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Chromdome35
| Favorite team: | |
| Location: | Fast lane, behind a slow driver |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | Life in the fast lane, behind a slow driver |
| Number of Posts: | 8020 |
| Registered on: | 11/27/2010 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/15/26 at 2:28 pm to texag7
quote:
I would say the accuracy of ISW reports hover around 10%
Which makes them 10% more accurate than yours.
0
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/14/26 at 10:01 pm to Chromdome35
https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/14/world/ukraines-new-defense-chief-reveals-200-000-soldiers-have-gone-awol-and-2-million-are-draft-dodging
quote:
Ukraine estimates that 200,000 of its soldiers are absent without official leave (AWOL), meaning they have left their positions without permission to do so, the country’s new Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov revealed on Wednesday.
Speaking in the Ukrainian Parliament ahead of the vote that confirmed him as the new defense chief, Fedorov also said some 2 million Ukrainians are “wanted” for avoiding military service.
The Ukrainian military has been under strain for years as it tries to defend the country against a much bigger and stronger enemy. Conditions along the frontline have been brutal, with Kyiv’s troops often trying to hold onto key positions even as they find themselves outmanned and outgunned.
Rumours of low morale and high desertion rates have been swirling around for a long time, but Fedorov’s comments mark the first time any Ukrainian official has disclosed the scale of the problem.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/14/26 at 8:33 pm to VolSquatch
I have seen nothing on Ukrainian numbers.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/14/26 at 6:01 pm to LSURussian
Where is JB/AF to tell everyone they don't know what they are talking about on the Russian casualty numbers?
I've seen multiple reports over the last week on the Russian KIA numbers, and they are all in the same general vicinity.
I've seen multiple reports over the last week on the Russian KIA numbers, and they are all in the same general vicinity.
re: 2026 SEC Baseball Helmet Schedule
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/14/26 at 3:59 pm to SEC Doctor
ARK-LSU is my favorite series every season, it is a bummer we won't have it this year.
re: 2026 SEC Baseball Helmet Schedule
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/14/26 at 2:07 pm to bigDgator
Arkansas doesn't have to play TN, Vandy, LSU, AM or Texas this year???
Wow. Easy Schedule
Wow. Easy Schedule
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/13/26 at 9:08 am to texag7
quote:
They don’t have the capability.
Back your statements up
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/12/26 at 10:55 pm to T1gerNate
Looks like Russia moved up some on the flanks
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/11/26 at 10:37 am to Coeur du Tigre
Russian MilBloggers aren't feeling it these days.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
“WE CAN DO IT AGAIN” HAS FAILED
So, the Ukrainian war has now lasted longer than the Great Patriotic War [of 1941-1945].
One can say with confidence: the long-standing propaganda slogan “We can do it again!” has confidently failed.
We can’t.
In the fifth year of positional slaughter in Ukraine, both the leadership and the top-level command nodes (civilian and military) remain intact.
The bridges across the Dnipro and major railway hubs are intact. And our infantry is forced to pay with bodies (people versus drones) for turtle-paced advances.
All of this is already leading to irreversible perturbations inside the Russian Federation after the war. My soul feels extremely heavy. I am restraining my emotions as much as possible.
It is already clear that all the benefits of this war will be reaped by the USA and the PRC, while Russians are left with blood, ruins, and losses. This is, without a doubt, a case of “we have outsmarted everyone” and a triumph of foreign policy.
After 1,418 days of war, our military reputation has been severely undermined. The United States is openly mocking us. And it’s not just about what happened in Venezuela.
The point is that American military analysts say: the Russian Federation failed to achieve full air supremacy, as a developed country is supposed to do, and therefore slid into a losing war of attrition.
…It is obvious that the Russian Federation is being steered toward a forced end to the war and toward further stagnation in the role of a poor and weak “junior partner” of Washington in the confrontation with the PRC.
At the same time, Kyiv receives security guarantees from Washington, NATO troops on its territory, and investments of 800 billion dollars in the reconstruction of Ukraine.
An entire era is coming to an end: when the authorities of the Russian Federation were engaged exclusively in imitating great-power status rather than creating it in reality. When PR and propaganda triumphed over real life…
In 2026, this war will be forcibly brought to an end.
After it, the Russian Federation will face the harshest hangover and “withdrawal.” A Transition (of power) is inevitable, along with shifting responsibility for what happened onto a specific individual and an analogue of the “debunking of the cult of personality at the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union.”
