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Started By
Message
Latest Nate Silver model shows Trump by almost 21
Posted on 9/5/24 at 5:45 pm
Posted on 9/5/24 at 5:45 pm
35
Posted on 9/5/24 at 5:49 pm to Night Vision
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:15 pm to Night Vision
Nate said that while some state-level polling has been decent for the VP, she is losing ground in his model at the national level. This was before another national poll was released this afternoon showing a decrease in national support for the VP.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:16 pm to Night Vision
I was told for almost a year or more by a certain group of posters on thos board that you could possibly call a cult that Orange man had zero % chance of winning
Weird
Weird
This post was edited on 9/5/24 at 6:17 pm
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:21 pm to Night Vision
Is Nate Silver the one that was wrong in 2016?
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:21 pm to SDVTiger
Dallastiger55 is going to be crying in the corner with this news.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:22 pm to Night Vision
trump has been winning by +10 or more since Joe bailed, and then forced Kamala on democratic party.
They said fu joe, you cant win, he said f you traitors, you wont win
They said fu joe, you cant win, he said f you traitors, you wont win
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:23 pm to Night Vision
Now we just have to guess what they’re going to try to do to stop this.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:24 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:
Is Nate Silver the one that was wrong in 2016?
His model gave Trump a fighting chance, and he actually did a good bit of crawfishing in the days leading up to the election, reminding everyone that Trump had a chance.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:26 pm to Night Vision
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/5/24 at 6:27 pm
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:26 pm to Night Vision
Lets heckin goooooo lads
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:28 pm to Night Vision
She’s toast. Good debate performance from Trump next week wraps this thing up
This post was edited on 9/5/24 at 6:29 pm
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:29 pm to Night Vision
I've been saying this all along. There was no way Trump was behind with all the black, Hispanic and independent support he has. And I don't believe there are very many undecided voters out there either.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:29 pm to SCLibertarian
quote:
Dallastiger55 is going to be crying in the corner with this news.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:30 pm to Night Vision
RFK and Tulsi are impressive as shite and if Trump is going to have them around in his coalition along with Elon, it’s going to pull a lot of independents.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:31 pm to offshoretrash
quote:
I've been saying this all along. There was no way Trump was behind with all the black, Hispanic and independent support he has. And I don't believe there are very many undecided voters out there either.
Just so we're all clear here. You understand that he's projecting probability of victory and not saying that he thinks Trump will win by a 21 point spread right?
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:32 pm to Night Vision
funny RCP has Kamala barely winning 273 - 265
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:34 pm to Powerman
If every voter had to show a government issued ID he'd probably would win by 21.
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