Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us User Profile: SpreadsheetAg | TigerDroppings.com
Favorite team:Texas A&M 
Location:Bayou City
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Number of Posts:178
Registered on:1/20/2010
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What you really mean is all those teams dodged Texas A&M. HTH

re: Rank SEC Coaching Jobs

Posted by SpreadsheetAg on 11/13/25 at 4:26 pm to
1. Alabama
2. Texas A&M
3. Georgia
4. Florida
5. Oklahoma
6. LSU
7. Tennessee
8. Auburn
9. Texas
10. Ole Miss
11. Missouri
12. Arkansas
13. Kentucky
14. Miss. State
15. South Carolina
16. Vanderbilt
In general, the Aggie Offense has outperformed the formula prediction (+10-14 pts) and the Aggie defense has underperformed slightly (-3-4 pts)..

It's 6-0 so far this year on Aggie games (obvisouly); but I also had:

BAMA 41 - Vandy 22
UGA 31 - Ole Miss 22
Texas 27 - Vandy 24

So straight up predicting the winner - it's been pretty golden... final score accuracy hasn't been the best.

2025 StatSim - UGA vs texas

Posted by SpreadsheetAg on 11/13/25 at 4:00 pm
As requested (does not include player individual stats)

quote:

Now do TU at UGA so that I can get more nervous than I am already...

What site is that? Lotta info...


Custom job; I can do t.u. @ UGA ... it'll take me about 1-2 hours and it won't have the individual player stats, but it shouldn't take too long


Last ~ten meetings:
11/2/2024 @ *South Carolina (9-4) L 44 20
10/28/2023 vs. *South Carolina (5-7) W 30 17
10/22/2022 @ *South Carolina (8-5) L 24 30
10/23/2021 vs. *South Carolina (7-6) W 44 14
11/7/2020 @ *South Carolina (2-8) W 48 3
11/16/2019 vs. *South Carolina (4-8) W 30 6
10/13/2018 @ *South Carolina (7-6) W 26 23
9/30/2017 vs. *South Carolina (9-4) W 24 17
10/1/2016 @ *South Carolina (6-7) W 24 13
10/31/2015 vs. *South Carolina (3-9) W 35 28
8/28/2014 @ *South Carolina (7-6) W 52 28

Average score at home vs USCe => 33-17 Ags
quote:

putting the starters back in to preserve the shut out


Yall scored 10 points in the 2nd half...?
We don't travel well ... to Missouri... it's flyover country. We prefer places actually in the south.
Its fairly good...

Except for the debacle that were the Jimbo 2022 and 2023 seasons, it's been very good at picking the winner straight up.
Will be a tough one for A&M. Mizzou is good on both sides of the ball, but they are starting a fish at QB (he's good, but he's still a fish - that's a rough spot).

quote:

Auburn in the wire-to-wire winners group is amusing.


Its the referees!
Another for Defense vs Offense for P4 teams (plus ND)

X.com Link also

Are you surprised by your teams performance?

X Link to Bill Radjewksi's Post

If LSU wins, you both have the change your logo to aTm

If the Ags win, I will change my logo to aTm

re: 2025 StatSim: Texas A&M at LSU

Posted by SpreadsheetAg on 10/21/25 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

Is there anything you see that caused last week to deviate so much?


Referees allowing the Arkansas OL to bear hug our DL on every play in the 4th quarter and never call holding? Or calling back Reed's 56yard TD run because of "holding" that last .13 seconds and was 7 yards away from the path of Reed after he already ran past the big DL that was never, ever going to catch Reed as he ran past the entire Arkansas defense...?

Do I sound bitter? I may be a little bitter about that game... but a W is a W
There is an advantage given for home field in the formula...

If I change it to "Neutral" then it comes in at 26-19 Aggies; if I change it to Home for A&M, it comes out to around 29-18 Aggies

So LSU is in effect getting about 6-7 points aggregate for being at home vs A&M being at home.
quote:

As a Tiger fan, F**k you and the Aggies With that said, I hope y'all hang 50 on us


Trust me, from 30 years of watching Aggie Football, I get this 100%
Luck. Go back and look at where each were ranked preseason and it was thought to be a daunting schedule.

Turns out- a lot of teams suck this year and the Manning Hype was like Fyre Festival

2025 StatSim: Texas A&M at LSU

Posted by SpreadsheetAg on 10/21/25 at 8:13 am
Gonna be a close game on the road... but my model mirrors the betting line this week.

quote:

I have Texas A&M by one TD, but an Aggie Blowout of Arkansas wouldn't be the least bit surprising.


FIFY

Georgia vs Ole Miss - StatSim

Posted by SpreadsheetAg on 10/16/25 at 4:29 pm
As requested by Tornado Alley on the Texas A&M at Arkansas - StatSim thread

See below for UGA hosting Ole Miss


quote:

Do one for Ole Miss and UGA please.


I could do any abbreviated one perhaps - won't have the "playmakers" section

**DONE**; see here: UGA vs Ole Miss - StatSim

Texas A&M at Arkansas - StatSim

Posted by SpreadsheetAg on 10/16/25 at 9:24 am
Looks like a blowout on paper... hope that holds.

They had one Kick-Off Return allowed versus an FBS opponent (Arkansas State) and it went for a 98-yard touchdown. I think they'll do everything they can to kick everything through the endzone and not allow Concepcion to return one.
They are also bad a punt return defense... and punt returns.... and kick off returns....
They are also really, really, really bad on all facets of defense; just horrid.
But! they've played 4 top-20 offenses in a row (probably attributable to them being on the defense and their horrid defense showing up on the other team's stat sheets)... but still.
We will be the 2nd best offense they've played and the best defense they've played.
Tennessee is a paper tiger; good offense and really bad defense; it's the only reason Arkansas was within 1 score of winning.
Top 3rd Down Defense (Aggies at 20% allowed) versus Top-5 3rd Down Offense (Arky at 55%); I feel we don't keep the streak up, but they don't achieve more than 40% conversions either.
Officially, I think the score may be tighter than the model indicated. I am personnaly prediction a 38-24 or 38-28 type of game. But We could score ALOT more, if we're clicking. However, it being on the road and Moss being out; I think Vegas is closer than my model; and I would bet the Ags to cover (if I placed wagers, which I don't).

*** This is not betting advice and I take no responsibility if you use this data to place wagers and lose ***



[Note: Just noticed a made a booboo on the QxQ and opponent record section ; Arkansas is 2-4 (0-2); no 2-3 (1-1)... forgot to replace the Florida record from last week.]
He'd jump at Florida, LSU, or Auburn; easy decision for him.
quote:

You have Bama - Vandy?

I just think they’re an absolute matchup nightmare for Bama given the injuries up front and don’t understand the line or the O/U unless they see Vandy gashing Bama for explosive plays and Bama smoking Vandy through the air.


Very Hasty stat comparison:

Looks like a 2 TD favorite for A&M which is in line with Vegas oddsmakers' projections...

(Any other big games you want to see side-by-side for this upcoming weekend?)