Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us User Profile: wm72 | TigerDroppings.com
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re: Tuesday SEC Basketball

Posted by wm72 on 3/3/26 at 5:45 pm to
Bama is already a #3 for Palm/CBS and i think Lunardi. Finishing the season with 2 wins will separate them from couple of others on that 3/4 boundary that play each other or no Q1 games.

Reason is likely their Wins Above Bubble (WAB) number that has seemed to be a bigger deal for the committee than NET recently. Bama is 7.
It's definitely a tough game with the short break after the big win at Tennessee.

It's a big game too. Bama will very likely be a NCAA #3 seed going into the SEC tourney if they close out with 2 wins.

re: Tuesday SEC Basketball

Posted by wm72 on 3/3/26 at 5:13 pm to
Alabama @ Georgia game perhaps has more on the line than meets first glance.

Alabama will likely be a NCAA tourney 3 seed going into the SEC tourney if they can win their last 2 games.

Georgia is a solid 9 seed right now. Beating Alabama would give them a decent chance of getting off the 8/9 seed line.

Huge advantage to getting a 3 vs 4 seed or 7 vs 8/9 since this year's NCAA #1 seeds are much less prone to upsets than the #2 seeds.

quote:

frick, what reason would that income not be taxable while the middle class drowns...


The reason these bills have so much support from politicians is push from the rich boosters that pull their strings.
Without the state income tax, booster NIL payments go that much farther in competing to recruit players.
The extra way to win Alabama is missing this year is much more that the 2 biggest inside muscle options are out for the season.

They could win slugfest games against teams that have a lot of big upperclass muscle guys in the past.

Offense has a very high ceiling if they're knocking down 3s but still more than effective enough when they're not.

Problem against teams like Arizona or Florida is simply allowing offensive rebounds on over 1/2 the missed shots.

re: Saturday SEC Basketball

Posted by wm72 on 3/1/26 at 1:04 pm to
Elite 8 run for anyone other than Florida may be mainly Bama and that''s simply because the win over Tennessee coupled with their Wins Above Bubble numbers gives them a decent shot at a 3 seed.

An SEC team with a 3 seed would probably avoid any of the behemoths until the Elite 8.

re: Saturday SEC Basketball

Posted by wm72 on 3/1/26 at 12:42 pm to
Agree but also think that elite group Bama or Arky couldn't upset is mainly the size of Michigan, Arizona, Florida and Duke. Maybe UConn but I havent even watched them this year.

There's likely gonna be some 2 seeds like some of Illinois, Houston, Iowa St that Arky or Bama matches up better with depending on draw.

re: Saturday SEC Basketball

Posted by wm72 on 3/1/26 at 11:36 am to
It's not really going out on a limb to say the only teams with a good chance to make the Sweet 16 are the ones not seeded 8 or worse.

The 4 SEC teams that'll be seeded 3 through 5 have about the same chance as that seed indicates to win 2 games and play in the 2nd weekend.

Do agree that Bama, Arky (and Vandy) probably have a lower ceiling as far as upsetting most of the 1/2 seeds to make it to the elite 8 due to being thin on true big men.


re: Saturday SEC Basketball

Posted by wm72 on 3/1/26 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Only two or three teams have a legit shot at the second weekend unless they get favorable seeding. UF is the only one that can beat an elite seed


I think you guys are maybe confusing "second weekend" with Elite 8?

Alabama, Tennessee, Arkansas or Vandy would only need to beat a 4/5 seed like Nebraska, Virginia, Louisville at toughest to reach the Sweet 16/second weekend. Those are hardly more elite teams than they are.

re: SEC NCAA Tourney watch

Posted by wm72 on 3/1/26 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Net seems to be the most emphasized metric when they compare different bubble teams though.


I think that's because it's the one metric that is somewhat based on different criteria when the resumes are pretty similar.

However, I think the committe actually uses WAB more than NET in ranking teams but commentators don't talk about WAB as much.

