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Good numbers coming in for GOP from Duval County, FL
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:15 pm
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:15 pm
Duval County is Florida's 7th largest county. It includes Jacksonville & surrounding areas. Here are the party affiliations of who voted in 2012, compared to 2016 (all early, absentee, and Election Day voting is included):
2012
GOP 166,387 (40.16%)
DEM 179,353 (43.29%)
I/O 68,573 (16.55%)
2016 (so far)
GOP 160,744 (41.79%)
DEM 158,471 (41.20%)
I/O 65,422 (17.0%)
Dems turned out 3.13% more in 2012; GOP has turned out 0.6% more so far in 2016.
2016 data updating live
2012 data
2012
GOP 166,387 (40.16%)
DEM 179,353 (43.29%)
I/O 68,573 (16.55%)
2016 (so far)
GOP 160,744 (41.79%)
DEM 158,471 (41.20%)
I/O 65,422 (17.0%)
Dems turned out 3.13% more in 2012; GOP has turned out 0.6% more so far in 2016.
2016 data updating live
2012 data
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 1:18 pm
10
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:16 pm to RidiculousHype
YUGE. I expect those numbers to increase when Republicans get off of work.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:16 pm to RidiculousHype
I know quite a few registered republicans here voting for Gary
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:17 pm to TakingStock
quote:
YUGE. I expect those numbers to increase when Republicans get off of work.
Could it be possible that enthusiasm led them to vote BEFORE work? Therefore, depressing the "get off of work" theme I see a lot of?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:18 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
Could it be possible that enthusiasm led them to vote BEFORE work? Therefore, depressing the "get off of work" theme I see a lot of?
I'm sure that's the case for some, others simply can't vote until they are off for the day.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:19 pm to Tiger in NY
So who are the independents more likely to vote for? Trump or Hillary or those other clowns. Thats the key
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:19 pm to TakingStock
quote:
YUGE.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:21 pm to Uncs
Trump is polling +10 to +15 with indies in Florida
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:21 pm to RidiculousHype
That's good news.
Rs are close to 97% of their 2012 vote total.
Dems are only 88.4% of their 2012 vote total.
Rs are close to 97% of their 2012 vote total.
Dems are only 88.4% of their 2012 vote total.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:22 pm to Tiger in NY
quote:
I know quite a few registered republicans here voting for Gary
Right, and there are Dems voting for Stein.
This is from the Q poll that came out yesterday for FL:
quote:
Independent likely voters are split with 45 percent for Clinton and 44 percent for Trump. Trump leads 86 – 7 percent among Republicans, while Clinton takes Democrats 85 – 10 percent.
So what you're seeing in terms of party turnout across these counties is going to be very, very close to the actual candidate vote margins. They are splitting Indys and holding their bases about the same.
LINK
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 1:23 pm
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:22 pm to Uncs
The numbers show Trump +10% with ind.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:25 pm to Janky
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:27 pm to RidiculousHype
It will get watered down by fraud in NW Quadrant of Jax. Corrine Brown's turf. Corinne's trying to stay out of prison and she is the master of vote fraud...cant stop her.
send in your poll watchers between 330/700pm (or closing time) to NW Quadrant if you want to have a chance.
send in your poll watchers between 330/700pm (or closing time) to NW Quadrant if you want to have a chance.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 1:34 pm
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:32 pm to RidiculousHype
quote:
2012
GOP 166,387 (40.16%)
DEM 179,353 (43.29%)
I/O 68,573 (16.55%)
The final results in 2012 in Duval were
Romney: 211,615
Obama: 196,737
So assuming crossover votes cancelled out, Romney won the I/O vote roughly 45k to 27k (this also ignore third parties)
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:33 pm to RidiculousHype
Very good
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:34 pm to RidiculousHype
Shouldn't you look at data for a non-incumbent presidential election?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:46 pm to RidiculousHype
Bump:
GOP now at 166,901
Dem - 164,414
Indie - 68,916
R +2487
GOP now at 166,901
Dem - 164,414
Indie - 68,916
R +2487
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:50 pm to RidiculousHype
What's insane about 2012 is more Dems voted but Romney won the area solidly.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:37 pm to gatorsimz
you do realize that is paltry sum of votes to quantify as a 'lead'? At the very least, twice that amount can be stolen in NW jax alone... and you wonder why R's never win insurgency elections? because they are rookies.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:55 pm to RidiculousHype
Rs now up 2302 (close to .7%). This represents close to a 4% shift in favor of GOP turnout.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 3:56 pm
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