
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/22/18 at 11:56 am
Will @realDonaldTrump be impeached by the House in his 1st term?
Yes -115 (53.5% chance)
That's up from +200 odds (33.3% chance) a month ago.
LINK
From Bovada, don't shoot the messenger.
Yes -115 (53.5% chance)
That's up from +200 odds (33.3% chance) a month ago.
LINK
From Bovada, don't shoot the messenger.
re: CNN: Michael Cohen is not going to cooperate with government
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/22/18 at 8:09 am to HeyHeyHogsAllTheWay
Well they'd have to prove Trump did it and if he didnt do it, then whats the problem?
I've read Hillary killed like 50 ppl but thats just ppl talking. If she really killed all those ppl she would be in jail.
Why are ppl so worried about Michael Cohen if our president did nothing wrong?
I've read Hillary killed like 50 ppl but thats just ppl talking. If she really killed all those ppl she would be in jail.
Why are ppl so worried about Michael Cohen if our president did nothing wrong?
re: CNN: Michael Cohen is not going to cooperate with government
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/21/18 at 1:43 pm to SundayFunday
Wut
re: CNN: Michael Cohen is not going to cooperate with government
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/21/18 at 1:38 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
If Trump didn't do anything wrong, then why does it even matter what Cohen does?
If theres a possibility he could "flip", then Trump did something wrong. If not, what is everyone worried about?
If theres a possibility he could "flip", then Trump did something wrong. If not, what is everyone worried about?
re: Per ABC Cohen has reached a plea deal with SDNY
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/21/18 at 1:36 pm to tigerinDC09
To pay the girl? Thats a campaign violation. Uh oh!
re: Keeper League - Pick 2
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/21/18 at 12:20 pm to Upperdecker
Good insightful post. I ended up going Hopkins & Hill for the record. 1 stud and 1 value play. I'll also be able to keep Hill next year in the 11th rd whereas I wouldn't have been able to keep with Freeman which factored into my decision a little.
Based off of the other Keepers, it looks like I'll snag a Top 10 RB with my first round pick so I should be in good shape. Also, this is a .5 ppr.
Based off of the other Keepers, it looks like I'll snag a Top 10 RB with my first round pick so I should be in good shape. Also, this is a .5 ppr.
re: Who should I keep
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/20/18 at 10:50 am to FatClemanza
Juju barely over Drake. Juju will be a starter for the year and Drake may not be.
Keeper League - Pick 2
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/20/18 at 10:48 am
DeAndre Hopkins - 2nd round (pick 13 overall)
Devonta Freeman - 5th round
Tyreek Hill - 14th round
Alex Collins - 16th round
I was thinking Hopkins and Tyreek (1 stud, 1 value pick) but I played out the draft and the difference between Freeman (#20 overall) and Tyreek (#32 overall) was a bigger value drop off than anything I'll get in the 5th round.
I could have 3 Top 20 players (1st round pick, Hopkins, Freeman) or 3 Top 32 players (1st round pick, Hopkins, Tyreek) + a 5th round pick.
Pick 2. I feel like u need studs to win leagues. What u guys think?
Devonta Freeman - 5th round
Tyreek Hill - 14th round
Alex Collins - 16th round
I was thinking Hopkins and Tyreek (1 stud, 1 value pick) but I played out the draft and the difference between Freeman (#20 overall) and Tyreek (#32 overall) was a bigger value drop off than anything I'll get in the 5th round.
I could have 3 Top 20 players (1st round pick, Hopkins, Freeman) or 3 Top 32 players (1st round pick, Hopkins, Tyreek) + a 5th round pick.
Pick 2. I feel like u need studs to win leagues. What u guys think?
re: FCC shuts down Alex Jones’s radio station
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 1:39 pm to Parmen
They probably caught wind of his "the government is poisoning kid's juice boxes and turning them gay" comment.
re: Calling it; Manafort Walks....
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 1:36 pm to More&Les
Will Manafort be convicted of a federal charge by 12/31/18?
Yes -350 (2/7)
No 275 (11/4)
@Bovada
You're probably wrong but if you think you're right u can make some money.
Yes -350 (2/7)
No 275 (11/4)
@Bovada
You're probably wrong but if you think you're right u can make some money.
re: Graphic: FPI Probability of wins by week
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 1:31 pm to Greace
U can't look at last years schedule and not know this years is much, much tougher.
re: Graphic: FPI Probability of wins by week
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 1:30 pm to TigahJay
I really dont see this being that far off. We will be major underdogs in like 3 games this yr and underdogs in a few more.
re: Graphic: FPI Probability of wins by week
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 1:29 pm to PenguinPubes
I'd say 50% chance to beat Miami, 98% chance to win W2 and 25% to win @ Auburn so whatever that would work out to.
I could see 10% chance to start 3-0.
I could see 10% chance to start 3-0.
re: TRUMP cancels military parade!
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 9:32 am to Vecchio Cane
If I'm in debt, I'm not gonna go buy something I dont NEED lol.
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 9:29 am to NC_Tigah
NC Tigah scared to death, that is the easiest thing to see on this Friday morning.
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 9:28 am to Taxing Authority
Please name me a good modeler...or one that has been more successful than Nate Silver.
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 9:27 am to gthog61
Some ppl want this info now tho. Of course these percentages will change by then. They're ever-moving.
You can look at his numbers on a daily basis now until the election. Why do u hate numbers so much?
You can look at his numbers on a daily basis now until the election. Why do u hate numbers so much?
re: TRUMP cancels military parade!
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 9:01 am to LSUTigersVCURams
Good this was pretty idiotic for a country that is $20 trillion in debt and hasn't done something like this in decades.
We dont need to show off our arsenal, everyone knows we're the best. Be humble!
We dont need to show off our arsenal, everyone knows we're the best. Be humble!
re: Is Daryl Morey losing his mind?
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 9:00 am to ThanosIsADemocrat
Well he put together a team that took GS to 7 games and probably would have won barring an injury. I think u gotta respect Morey.
re: Serena Williams says Kaepernick would win the Super Bowl if signed
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 8:57 am to High C
Yall really butthurt over an article about Serena Williams talking about the NFL? I mean come on guys u know she'll say something like this in an interview.
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/17/18 at 8:30 am to NC_Tigah
They were the closest on DJT among most polls and I'm pretty sure about 5 days before the election it was like 67/33 or something. Anyway I dont care how Silver does.
I'd be willing to bet Nate Silver's pick in 2020 against you if you think he sucks that bad.
I'd be willing to bet Nate Silver's pick in 2020 against you if you think he sucks that bad.
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/16/18 at 2:25 pm to GumboPot
Flawed because it doesnt support ur party?
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/16/18 at 2:09 pm to LuckyTiger
Kinda like how win totals are half points. LSU's win total is 7.5. I've got some buddies who cant wrap their head around it.
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/16/18 at 2:07 pm to Tony Tiger89
$20?
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/16/18 at 2:01 pm to Tigerdev
He got like 99 out of 100 states right in the two previous elections before '16. He's pretty good at what he does.
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/16/18 at 1:59 pm to Tigerdev
Right, he didnt say it was a 100% chance HRC would win, I think it was like 62-64% around election day so pretty much 1/3 chance Trump would win.
re: Great prognosticator- Nate Silver &538- 75% Dems take House
Posted by PresidentJerry on 8/16/18 at 1:58 pm to Covingtontiger77
Also, I will bet anyone that the Dems will take back the House. Not sayin its gonna happen but Bovada, PredictIt, and Smarkets all show the odds with the Dems. I'll try Vegas' take and u can take Trump.
Any takers?
Any takers?
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