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re: SEC tie breaker...The Path to the SEC Championship Game...

Posted on 11/11/24 at 10:13 am to
Posted by Havoc
Member since Nov 2015
38652 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 10:13 am to
quote:

Playing like we are, would we want LSU in the SEC championship??? We would just get our asses handed to us. It is highly unlikely we will win out anyway.

What an abysmal mindset.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
31337 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 10:14 am to
Mizzou isn't a good football team. They can lose to anybody on a given night
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
34934 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 10:46 am to
quote:

LSU has the inside track to the SECCG and the Rant is really pissed about it


I don't think that's accurate.

Starting with this weekend, if every outcome that is "supposed" to happen occurs, it's likely Texas v Alabama in the SECCG. LSU gets to the SECCG (vs. Texas) in the scenario you have screenshotted . But there is one unexpected outcome on yours...Arkansas beating Mizzou on the road...that would have to happen. If Mizzou won that game and every other outcome occurred like what you have on the screenshot it would be Alabama v Texas.
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 11:19 am to
quote:

I don't think that's accurate. Starting with this weekend, if every outcome that is "supposed" to happen occurs, it's likely Texas v Alabama in the SECCG. LSU gets to the SECCG (vs. Texas) in the scenario you have screenshotted . But there is one unexpected outcome on yours...Arkansas beating Mizzou on the road...that would have to happen. If Mizzou won that game and every other outcome occurred like what you have on the screenshot it would be Alabama v Texas.



But there are other ways too that we’ve outlined.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27354 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 11:24 am to
might have already been posted, but I have Georgia beating Tennessee and Arkansas beating Mizzou gets us to No. 2...the South Carolina/Mizzou game not being important...
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 11:32 am to
quote:

might have already been posted, but I have Georgia beating Tennessee and Arkansas beating Mizzou gets us to No. 2...the South Carolina/Mizzou game not being important...


You might want to redo it.

Edit: If Mizzou beats South Carolina then we need them to lose to Miss State and Arky then also have Vandy beat Tennessee. So we really need South Carolina to win
This post was edited on 11/11/24 at 11:37 am
Posted by wesman21
Youngsville
Member since Jun 2009
3526 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 11:36 am to
This is correct...

Two things must happen:
1. LSU wins out
2. Georgia beats Tenn (this is Georgia's last conference game)

Then any of the four scenarios...

Scenario one : Missouri loses to South Carolina and Arkansas
Scenario two: Alabama loses to Auburn or Oklahoma.
Scenario three: Auburn beats A&M. Texas loses to Arkansas or A&M.
Scenario four: Texas A&M and Vanderbilt win last week

With the way this season has gone, nothing is out of the realm of possibility.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
34934 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 11:50 am to
quote:

But there are other ways too that we’ve outlined.


Of course there are. I was simply responding to that particular post and the one that said LSU was "in the driver's seat". That's not really true. It's going to take LSU winning out and an unexpected result or two (such as Mizzou losing at home to Arkansas or Auburn beating A&M followed by A&M then beating Texas; or Vandy beating Tenn.) to make that happen.

Possible? Sure.
Probable? If someone were giving a statistical analysis the odds would probably be well less than 25%.

Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 11:59 am to
quote:

Possible? Sure. Probable? If someone were giving a statistical analysis the odds would probably be well less than 25%.



I asked AI and it said 50-60%
Posted by Dwainwright
Member since Jun 2017
758 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 12:10 pm to
IF A&M and LSU both win out the only other game we must have is Vandy beating Tenn, then we are in at 6-2. It doesn't matter if Mizzou beats Ark. Mizzou & Bama would still be below us. Of course if we win out and OU upsets Bama then we are in no matter what else happens.
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 11/11/24 at 12:19 pm to
Ya A&M winning out would likely have us in. We really need Mississippi State to somehow beat Mizzou at home.

Then we’d only need Arkansas over Mizzou OR Vandy over Tennessee
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27354 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 3:35 pm to
LSU is in decent shape to make SECCG...just need Arkansas to do us a solid against Mizzou, assuming all other games go as expected...
Posted by slowburn
kenner
Member since Nov 2008
59 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 4:07 pm to
Please stop, this is insane
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
27354 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 4:11 pm to
There's nothing insane about LSU's chances. It's a longshot, but Fred out of the realm of possiblities
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
16543 posts
Posted on 11/12/24 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

Playing like we are, would we want LSU in the SEC championship??? We would just get our asses handed to us.


Probably, but the one caveat is that Ewers isn’t going to beat you with his legs, so maybe we match up better and could pull it off.

I’d rather us get the chance than not.
This post was edited on 11/12/24 at 4:54 pm
Posted by NorthshoreTiger76
Pelicans, Saints, & LSU Fan
Member since May 2009
83743 posts
Posted on 11/16/24 at 8:55 pm to
We still have a shot?
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