Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us User Profile: Ailsa | TigerDroppings.com
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Registered on:5/12/2020
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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread

Posted by Ailsa on 3/3/26 at 5:34 pm to
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Every Democrat outraged by President Trump’s action against Iran was silent when Biden's weakness emboldened the regime

re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread

Posted by Ailsa on 3/3/26 at 5:16 pm to
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China has zero leverage and they know it. This is what strategic leverage is and this is what happens when you rely on psychopathic unreliable partners.


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China buys 80% of Iran’s shipped oil. Beijing has a $400 billion, 25-year cooperation agreement with Tehran. China is Iran’s economic lifeline. If any country on earth has leverage over Iran, it is China. And China is now using that leverage to demand the Strait reopens.

But the Strait was not closed by a sovereign decision. It was closed by the withdrawal of reinsurance capacity from five to ten firms, mostly in London, backstopping twelve P&I clubs that cover 90% of global tonnage. Iran did not order those firms to withdraw. Iran cannot order them to reinstate. Neither can China.

Even if Tehran capitulates entirely tonight and the IRGC stands down, not a single reinsurer reinstates Gulf war risk coverage on a phone call from Beijing. Reinstatement requires rebuilt risk models, voyage-by-voyage re-underwriting, repriced treaty capacity, and a threat environment that actuaries can quantify. None of that exists while 440.9 kilograms of weapons-grade uranium remains unaccounted for and the IRGC is still launching drones at Oman.

China has leverage over Iran. China has zero leverage over Lloyd’s of London.

This is the part nobody is modelling. The country with the most to lose and the most leverage over the belligerent cannot fix the mechanism that actually closed the Strait. Because the mechanism is not geopolitical. It is actuarial. And actuaries do not take calls from the Politburo.

re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread

Posted by Ailsa on 3/3/26 at 5:08 pm to
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A caller from Iran recounted an unbelievable scene today to @kambizhosseini.

He said that after Sepah Square in Karaj was struck, IRGC forces were running in panic - “like headless chickens,” scattered and terrified, unsure where to go.

Moments later, the Special Forces headquarters was bombed - a building reportedly packed far beyond its normal capacity, with several times more personnel inside than usual.

According to the caller, the casualties were so heavy that hearse vehicles were seen repeatedly transporting bodies away from the site.

Here is a video of the bomb.
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It’s official: Trump just nullified 92% of Biden’s executive orders, citing illegal autopen use. Democrats in full panic. EMERGENCY DECREE signed. Perjury charges on the table. Full breakdown inside.

TRUMP NUKES BIDEN’S AUTOPEN ORDERS – 92% OF DOCUMENTS TERMINATED BY EMERGENCY DECREE

FULL STORY HERE: https://amg-news.com/its-official-democrats-in-full-panic-mode-as-92-of-bidens-orders-terminated-by-emergency-decree-over-illegal-autopen-use-march-3-2026/
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data centers are losers for the people of this nation.

horrendous for environment, and tax payers get stuck with paying for the energy after their huge down payments run out.


Exactly.

re: The 2020 theft was a blessing

Posted by Ailsa on 3/3/26 at 2:34 pm to
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We are now 36 trillion in debt. Its not a blessing, you are just coping. Our country was stolen from us and our treasury emptied. All of our savings accounts and 401ks were slashed in half in terms of purchasing power. All those hours worked, for nothing.


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