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re: CFB bets week 5

Posted on 9/29/11 at 3:12 pm to
Posted by touchdown moses
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
6030 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 3:12 pm to
off subject a little but i just looked at Pitt schedule and they have 8 home games and only 4 road games
they beat maine 35-29 btw at home



maine
Posted by touchdown moses
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
6030 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 3:16 pm to
WOW 5 dimes has Arizona at +12.5 now @ USC
down a full point from yesterday
i like zona to cover big time but got it at 14
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 3:18 pm to
If it gets to 14 im gonna be all over Zona
Posted by touchdown moses
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
6030 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

If it gets to 14 im gonna be all over Zona

yeah i think you missed the window
this thing may be at 10 by kickoff
don't hesitate to get them in a tease at over 17 pts though
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48252 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 3:38 pm to
1st bet of the week for me: USF 1st half -1.5

Good luck, guys.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82144 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 3:50 pm to
Just finished up a busy day, ready to win some monies tonight!
Posted by touchdown moses
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
6030 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 3:58 pm to
Arizona down to +12 now on 5 dimes

Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 4:02 pm to
Go Bulls. I'll be checking in later...
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9017 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

I really like S. Carolina this week, ML may run for 300 yards this week


Auburn's D and specifically their Rush D is absolute poopoo. Only hope Auburn has is to score every possession.
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12076 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

I like the home underdog in these situations especially when the public is on the favorite.


So stupid. So it doesn't matter who the teams are, or their abiilities, just who is playing where and what the public thinks? That's all that decides a game is what the public thinks?
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9017 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 4:13 pm to
It's called RLM betting and some people swear by it. If you follow the guidelines you can hit somewhere below 59% in NCAAFB. The problem is with juice accounted for that's tight margins.

Some people swear by it. I however only take notice if it's against a team I bet on for other reasons.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48252 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 4:15 pm to
quote:


It's called RLM betting and some people swear by it. If you follow the guidelines you can hit somewhere below 59% in NCAAFB.


I'm at 57% right now with bad beats in btb weeks.

Anything over 52.5% is winning with 10% juice.
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
9017 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

I'm at 57% right now with bad beats in btb weeks.


Are you saying you are 57% by RLM betting?

And I was fairly sure it was ~52% I just didn't want to make my math struggles obvious

And with smaller betting the margins just aren't that big. I've gone from I've turned $20 into $124 in two weeks. Not a whole lot of money but I feel like I created money from air

ETA: actually -$20 to +$124 but that's because I broke 2 of my rules by betting the NFL and the Saints.
This post was edited on 9/29/11 at 4:20 pm
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48252 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

Are you saying you are 57% by RLM betting?


57% with my picks. I could care less about RLM.

Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82144 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 5:05 pm to
Anyone want to explain what RLM is?
Posted by CE Tiger
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
41893 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Anyone want to explain what RLM is?


reverse line movement

quote:

RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.



Posted by fastedLSU
BR
Member since Sep 2007
4477 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 5:08 pm to
I'm on Pitt for the game but taking USF -.5 +125 first quarter.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82144 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 5:10 pm to
Gotcha


I am not a RLM player
Posted by fastedLSU
BR
Member since Sep 2007
4477 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 5:10 pm to
RLM is reverse line movement. I briefly explained it in thr Week 1 CFB thread.
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/29/11 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

TigerTatorTots


you starting the Thursday night college football thread?

just wondering.. you seem to be good luck when you start it first
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