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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:56 pm to RidiculousHype
2012
Dem 174,955 37.85%
Rep 180,131 38.97%
I/O 107,162 23.18%
2016 (so far)
Dem 161,643 36.88%
Rep 170,826 38.98%
I/O 105,786 24.14%
So I/Os have almost reached their vote totals from 2012. Not sure who will benefit the most (I would think Trump), but it could be the difference maker.
Dem 174,955 37.85%
Rep 180,131 38.97%
I/O 107,162 23.18%
2016 (so far)
Dem 161,643 36.88%
Rep 170,826 38.98%
I/O 105,786 24.14%
So I/Os have almost reached their vote totals from 2012. Not sure who will benefit the most (I would think Trump), but it could be the difference maker.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:56 pm to Dayman
Broward is ~15K votes over their 2012 turnout at this point. They are running a bit ahead of some of the other counties, but I think more of their vote was banked in the early voting so those other counties should catch up by the end of today.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:57 pm to RidiculousHype
Just hope the ind. break for Trump.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:57 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
Broward is ~15K votes over their 2012 turnout at this point. They are running a bit ahead of some of the other counties, but I think more of their vote was banked in the early voting so those other counties should catch up by the end of today
That was all the fraud votes, no?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:58 pm to GeneralLee
At work I have an excel sheet tracking 5 counties: Pinellas, Hillsborough, Broward, Duval, Pasco
Assuming 88% party loyalty, 12% defections, and Trump winning indies by 10...
At 11:30am Seattle time I had 52.48% crooked, 47.51% Trump
20 minutes later I have 52.45% crooked, 47.54% Trump
Slowly gaining. I know it's just 5 counties but the gains Trump is making in the other 4 are outpacing the gains crooked is making in Broward
Assuming 88% party loyalty, 12% defections, and Trump winning indies by 10...
At 11:30am Seattle time I had 52.48% crooked, 47.51% Trump
20 minutes later I have 52.45% crooked, 47.54% Trump
Slowly gaining. I know it's just 5 counties but the gains Trump is making in the other 4 are outpacing the gains crooked is making in Broward
Posted on 11/8/16 at 1:58 pm to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Panhandle is going to have to have massive turnout for us to MAGA. Margins are not looking good in Broward and Hillsborough.
If broward is at the same percentages as 2012 trump should be good right?
I'm 10% certain the panhandle will come out big league for trump
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:05 pm to Adam Banks
Wondering how Duval, Nassau, and St John's counties are looking (all Jacksonville area counties).
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:09 pm to goldennugget
If Trump is even or better in those 5 counties he wins, yes?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:10 pm to Covingtontiger77
quote:
Margins are not looking good in Broward and Hillsborough.
I can't find Broward 2012 turnout by party registration figures anywhere. Let me know if anyone can find them.
Hillsborough is fine. In 2012 the Dem turnout advantage was 5.79%. So far in 2016 it's 4.66%. This is including all early, absentee, and Election Day voting. This is about in line with Pinellas.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:11 pm to SirWinston
quote:
If Trump is even or better in those 5 counties he wins, yes?
There's a good chance unless something else is going on that we don't know about.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:19 pm to RidiculousHype
quote:
Duval is looking particularly strong for Trump. I started a thread about it a few minutes ago.
Right. Dems outvoted republicans by 3% in 2012 in Duval. Right now, there is approximately 2,400 more republican ballots than democrats caste.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:22 pm to Dayman
How much of a Trump advantage will the panhandle have to have to help him carry the state? Obviously, it's a deep red part of the state; but is it enough to put a dent in the numbers?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:24 pm to Cajunese
There are about 1.5M in the panhandle. It's significant and needed for Trump to win.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:25 pm to Cajunese
Not only the panhandle, but other areas of the state voted Republican as well, so if he's outpacing Romney he should be OK.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:25 pm to gatorsimz
Pinellas update:
2012
Dem 174,955 37.85%
Rep 180,131 38.97%
I/O 107,162 23.18%
2016 (so far)
Dem 165,320 36.79%
Rep 175,057 38.95%
I/O 109,026 24.26%
Rs +9737
Rs 97.2% of 2012 turnout
Dems 94.5% of 2012 turnout
Indies 101.7%
2012
Dem 174,955 37.85%
Rep 180,131 38.97%
I/O 107,162 23.18%
2016 (so far)
Dem 165,320 36.79%
Rep 175,057 38.95%
I/O 109,026 24.26%
Rs +9737
Rs 97.2% of 2012 turnout
Dems 94.5% of 2012 turnout
Indies 101.7%
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:27 pm to gatorsimz
quote:
Rs +9737
Rs 97.2% of 2012 turnout
Dems 94.5% of 2012 turnout
Indies 101.7%
Very encouraging
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:28 pm to gatorsimz
Are any other states putting out live results like this?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:42 pm to GeneralLee
Any updates?
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