I actually don't really like how NET is calculated and think it is over applied since Q1-4 are already based on NET.
Scary. We need to redistribute more middle class money to defense contractors ASAP.

re: Saturday SEC Basketball

Posted by wm72 on 3/1/26 at 9:35 am to
quote:

Unfortunately, I do not see anyone making a deep run, except for your Gators. I suppose with the right draw, Arky or Bama could, but I would not be surprised if Florida is the only SEC team playing in the second weekend


I wouldn't go that far. I could easily see Arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee in the Sweet 16. They'd only need to beat teams ranked around them as 4/5 seeds like Nebraska or Virginia in the toughest possible matchups to do that.

I could actually see some of the other SEC teams simply win two games and get the Sweet 16.


I do agree that it would be surprising for any of these to knock off a #1 or #2 seed and make it to the Elite 8.

re: SEC NCAA Tourney watch

Posted by wm72 on 3/1/26 at 9:27 am to
NET intentionally does not reflect quality of wins and losses.

That's what Q1-Q4 records are for and also Wins Above Bubble (WAB). And WAB is probably the most reflective of any of these in where the committee actually seeds teams.

NET is mainly just opponent adjusted performance stats that do not consider wins or losses.

For example, if your season was playing Duke 10 times and losing all 10 games 85-83 but thereby having almost the same stats as them your NET would be almost the same as theirs.

If you beat 10 mediocre teams 85-83, you're NET would be almost the same as those mediocre teams.

NET is supposed to accompany quality wins and losses and not necessarily reflect them.


re: FedEx can EAD

Posted by wm72 on 2/28/26 at 4:34 pm to
I ship and receive a lot with my small business. I avoid ever shipping with Fed Ex and also try to avoid buying supplies from any company using them.

They are so bad and it's mainly due to their policy of ripping off their delivery "subcontractors" to the point that they just get rid of packages like hot potatoes.

USPS and even UPS are immensely more reliable for me.
quote:

Has a lot to do with the teams we played.


That's a good point. Even though there's an adjustment for opponents, it's usually not really enough to compensate for the differences in games where an inferior team lets you feel really comfortable running offense and one that makes everything a war.

On a side note, that's where I think our defense struggles. The attempt to play so much to statistics works ok but doesn't often seem to just completely frustrate opponents. Which you can do easier at the college level than the NBA.

re: Saturday SEC Basketball

Posted by wm72 on 2/28/26 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Oklahoma needs to be looked at again for the NCAA if they win their last three games. They've won three of their last five and are playing good basketball


They're playing pretty well. Even winning their last 3 games probably won't be enough though. Teams that make it in with that amount of losses almost always have some big offsetting factor like multiple great wins (Q1-A) and/or really high NET/WAB.

I think Oklahoma would at least need a tourney run added to that where they beat a couple of the higher ranked SEC teams.

College for whatever she's most interested in is what I tell my niece. The happiest people I know, by far, are ones that have learned how to enjoy life more than live life on a mission to "make bank."

quote:

generate "negative four-wall" income


This phrase perfectly matches the flavor in their food.
Sure there's some really good stats with Philon below the top 50 but It just means we've been even better on offense in the minutes played with Holloway + Allen + spot up shooters.
quote:

If we're to be governed like a Christian nation, let's get with it and make some laws. Make divorce and adultery a crime. Allow companies to fire people for missing church. Put your money where your mouth is. Unless you hate the Lord, of course


Or really put your money where your religion is and sell all that you have and distribute to the poor to have treasure in heaven.
quote:

I’m really struggling to understand this situation with white women.

Is it trying to relive high school as a popular girl?


In most cases I'd guess this. It's a small town type I've seen way too often:

Gets married right after HS, stays in small town and has kids.

Is bored and unfulfilled and too focused on small town school culture and everything else is drudgery.

Believes high school was the best years of her life and, sadly, they actually were. They were the only years she ever had "fun".