This will be followed by painful attempts to reform the failed political and economic models. A new attempt at perestroika awaits us.
I reject the version according to which, after the "special military operation," an extremely harsh regime with an “electronic concentration camp” and ruthless repression will be established in the Russian Federation.
Because our “elite” is mortally afraid of such a scenario. Because it understands that repression would begin grinding it up first, launching a bloody redistribution of property and control over financial flows. Any attempt to “tighten the screws to the limit” would be extremely short-lived. The scenario of “withdrawal due to fatigue” is far more realistic.
I call on all true Russian patriots (let the pro-Western traitors go to hell) to think about how to live on. How to act in the most difficult and dangerous post-war period.
I also address non-resource industrialists who, with enormous effort, are saving their enterprises, agro-industrial producers, and scientific-technical entrepreneurs. And the smartest among the siloviki as well. You should think too.
We will have to pull the country out of a severe crisis comparable to the late 1980s. Here everyone must fulfill their duty and know their maneuver. For now, I’ll say no more. But I will speak when the time comes…"
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 11:00 pm to CitizenK
Armenia basically told Russia GTFO because Russia couldn't come to their aid.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 4:29 pm to CitizenK
The US and Israel are the two biggest winners if Iran falls.
There could be a decent peace dividend if all the terrorist groups that Iran used to fund get cut off from their sugar daddy.
There could be a decent peace dividend if all the terrorist groups that Iran used to fund get cut off from their sugar daddy.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 3:40 pm to CitizenK
Ok, thanks for educating me.
So another non factor to losing Iran.
I'm not really coming up with anything other than a loss of prestige and further proof of its impotency to do anything about it.
So another non factor to losing Iran.
I'm not really coming up with anything other than a loss of prestige and further proof of its impotency to do anything about it.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 3:33 pm to AFstAF
Thank you for answering my question. So no, there won't be any negative impact to Russia in regards to drone procurement.
Are there any negative impacts to Russia if Iran is overthrown? It's a legit question.
Are there any negative impacts to Russia if Iran is overthrown? It's a legit question.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 3:31 pm to CitizenK
I wasn't very clear in my question. Does the Russian shadow fleet take oil from Russia, transport it to Iran where it gets merged with Iranian oil and then sold to avoid the sanctions?
re: Donald Trump Sings Vanilla Ice
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 3:17 pm to AlterEd
I had to go get the wife to see that one. We both had a good laugh.
AI can produce some funny stuff
AI can produce some funny stuff
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 3:12 pm to Leopold
Is anyone interested in discussing the implications to Russia if Iran falls?
I know the Russians have localized a lot of the Shahed drone production. Are there any components of the Shahed that Russia still relies on Iran to provide? If so, that could have a real impact.
Iran buys Russian weapon systems, but given how they've performed, Iran would probably turn to China for any future purposes.
How else will Russia be impacted if it loses Iran?
ETA: Does Russia move oil through Iran?
I know the Russians have localized a lot of the Shahed drone production. Are there any components of the Shahed that Russia still relies on Iran to provide? If so, that could have a real impact.
Iran buys Russian weapon systems, but given how they've performed, Iran would probably turn to China for any future purposes.
How else will Russia be impacted if it loses Iran?
ETA: Does Russia move oil through Iran?
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 1:52 pm to texag7
Ukraine is having real manpower issues, and they aren't likely to improve. The longer the war goes on, the more difficult the situation will become for Ukraine. I 100000000000% agree with you on this point.
So what?
That is not evidence of Russia winning. It's a factor of this war that is to Russia's benefit. It presents an opportunity for Russia to exploit Ukraine's manpower problem.
The challenge in doing that is that Russia has a related problem: it has to bring in people from other countries to fight the war. That's a different type of problem than Ukraine has. Why is Russia having to import troops from 3rd party nations? Is it because they have run out of people willing to sign up? Or is it to avoid having to implement some form of forced enlistment? I believe that it is more about the latter than the former. Putin is trying to keep his populace as sheltered from this war as possible because he knows it would be very unpopular to institute a draft.
So I think the two countries' manpower issues somewhat cancel each other out. That said, Russia is in a more dominant position, as it has its general population to tap if necessary, even if that might be unpopular. Ukraine does not have the same manpower reserves; however, it does have the 18-25-year-old population that it has resisted drafting so far.
