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re: The CIA installed the Shah in 1953, and installed Khomeini in 1979
Posted by Lee B on 3/3/26 at 8:13 pm to Harry Rex Vonner
quote:
This forum is not interested in actual true history
0
quote:
Biden gave "super high end" weapons to Ukaine?
and he didn't replace it! Luckily Trump replaced all that in his first term, before Biden was in office to give it away, if I read what he wrote correctly...
quote:
There is no country coming to help Russia or save Vlad.
"Ukraine better come to the table."
re: Geopolitical security analyst on War Room says US munitions inventory nearly depleted.
Posted by Lee B on 3/2/26 at 1:41 pm to Bass Tiger
quote:
I do know the Biden Administration took new air defense missile batteries that were slated to be delivered to Taiwan and redirected those systems to Ukraine.
Source?
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We guaranteed Ukraine's security in the 1994 Bucharest Memorandum. Why would our security guarantee mean anything now?
exactly!
quote:
This could be a breakthrough on the diplomatic front if true. Wonder if Ukraine's counteroffensive is straining Russia more than is being reported> IMO there is no way Russia allows the USA to protect Ukraine like we protect Israel if his military isn't about to crap out on him.
Unless he believes the US would renege on the security guarantees... which I would believe if Trump is still in office.
quote:
The noose tightens around Venezuela, Cuba about fold as well as Iran.
Trump will try his hardest to rescue Russia.
FIFY
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Lee B on 3/1/26 at 3:13 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
I never thought Putin would be so stupid as to actually trigger an Article 5 response. But as he is and has been isolated from much of the military reality in this war, stupidity abounds.
If it comes to an open fight with the FSB over Russian hearts and minds due to full conscription in St. Petersburg and Moscow, plus the economy and the goring of the siloviki, both sides will resort to major frickery. In that circumstance, Putin wagging the dog in the Baltics has to be considered a possibility.
The thinking would be a short cross-border incursion with a quick withdrawal would serve his purposes of enforcing his position as leader of the motherland against NATO without the long-term entanglements. Did I mention stupidity?.
The Poles would not wait for the NATO decision but interpret and declare this as a direct attack on their sovereignty and cross the border with both Lithuania and Ukraine.
I'm no Jake Sullivan fan, but this was exactly what he was worried about. But the Russia he was concerned with is not what we see today. Polish air power and ground forces streaming into Ukraine would be a 'Lafayette, We Are Here' moment and no one would stop at the Russian border.
At that point, Putin would be finished.
Putin moved a bunch of his tactical nukes to Belarus about 3 years ago... and everyone assumed that was directed at Poland.
re: Who said it?
Posted by Lee B on 2/28/26 at 5:54 pm to CastleBravo
quote:
Some idiot that has no clue and has been proven to be wrong.
:rotflmao:
You're right! Look up who said it!!!
quote:
how?
what in that Q post points towards right now
And it was dead next in 2018!!! Nothing happened inbetween! Boy, he really nailed it!!!
quote:
quote:
It should be easy to overrun Estonia in a day, two at most. Yes that is still an issue
DaFuq they will. I don't buy that crap anymore.
The Russians can't take a Ukrainian town of 26k, you think they are taking a NATO country of 1.4M? Especially while the Russians are tied down in the Ukraine?? When they couldn't take back their own town of Kursk????
The Estonians aren't going to go against the Russians alone, there will absolutely be a large number of countries coming to their aid, starting with Poland, Finland, Sweden, France, and the other two Baltic States. And I can tell you exactly how this war is going to be fought, the only concern is whether or not NATO is ready for the drone aspect, and they still have time to be so
So, no - the Russians aren't overrunning shite.
Again, I'm done giving the Russians credit. If they want to attack the Baltic States, let them. I say NATO kicks their teeth in.
As gamed out in NATO war games, the Russians COULD sweep across Lithuania from the East (Belarus) and West (Kaliningrad) and separate the Baltics from Poland by land (which is their plan that was leaked a while ago)... and the 3 countries would not fare well in drone attacks (Shaheds, down to smaller drones...)... they could be overwhelmed, with big numbers of troops, even though their militaries are better trained and possibly better equipped. All of this could happen in a day or two, and Article V takes 5 days to be invoked for NATO.
But if this happens, the Baltics would strike Moscow and St. Petersberg with missiles (NATO has given them permission to do this IMMEDIATELY in case of an invasion)... and Ukraine has proven Russian air defense is lacking...
I believe Poland has stated it would immediately jump in the fight with the Baltics, so I guess they're working out how to do that if the land route through the Siwalki Gap is controlled by the Russians.
And would Finland and Sweden jump in before Article 5 is invoked and shut down the Russian Navy in the Baltic Sea?
In the present scenario, it's assumed by Europe that Trump would say "well, who cares?" and the US would not join NATO in defending the Baltic States or Europe from Russia.
quote:
Aren't they all Muslims?
One thing is for sure, the Taliban has gotten a ton of great hardware thanks to Biden.
Planes and helicopters they don't know how to fly or maintain? Tanks they can't get parts for?
