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Started By
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Fed soft as baby shite, bottom in?
Posted on 7/27/22 at 8:24 pm
Posted on 7/27/22 at 8:24 pm
So is the bottom in or just the bounce before the tank.
11
Posted on 7/27/22 at 8:51 pm to GREENHEAD22
I think we have probably hit the bottom already. Although I think we may get there again. Just my guess
Posted on 7/27/22 at 9:07 pm to HarveyBanger
I don't think we hit bottom. I think bottom is late this year or early next. It will take a bit for shite to get in.
That being said, keep buying
That being said, keep buying
Posted on 7/27/22 at 9:12 pm to GREENHEAD22
Michael Burry had a tweet on this a while back. A lot of the drop up to now was due to the multiples correcting to a more reasonable level.
Regardless of what the fed does, the writing is on the wall that we’re going to have a major contraction of earnings in most sectors. That will continue to fuel a price tank for at least the next several months.
My money would be on a major bottom happening either this winter or next spring. Major sell offs take time.
Regardless of what the fed does, the writing is on the wall that we’re going to have a major contraction of earnings in most sectors. That will continue to fuel a price tank for at least the next several months.
My money would be on a major bottom happening either this winter or next spring. Major sell offs take time.
Posted on 7/27/22 at 9:17 pm to HarveyBanger
Not a bear by any means but i think we get back to the lows again end of Aug and Sept and then go back up probably to where we are now or little lower for the rest of the year.
Will keep my buying low until probably another bigger dip which i expect in a month or maybe end of year which many have mentioned. I will say this i don't expect the bottom to fall out though like many have stated and will continue to buy quality companies for the long term.
Will keep my buying low until probably another bigger dip which i expect in a month or maybe end of year which many have mentioned. I will say this i don't expect the bottom to fall out though like many have stated and will continue to buy quality companies for the long term.
This post was edited on 7/27/22 at 9:22 pm
Posted on 7/27/22 at 9:36 pm to GREENHEAD22
Bounce, but may continue. It’s absolutely not the bottom though.
Posted on 7/27/22 at 10:00 pm to GREENHEAD22
The S&P rallied over 20% from Nov ‘08 to Jan ‘09, if I’m not mistaken. Jan 09’ to March 09’ was painful.
Bear market rallies can be exciting.. but it just doesn’t feel like we’re out of the woods yet.
Bear market rallies can be exciting.. but it just doesn’t feel like we’re out of the woods yet.
Posted on 7/28/22 at 4:34 am to GREENHEAD22
Sideways is what I anticipate over the next 60 days
Posted on 7/28/22 at 5:53 am to GREENHEAD22
Think the bottom will be different across sectors leading to longer down window but never collectively worse.
The new housing and car inventory never made it back unlike overstocked retail and over sold tech.
The new housing and car inventory never made it back unlike overstocked retail and over sold tech.
Posted on 7/28/22 at 11:14 am to GREENHEAD22
Not the bottom, just some roller coaster bounces before the big dip.
We've only just begun to touch the coming energy crisis (see: Russians all but cutting off Nord2 in Europe and current wave of energy bills here in the US, just wait until temperatures turn colder) and haven't even gotten into the coming world food shortage yet. Also, these increases the Fed is having to do will cause layoffs to rise as that ripple effect reaches further and further out into the economy.
People aren't going to be able to maintain their lifestyles on credit cards for long, they're eventually going to have to change their shopping and travel habits.
We've only just begun to touch the coming energy crisis (see: Russians all but cutting off Nord2 in Europe and current wave of energy bills here in the US, just wait until temperatures turn colder) and haven't even gotten into the coming world food shortage yet. Also, these increases the Fed is having to do will cause layoffs to rise as that ripple effect reaches further and further out into the economy.
People aren't going to be able to maintain their lifestyles on credit cards for long, they're eventually going to have to change their shopping and travel habits.
Posted on 7/28/22 at 1:58 pm to wfallstiger
quote:
Sideways is what I anticipate over the next 60 days
This. If we haven't already hit bottom, I don't see it dipping too far below 3,600 again. We may bounce off of that level a couple more times.
Posted on 7/28/22 at 2:05 pm to Bard
quote:
haven't even gotten into the coming world food shortage yet.
You’d think this would be reflected in commodity futures, but maybe you know something everyone else doesn’t?
Posted on 7/28/22 at 2:31 pm to slackster
Bard or Husss not sure who is more hardcore for the impending doom 
Posted on 7/28/22 at 2:41 pm to GREENHEAD22
Lol bottom, clown world
Posted on 7/28/22 at 4:05 pm to GREENHEAD22
quote:
bottom in?
No one knows. No one.
Posted on 7/29/22 at 8:15 am to Strannix
I agree with you but wanted to get the boards take because Fox News and Bloomberg both had people on their morning shows saying the bottom was in.
I haven't even seen a discernable slowdown in anything yet except housing. And even that is slight.
I haven't even seen a discernable slowdown in anything yet except housing. And even that is slight.
Posted on 7/29/22 at 8:19 am to GREENHEAD22
We just came up from the first dip in a double dip. Down again in late August-September, then back up.
Posted on 7/29/22 at 8:31 am to GREENHEAD22
Nope. The bottom isn't in. New earnings revisions are coming in and they will be headed down. P/Es are going up. If we are up again today I will be going short with a bear call spread for September.
Posted on 7/29/22 at 8:52 am to GREENHEAD22
quote:
haven't even seen a discernable slowdown in anything yet except housing. And even that is slight.
20% YOY is slight?
Posted on 7/29/22 at 10:28 am to Upperdecker
The markets in my area are not down that much.
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