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Message
re: Will LSU be favored over Florida?
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:27 pm to D147983
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:27 pm to D147983
quote:
Certain home fields are worth more or less than 3. Teams such as LSU, Florida, Penn State, Michigan, etc...usually get a home field advantage of 4-6 points. So, if Florida is favored by 3 at home, then LSU would likely be favored by 1-3 at a neutral site.
Nobody has a 6 pt. homefield advantage in the books. Boise St. and Virginia Tech have the largest homefield advantage by bookmakers and that is around 4.5
2
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:27 pm to MJRuffalo
quote:
Right now, barring any injuries Florida should open as a 6 pt. favorite. They are going to smoke Arkansas easy so the money may push it to 7.
7? yeah you're crazy.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:27 pm to raparoot
I'm thinking UF -5.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:29 pm to bbap
LOL, People said I was crazy sunday night when I said that the Big-12 has 3 teams better than any in the SEC right now. Next day Las Vegas Sports Consultants release their poll, with 3 Big-12 teams rated higher than any in the SEC. Highest rated SEC team was Florida.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:30 pm to MJRuffalo
well maybe you're not crazy but i definitely disagree with UF -7. also with the big 12 comment.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:30 pm to MJRuffalo
quote:
Right now, barring any injuries Florida should open as a 6 pt. favorite. They are going to smoke Arkansas easy so the money may push it to 7.
coming from the guy who said USC's players are more "elite" than LSU's
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:33 pm to MJRuffalo
quote:
Nobody has a 6 pt. homefield advantage in the books.
I reckon that depends on which book you look at.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:34 pm to LuckyLee
Go take your jpw to the little boys park!! Come Nov! The Big Men will chew jpw up and spit him out!!
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:37 pm to FAN4LSU
I didn't say you'd be a big dog, but you will be a dog. You'd be favored at home if that makes you feel beter.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 4:38 pm to LuckyLee
im going with most here and saying lsu +3 or 4.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 6:13 pm to raparoot
no.
Tebow would have to go down against Arky IMO...that's the only way
Tebow would have to go down against Arky IMO...that's the only way
Posted on 9/30/08 at 6:42 pm to raparoot
quote:Speaking today, LSU should not be favored over Florida, AT Florida. That could change, but I don't see it.
LSU should be favored imo but you never know.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 7:28 pm to fishing4lsu
quote:
Check
If Florida comes out of the game healthy, they should be favored by 5.
Include the Tebow factor (he's been waiting for us), the spread could be 10.
+1
Posted on 9/30/08 at 7:48 pm to athletemed
the first week of this month the futures line had Florida favored by 9. It will be 4-5 by game time.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 8:40 pm to raparoot
Nope. I think that most people think that Timmy and the Caymans, er, Gators are better. They will bet accordingly which will prompt the mob, er, Vegas to shift points to LSU to keep the money on each team about the same.
That said, it is not clear to me how good this team is. The O has shown some real promise because of the apparent development of JL. The D, to me, is enigmatic. Some comments about the D line and lack of pressure seem on point, but as I said previously, the other Lee proved elusive.
The secondary seems vulnerable more from lack of execution than being beaten physically. Maybe that is the good news. I know that UberMeyer will be busy devising a passing attack to exploit what he sees as deficiencies in pass coverage.
That said, it is not clear to me how good this team is. The O has shown some real promise because of the apparent development of JL. The D, to me, is enigmatic. Some comments about the D line and lack of pressure seem on point, but as I said previously, the other Lee proved elusive.
The secondary seems vulnerable more from lack of execution than being beaten physically. Maybe that is the good news. I know that UberMeyer will be busy devising a passing attack to exploit what he sees as deficiencies in pass coverage.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 8:44 pm to White Tiger
They were favored by 22.5 against Ole Miss.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 8:45 pm to raparoot
Florida -5 IMO
Posted on 9/30/08 at 8:52 pm to Ringeaux
The opening line will have Florida favored due to home field at the Swamp, it'll start to move once the bets start coming in.
Posted on 9/30/08 at 9:01 pm to Cornholio
I think we were favored by a point or two in 2006 the last time we came into the Swamp if I remember correctly. I was a little surprised by that.... on an aside, it was the most frustrating game I've been to as far as an LSU game... we literally gave that game away
Posted on 9/30/08 at 9:02 pm to raparoot
no.
home field on average is worth 3 points, but the swamp prob gets 4 or 5. We would not be favored by more than 4 or 5 on a neutral field.
home field on average is worth 3 points, but the swamp prob gets 4 or 5. We would not be favored by more than 4 or 5 on a neutral field.
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