Pakistan is the better-trained and much better-equipped military, here... and also a nuclear power, thanks to Reagan.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Lee B on 2/26/26 at 8:41 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
For four years of war against Ukraine, Russia has carried out at least 151 hybrid attacks across Europe.
According to the International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT), 172 individuals were involved in these operations.
Researchers say 95% of them had no formal ties to Russian intelligence services. Financial gain was the primary motive for most, while only 26 were described as ideologically driven.
Hybrid attacks include acts of sabotage as well as other tools such as cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns, and support for separatist movements.
Putin's Russia is a mafia state... Russian organized crime is one part of his command structure.
quote:
Russia's plan on paper sucked - it straight F'ing sucked.
(and the rest of the post)
Thank you.
I'll dig up the assessment that concluded Russia would've been mostly driven out of Ukraine by now IF Trump and Musk had not engineered a series of setbacks for Ukraine whenever Ukraine gained the upper hand.
Musk is just an opportunist and he's now made the call that Team Putin is not the winning side for him.
Trump is a VIP member of Team Putin. He's trying to become America's Putin... he'd prefer every country had a Putin in charge.
quote:
It's still a narrow highway through a swamp. Hitler lost some tanks and men in it, along with it hiding marauding bands who harassed Hitler's rear
yeah, there's no way that one would work out differently... and while the world shuddered at that however many miles long caravan headed to Kyiv, it was a gauntlet... just attack the first five vehiles and the rear five vehicles and everything in the middle was stuck... then the troops have to run into a marsh and trudging forward on foot is difficult and they're picked off... so they just started walking back to Belarus when the water ran out, and they had not packed food. The fact that they ran out of gas helped, too...
quote:
The vector from Belorussia via a single road through a swamp 40 miles long was stupid. Easy for Ukrainian artillery to be dialed in trapping it
My good buddy who joined the Ukrainian military for a year+ said he asked something about why the modern paved highways just end and turn into dirt roads, and the answer was "defense!"
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Lee B on 2/24/26 at 1:42 pm to Auburn1968
quote:
Russian soldiers being killed faster than Kremlin can recruit them
This seems to be the same artticle, with no paywall
Sun.US: PUTIN’S DEADLY CHURN Russians ‘being killed faster than Kremlin can recruit them’ – as Zelensky shares new glimpse of his war bunker
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Lee B on 2/24/26 at 12:06 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
The last thing the world needs is more buttons and more fingers that could potentially push them
Absolutely!
That's why Trump shattering confidence in NATO and the US Nuclear umbrella is so awful...
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Lee B on 2/24/26 at 12:05 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
A war foretold:how the CIA and MI6 got hold of Putin’s Ukraine plans and why nobody believed them
This article incorrectly states that Zelensky did not believe the reports... I've seen lots of reporting that says exactly the opposite, but he had to downplay and dismiss it in public to stop a panic, and if a panic had happened then Putin would've achieved many of his goals simply by invading deserted areas. The Ukes had intelligence (from the West, but also from Ukrainian women honeypotting idiotic young Russian soldiers on dating and hookup apps) that told them that the invasion was disorganized, undersupplied, and that the troops were not even told what was actually happening. They used that to their advantage... they knew the routes, with the path to Kyiv being the most vital to protect... there were also Uke special forces in Belarus and Russia doing sabotage of the invaders in the weeks before... while simple typical Russian military corruption and graft helped them out a lot, too (gas was siphoned out of military vehicles and sold... provisions were stolen and sold, ammo was stolen and sold).
To the discussion we're having about the way the initial invasion played out... Ukraine had the advantage because they were more prepared for it. They had a clearer picture of the reality of the Russian military's condition, which both Putin - himself - and the West did not... and they had been preparing for this invasion since Crimea. Obama publicly offered blankets, but he had the CIA and the Pentagon behind the scenes get to work restructuring the Ukrainian military and intelligence services... which was much smarter and more effective than giving them weapons when they had a corrupt and relatively useless former Soviet military. Still, pure numbers should've given Russia a huge advantage... except thise numbers were stuck in mud somewhere and not enthusiastic about the mission once they figured out what it actually was...
apparently a six-month old revelation not enough people noticed?
MSN: Putin on the code: DoD reportedly relies on utility written by Russia-based Yandex dev
US cybersecurity firm Hunted Labs reported the revelations on Wednesday. The utility in question is fast-glob, which is used to find files and folders that match specific patterns. Its maintainer goes by the handle "mrmlnc", and the Github profile associated with that handle identifies its owner as a Yandex developer named Denis Malinochkin living in a suburb of Moscow. A web site associated with that handle also identifies its owner as the same person, as Hunted Labs pointed out.
I guess it's not as important as TikTok?
MSN: Putin on the code: DoD reportedly relies on utility written by Russia-based Yandex dev
US cybersecurity firm Hunted Labs reported the revelations on Wednesday. The utility in question is fast-glob, which is used to find files and folders that match specific patterns. Its maintainer goes by the handle "mrmlnc", and the Github profile associated with that handle identifies its owner as a Yandex developer named Denis Malinochkin living in a suburb of Moscow. A web site associated with that handle also identifies its owner as the same person, as Hunted Labs pointed out.
I guess it's not as important as TikTok?
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