Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Jefferson vs. Lee Inside the Numbers *Updated* | Page 10 | Tiger Rant
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re: Jefferson vs. Lee Inside the Numbers *Updated*

Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:16 pm to
Posted by bailey4442
Member since Aug 2009
450 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:16 pm to
its so fricking simple....J.Lee can pass the ball and jefferson cant...so frick jj...start Lee..Jefferson is just another aaron brooks.
Posted by Acreboy
Member since Nov 2005
38568 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

I can't believe everyone is focusing on that 1 game. Lee's body of work is worse than JJs and JJs is terrible.

Lee didn't have this o-line.
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

I never excluded it for anything.



No, but you discounted the game saving drive by Lee as improbable to have 16 plays.

quote:

But which would you rather have a 7 play drive that results in a punt or a 1 play drive that results in a TD?


Ah the good ole logical choice paradigm. Except those AREN'T the only two options.

Posted by LSUdm21
Member since Nov 2008
17486 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Lee started a number of games in 2008 but no one wants to reference those abortions. I can still hear the boos raining down from the stands in our last game against Arky that year and then the wild cheers when JJ entered the game and did actually play much better.

But arguing over who should start is pointless - they are both mediocre QBs who have not been developed by Les Miles. Just fire Les, get a new, competent coach and let's see if these kids can play at all.


Jefferson, in his 3rd year, is making Lee, in his 1st year, look like Joe fricking Montana.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

Lee didn't have this o-line.


In the same year with the same OL JJ performed better. And when it comes to the passing game OL has less to do with sacks than the QB - OL is more important to the running game. And don't take this as a defense of JJ. Both are undeveloped and I blame Miles.
Posted by goldengorilla
Dallas
Member since Jun 2008
1013 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:19 pm to
i took a dump and it spelled JJ... i found that interesting
Posted by Acreboy
Member since Nov 2005
38568 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

OL is more important to the running game.
ask jay Cutler what an idiot.
Posted by bailey4442
Member since Aug 2009
450 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:20 pm to
my dump said Les
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

Jefferson, in his 3rd year, is making Lee, in his 1st year, look like Joe fricking Montana.


Why, though? It's the coach not the players. JJ sucks and Lee sucks - did you see all the bad decisions he made that he got away with? Time to get rid of the coaches that have not simply failed to develop the players but actually seem to make them worse with experience.
Posted by just me
Front of the Class: Schooling You
Member since Mar 2006
34489 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

If you are including a data set into an analysis...it is wrong to include numbers on certain portions and exclude them on others...depending on what suits your goal.

Either the long run counts..hence the 1 play drive counts. Or it doesn't.
Sure. However, keep in mind that LSU wouldn't go for it on 4th and 14 unless it's the final drive of the game.

LSU had to go for it on 4th and 14 because of game circumstances. At any other point in the game, Lee's drive ends when Lee throws an incompletion on 3rd and 9.
Posted by Ebbandflow
Member since Aug 2010
13457 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

Not necessarily.

JJ is handicapped by having a 1 play drive.

So that's as good as having only 5 drives.

Lee gets the end drive that was 16 plays, which was more than double any other drive he lead. A few posts up I broke down the play number of each person's drives.


Well we should also consider that Lee was thrown in on 3rd and long situations on a couple of different plays. This is a disadvantage for a QB and will hurt yds per play.

Also, your statement about Lee having a 16 play drive to score helps out Lee. If you can take time off of the clock while methodically driving down the field and manage to and the series with a score, you are doing what is best for your team. I would much rather a 16 play scoring drive success than a fluke ONE play score. These are x-factors that skew the avg yards per play argument.
Posted by Acreboy
Member since Nov 2005
38568 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

and Lee sucks
Lee hasn't sucked all year what are you talking about?
Posted by SofaKingTrill
Member since Mar 2008
8116 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:22 pm to
What plays were those? and if you say the 47 yd pass is "one of those plays that doesnt happen very often" you are right that long passes dont happen very often, but who are you to say they dont happen for LEE when hes only had 25 passing attempts this season compared to Jefferson's 80+ In 1/4 of the attempts Lee has 1/2 of Jefferson's passing yards. you dont spread a defense with an option that constantly goes for 2 yards when the Defense stacks the box. Why do they stack the box, because there is no threat of a passing game.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54755 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

ask jay Cutler what an idiot.


You should actually read up on a true analysis of football stats by Football Outsiders - they proved it. Also look at Brees his first year in N.O. - an atrocious OL but he made them better with snap decisions. Cutler sucks and gets sacked because he's a rock head.
Posted by SCLSUMuddogs
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2010
8359 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

How do you think LSU got to the Tennessee 13 to kick a field goal? Ridley drove LSU from LSU's 41 so that LSU could kick that field goal. LSU loses without those three points.


FIFY
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

No, but you discounted the game saving drive by Lee as improbable to have 16 plays.


Yes, both are equally improbable. But in the case of what was being argued 16 plays makes 1 plays look embarrassing when it wasn't.

It's like you care nothing for context.

quote:

Ah the good ole logical choice paradigm. Except those AREN'T the only two options.





Now you are just trying to argue for the sake of arguing.
Posted by Acreboy
Member since Nov 2005
38568 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

N.O. - an atrocious OL but he made them better with snap decisions.
and JL has a WAY faster release than JJ does. so by that logic JL should be starting.
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

Sure. However, keep in mind that LSU wouldn't go for it on 4th and 14 unless it's the final drive of the game.

LSU had to go for it on 4th and 14 because of game circumstances. At any other point in the game, Lee's drive ends when Lee throws an incompletion on 3rd and 9.


how many plays was Lee in the game AFTER that pass justMe.

I'll subtract them from 16, and JL still has a better more professional drive; that killed the clock and put is in position to score.

2nd. You DO get 4 downs in football. Why don't we play the what if game instead of this. I mean you like facts so much, but then drop this spin....
Posted by just me
Front of the Class: Schooling You
Member since Mar 2006
34489 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

He kicked a fg too?
No, he drove the team into scoring position.


quote:

How many td's did he throw?

Oh... What's that?

He hasn't thrown a td since sept 4th?

Hmmmm
Scoreboards don't care how you get a touchdown. It's six points whether you run for it or throw for it. Or even whether you hand it off to someone else to run for it.
Posted by just me
Front of the Class: Schooling You
Member since Mar 2006
34489 posts
Posted on 10/6/10 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

Lee didn't have this o-line.
He had a very good o-line in 2008.
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