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2
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:49 pm to biohzrd
Which is a 100% increase from 2012 (Rs lead 5176) in Pinellas.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 2:50 pm
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:50 pm to biohzrd
quote:
Rep up 10k now in Pinellas co. Right at +2,500 in Duval.
HelL yea, TRUMP now up 10,000 votes in Pinellas!!
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:50 pm to gatorsimz
What about Hills.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:50 pm to gatorsimz
Yeah GOP keeps its slow climb in Hillsborough and Pinellas I had to work for a few hours.
Feeling good about FL again mates
Feeling good about FL again mates
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:51 pm to Janky
quote:Don't hold your breath.
Just hope the ind. break for Trump
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:51 pm to Janky
quote:
What about Hills
D+25,639
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:53 pm to MFn GIMP
We really need some Haitian numbers. It's killing me to not know. 150,000 votes is a ton.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 2:54 pm
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:55 pm to Rhino5
quote:
HelL yea, TRUMP now up 10,000 votes in Pinellas!!
Hold up! We're saying 10k more republicans have turned out than dems. Which is obviously good for MAGA, but doesn't mean he's up 10k votes.
We still have about 111k independent voters to factor in.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:58 pm to BobBoucher
Also, Dems have gone about +290 in the past hour in Hillsborough and are now at the high water mark of 25,639 over Reps.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 2:59 pm
Posted on 11/8/16 at 2:59 pm to BobBoucher
Yes that would be turn out, and not actual votes.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:00 pm to teampick
quote:Yep. In the 27 years I've lived here Orange and Osceola counties steadily turned blue. When I got here R's outnumbered D's but by the mid/late 90's the D's overcame and have been widening their margin ever since. The mass influx of Latino's is the main cause, especially in the service dominated work sectors of Osceola Co. There the Latino population is closing quickly on a majority of votes. Orange and Osceola Co. will go hard for HRC by 10+ points.
As I've maintained for over a year on this board, Trump's biggest problem is going to rear its head in the Orlando area. The only experience people on this board have in Kissimmee is taking the family to Disney. They should have paid attention on the It's a Small World ride.
The panhandle will certainly be red but there just isn't enough population there to offset the heavy D votes in south east and east central FL.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 3:02 pm
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:03 pm to otowntiger
Checking in, is it looking down for Trump?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:11 pm to gatorsimz
Pinellas update:
2012
Dem 174,955 37.85%
Rep 180,131 38.97%
I/O 107,162 23.18%
2016 (4:07 EST)
Dem 168,233 36.71%
Rep 178,386 38.92%
I/O 111,663 24.37%
Rs +10,153
Rs 99% of 2012 turnout
Dems 96.2% of 2012 turnout
Indies 104.2%
2012
Dem 174,955 37.85%
Rep 180,131 38.97%
I/O 107,162 23.18%
2016 (4:07 EST)
Dem 168,233 36.71%
Rep 178,386 38.92%
I/O 111,663 24.37%
Rs +10,153
Rs 99% of 2012 turnout
Dems 96.2% of 2012 turnout
Indies 104.2%
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 3:13 pm
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:23 pm to gatorsimz
Not too bad
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:23 pm to GeneralLee
R's lead in Pasco Co. Grows to 25,251! 
But I'm sure Hillary will make this up when all the Dems get off of work.
But I'm sure Hillary will make this up when all the Dems get off of work.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:24 pm to bhtigerfan
quote:
But I'm sure Hillary will make this up when all the Dems get off of work.
The Republicans need to come out in droves tonight and ice this thing.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:25 pm to gatorsimz
I just did a quick calculation on Broward county.
As of 4:11 EST there have been 298 votes cast per minute, extrapolating that number out to poll closure at 7:00 EST means that ~49,170 more votes should be expected for a total of 839,171 votes cast. If you give Clinton the same margin of victory as Obama in 2012 that would give Clinton a vote advantage of 289,514, whereas in 2012 Obama won by 263,698. However, that is assuming that Clinton wins the same percentage of independents as Obama did, which seems doubtful.
If you give each candidate a 95/5 split with their respective parties and 53/47 to Trump (which seems reasonable, if not generous to Clinton, to me) that would give her a vote advantage of 209,996, significantly less than Obama.
All-in-all I don't think that Trump supporters should necessarily worry about Broward, unless Democrat numbers spike in the next 2.5 hours.
As of 4:11 EST there have been 298 votes cast per minute, extrapolating that number out to poll closure at 7:00 EST means that ~49,170 more votes should be expected for a total of 839,171 votes cast. If you give Clinton the same margin of victory as Obama in 2012 that would give Clinton a vote advantage of 289,514, whereas in 2012 Obama won by 263,698. However, that is assuming that Clinton wins the same percentage of independents as Obama did, which seems doubtful.
If you give each candidate a 95/5 split with their respective parties and 53/47 to Trump (which seems reasonable, if not generous to Clinton, to me) that would give her a vote advantage of 209,996, significantly less than Obama.
All-in-all I don't think that Trump supporters should necessarily worry about Broward, unless Democrat numbers spike in the next 2.5 hours.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:43 pm to gatorsimz
Rs now up 10,319
Rs have surpassed 2012 totals (100.9%)
Dems at 98% of 2012 totals.
Rs have surpassed 2012 totals (100.9%)
Dems at 98% of 2012 totals.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 3:44 pm to MFn GIMP
Nice analysis.
Broward will broward.
Rs are looking good everywhere else and will make up for soFla. Also, I really think Trump will win indies by 10%+.
Broward will broward.
Rs are looking good everywhere else and will make up for soFla. Also, I really think Trump will win indies by 10%+.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 3:45 pm
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