Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us I'm an election judge. Turnout here pretty heavy | Election 2016
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I'm an election judge. Turnout here pretty heavy

Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:28 am
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
25786 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:28 am
In 2012, this precinct had 1,600 total votes. No idea how many were early. If none, that averages to 1,600/13 hours = 123/hour

Through 4.5 hours, we have hit 500, for 111/hour.

Again, though, this has no count for early (assume another 20%), and the post-work rush will skew everything much higher at the end.
Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
56436 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:29 am to
what state?
Posted by cokebottleag
I’m a Santos Republican
Member since Aug 2011
24080 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:30 am to
quote:

what state?



MN. Look at his avi.
Posted by Spaceman Spiff
Savannah
Member since Sep 2012
20090 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:30 am to
Pretty sure election "judges" aren't supposed to report that stuff
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:30 am to
People with jobs going to MAGA. If he's winning in places during the afternoon, it's sign, sealed and delivered

MAGA
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
25786 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:33 am to
Nobody told me in the day of training I had.

Well-versed in MN state election laws, are you? What ID's can I accept for ID to register?
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9020 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:33 am to
Is this a liberal or conservative area?
Posted by pwejr88
Red Stick
Member since Apr 2007
37742 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:34 am to
quote:

123/hour


quote:

for 111/hour.


quote:

pretty heavy



Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
108310 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Pretty sure election "judges" aren't supposed to report that stuff


He wouldn't be the first "judge" brought down by posting on TD.
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
25786 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:35 am to
We went 75% Obama in 2012.

I know, I know. University area.
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
25786 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:35 am to
Did you read the OP?
Posted by tWildcat
Verona, KY
Member since Oct 2014
20182 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:36 am to
Seems to me like it's down actually compared to 2012 if your numbers are correct.

ETA: guess the post work voting will increase it.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 11:37 am
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
20736 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:37 am to
His point is that voter turnout is much higher in the afternoon and evenings, so if it's already at 111/hour, it'll only go way higher as people get off work.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
107024 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:37 am to
From folks I know that have voted in the area (Louisville), almost everyone has had to stand in line. It's been at least since the late 90s that we've had that here. Stood in line with several people who brought their children and grandchildren and overheard at least one conversation about "teaching them the importance of voting". That's also something I haven't seen in a long time.

I think part of the turnout here is the reaction to the election of Gov. Bevin after just a 30% turnout statewide.
Posted by CubsFanBudMan
Member since Jul 2008
6066 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:41 am to
Also, he doesn't know how many of the 1,600 were early votes. Using 20% early vote, that means 98/hour on election day.
Posted by Alahunter
Member since Jan 2008
90742 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:44 am to
At the precinct I vote at.. in 2012, there were 2674 registered voters and 1988 voted for a 74% turnout. I voted at 9:30 this morning and when I was putting my ballot in the machine, there were 3 of them and almost 1200 votes had already been cast.
Posted by Loserman
Member since Sep 2007
23083 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:51 am to
quote:

an election judge. Turnout here pretty heavy by pwejr88quote:123/hour quote:for 111/hour. quote:pretty heavy


quote:




1600 votes total 2012

Which would have included both poll and mail in ballots

But without noing how many of each was each he assumed all were poll votes cast when he gave his number of 123/hr

He is already saying that this year they are doing 111/hr without having any data on who has already voted early or mail in.

So yes he is showing increased turnout
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
25786 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:49 pm to
6.5 hours in. 673 votes. Trailing off, but veterans tell me the avalanche starts in 2 hours.


The also say the in-person voting has generally not exceeded 1,000, but not sure we are talking about the same thing.

I will know our results as soon as we close the machine. Romney was less than 25%. If Trump breaks 30, that is a good sign.
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