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re: CFB bets week 5

Posted on 9/28/11 at 1:07 pm to
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 1:07 pm to
Baylor hasn't proved anything yet and this is their first semi-legit defense they have played. I believe K State is 3-0 as well so the Bears will be coming into a hostile environment in Manhattan.

My advice: trap game, stay away
Posted by Rouge
Floston Paradise
Member since Oct 2004
138309 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

and this is their first semi-legit defense they have played
TCU is not even semi-legit anymore?
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 1:31 pm to
My mistake. Still would not touch it though. They are still Baylor and until they can play the likes of A&M, OK St, and Oklahoma close, I'm gonna be very hesitant to take them in conference match-ups.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 6:44 pm to
been out of commission for this week.

Whats the trending team?

already on USF, Baylor, Wisky, Texas tech, and GA tech

about to get more on GA Tech
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

already on USF, Baylor, Wisky, Texas tech, and GA tech

about to get more on GA Tech



sounds about right

if you want a hot o/u jump on ucla/stanford 55.5 cincinati/miamiOH 56 and my fav LSU/kentucky 44.5. Over for all the above
Posted by tigerbait01
Sec. 423 Row 18
Member since Jul 2007
4077 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 7:40 pm to
I'm probably taking the under for Ark/A&M. it's at 62
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 7:52 pm to
quote:

I'm probably taking the under for Ark/A&M. it's at 62


sounds ok, wanna know what sounds better i just looked at

the under for GT/UNC at 62.5 i don't see either team breaking 34-36, and don't see the failpack scoring more than 20

and i am also trying to crunch some numbers on the UH/UTEP game.. but off the bat i like over at 65.5, will edit after--

ETA- i hit 68.75 with UH/UTEP.. but with a backup QB and probable QB could make me really rethink taking the under
This post was edited on 9/28/11 at 8:09 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82143 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

the under for GT/UNC at 62.5 i don't see either team breaking 34-36, and don't see the failpack scoring more than 20

I agree with this, I have the game at GT-34 NCST-14
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

I agree with this, I have the game at GT-34 NCST-14


i have it GT-32.5 failpack-15.5 so it isn't even close, a lot of running/clock eat up by GT and failpack doing a big run/gun fail equaling up for a lot of clock time being eaten up.

Makes me wonder about the spread
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82143 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:13 pm to
I emptied 30% of my account on GT

Biggest bet I have had in recent memory
Posted by death valley driver
CHOPPA CITY
Member since Jul 2004
11681 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:19 pm to
why is the line going up?
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

I emptied 30% of my account on GT


depeding on how i do thursday night, i am seriously considering betting 5-6 on up to 8 units on it, which i do maybe once or twice a season.. the spread seems to go to be true and so does the under

i keep thinking it has to be a trap or i am really missing something. It was was one of of those lines that when it comes out you say, "wait.. wtf?", and jump on it in hopes that the rest of the bookmakers are just doing what some "expert" on either team conjured up
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

why is the line going up?


my only guess is that people are hedging it in hoping it will drop to 9 or 8.5, which i don't see happening..

but if so.. omg
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26725 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:23 pm to
OK guys, here are my bets. I am up $305 on the year, and am laying it ALL on the line.

Bet 75.00 to win 68.18

GaTech
Under 63

Bet 75.00 to win 68.18

Georgia Tech -9.5

Bet 50.00 to win 45.45

LSU
Over 45

Bet 55.04 to win 50.04

Georgia Tech -12

Parlay:

Parlay (3 Teams) 09/27/11 19:39 ET
bet 45.83 to win 234.58 Result: Pending

Alabama
Florida 10/01/11(20:05 ET)
Alabama -3 (-140)
Bought 1.0 point(s)

Clemson
VirginiaTech 10/01/11(18:05 ET)
Clemson +7 (-115)

Duke
FloridaIntl 10/01/11(19:05 ET)
FloridaIntl -3



Posted by death valley driver
CHOPPA CITY
Member since Jul 2004
11681 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:24 pm to
tech has given up 3 TDs in ever game they've played....you're basically betting on NCSTs defense to hold them under 40
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26725 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:25 pm to
Nah, I'm betting on NC State's offense being horrible.
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:33 pm to
quote:

you're basically betting on NCSTs defense to hold them under 40


kinda

if i do take the under it will just be one of two

this is what i am gambling on for GT to cover the spread and the their run game to eat up the clock for the under
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82143 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

Best Lima Beans You'll Ever Eat!
Posted by colorchangintiger
Dan Carlin
Member since Nov 2005
30979 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:36 pm to
Was the LSU game taken off of anybody else's sports book? It's gone from BetUS as of a few minutes ago.
Posted by death valley driver
CHOPPA CITY
Member since Jul 2004
11681 posts
Posted on 9/28/11 at 8:36 pm to
shittier than west carolina, middle tennessee st and kansas? i'll probably end up taking it too but dumping out your account is alittle extreme
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