ETA: What is your opinion of this?
So what?
That is not evidence of Russia winning. It's a factor of this war that is to Russia's benefit. It presents an opportunity for Russia to exploit Ukraine's manpower problem.
The challenge in doing that is that Russia has a related problem: it has to bring in people from other countries to fight the war. That's a different type of problem than Ukraine has. Why is Russia having to import troops from 3rd party nations? Is it because they have run out of people willing to sign up? Or is it to avoid having to implement some form of forced enlistment? I believe that it is more about the latter than the former. Putin is trying to keep his populace as sheltered from this war as possible because he knows it would be very unpopular to institute a draft.
So I think the two countries' manpower issues somewhat cancel each other out. That said, Russia is in a more dominant position, as it has its general population to tap if necessary, even if that might be unpopular. Ukraine does not have the same manpower reserves; however, it does have the 18-25-year-old population that it has resisted drafting so far.
ETA: What is your opinion of this?
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 1:36 pm to texag7
quote:
Would you know which end of a rifle to hold?
Another quality example of how you can always tell when someone is getting their arse kicked in a discussion here.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 1:15 pm to texag7
Also, stop lying. Russia controls about 20% of Ukraine, including Crimea and the Donetsk area of the Donbas. Russia does not control 30% of Ukraine.
At the start of the war, Ukraine controlled 558,628 km^2. Russia has captured 66 km^2 of that....or 11.81% of Ukraine. Russia lost its army to capture 11.8% of Ukraine, 66,000 square kilometers.
All hat, no cattle...debating with you is like shooting fish in a barrel.
At the start of the war, Ukraine controlled 558,628 km^2. Russia has captured 66 km^2 of that....or 11.81% of Ukraine. Russia lost its army to capture 11.8% of Ukraine, 66,000 square kilometers.
All hat, no cattle...debating with you is like shooting fish in a barrel.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 1:05 pm to texag7
And they used to control more than that until Ukraine took it away from them...so how is that a sign that they are winning?
The blue areas are what Russia used to control in Ukraine before Ukraine took it back.
The area's inside the black border are what Russia controlled prior to the 2022 invasion
The area inside the red border is what Russia has to show for 4 years of war....was it worth it? Is that winning?
Consider the possibility that both Ukraine and Russia are losing at the same time.
The blue areas are what Russia used to control in Ukraine before Ukraine took it back.
The area's inside the black border are what Russia controlled prior to the 2022 invasion
The area inside the red border is what Russia has to show for 4 years of war....was it worth it? Is that winning?
Consider the possibility that both Ukraine and Russia are losing at the same time.
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted by Chromdome35 on 1/10/26 at 12:52 pm to texag7
You are making yourself look like a fool
Your response was a defense of your statement that Russia is factually winning
That response did nothing but discuss Ukraine's manpower issues; it contains no proof that Russia is winning, only that Ukraine has manpower issues. Do you understand that?
You then cited the lack of updates from the front as some indicator that Russia is winning. I simply pointed out the fallacy of that statement.
You still haven't given ONE valid example of how Russia is winning, or answered whether the 66 km^2 they've taken since the start of the war was worth the price they paid for it.
You should hang up your spurs; you are outclassed in this conversation.
All hat and no cattle.
quote:
quote:
Imagine thinking Russia is winning
Factually, they are.
quote:
quote:
Factually, they
WRONG
quote:
quote:
WRONG
Nope. I’m really sorry.
Currently, 12% of Ukraine’s fighting force is there voluntarily. October and November 2025 were records for Ukrainian desertion.
That’s why this thread goes weeks without any updates from the actual frontline in Ukraine.
A random drone strike in Russia is not news. Ukraine having record desertions 4 years into the war is major news. Of course that will not be discussed at length here.
Your response was a defense of your statement that Russia is factually winning
That response did nothing but discuss Ukraine's manpower issues; it contains no proof that Russia is winning, only that Ukraine has manpower issues. Do you understand that?
You then cited the lack of updates from the front as some indicator that Russia is winning. I simply pointed out the fallacy of that statement.
You still haven't given ONE valid example of how Russia is winning, or answered whether the 66 km^2 they've taken since the start of the war was worth the price they paid for it.
You should hang up your spurs; you are outclassed in this conversation.
All hat and no cattle.
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