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Posted on 8/31/18 at 12:38 pm to oleyeller
Idk if I play that many, but I have big cards usually with a lot of chalk through around week 3 or so. It seems to pay most of the time
My problem is giving it back on sundays once both seasons are rolling
My problem is giving it back on sundays once both seasons are rolling
Posted on 8/31/18 at 12:43 pm to oleyeller
Tennessee +10 (-120)
I was holding out for 10.5 and it went the other way. UT 5 year recruit average is about 30 spots ahead and 2 year 20 spots. So the more athletic team is getting double digits. You can also rely on WV f'ing up on special teams. UT obviously needs to get pressure on Grier and they can. I see them controlling the clock on the ground as well.
I was holding out for 10.5 and it went the other way. UT 5 year recruit average is about 30 spots ahead and 2 year 20 spots. So the more athletic team is getting double digits. You can also rely on WV f'ing up on special teams. UT obviously needs to get pressure on Grier and they can. I see them controlling the clock on the ground as well.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 12:45 pm to oleyeller
quote:
Its a rollercoaster. And anyone who tekls you they always win, are lying. I probably bet 300ish games and came out a around $2500 in the positive.. best year ive had. Year before last i think i lost $700, year before that won $200. You have to ride the highs and lows. My units are only $50 a game though and have 10-15 games bet a weekend. Not counting live lines i hit later in the night when im either a)chasing or b) had a good day and feeling lucky.
This is me exactly. I say to myself, self, I am going to find 2 or 3 games I really like and play those, and that's it. Then Saturday morning by 11:00 I have $50 action on 10-15 games, multiple 3 and 4 team parlays, etc. Then by the time the night games are approaching I'm either chasing or trying to bankrupt my bookie. 
Posted on 8/31/18 at 12:53 pm to SouthEndzoneTiger
Would you guys Western Kentucky to cover tonight? Line is set at -35.5 for Wisconsin-WKU.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 12:54 pm to LSUShock
quote:
Don't know how you guys can win throughout the year with so many plays
Betting a lot for the first weekend, I'm excited. Usually bet 10 games in a weekend, bet 159 games last year for the reg season.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:17 pm to SouthEndzoneTiger
I used to chase just to have action on games, but have gone with an actual strategy the last 2 years that has paid off pretty well, especially earlier in the year. I'm usually between 3-5 games a weekend, a little more the first couple weekends just because I'm excited. There's not much "data" behind it, but I do some rough analysis.
I put a lot of emphasis on Returning Starters (weighted towards QB & D) and Top 50 Overall Defenses primarily as dogs. As favorites, usually don't mess with anything over about -10. I try to find games where teams are strong in those categories vs teams who trend the other way in those categories.
NW last night was a great example at +3.5. They returned 14 starters overall including QB & 7 from a Top 35 2017 Defense. Purdue was a team that only returned 4 on a Defense that finished 52nd last year. It showed on the field. Later in the year, veteran led defenses can keep a team in a game for a half or a 3 quarters. Good opportunity for 1H covers as dogs in the later portion of the season. I may be crazy, but having that as a sort of guideline has helped my decision making the last couple years.
I put a lot of emphasis on Returning Starters (weighted towards QB & D) and Top 50 Overall Defenses primarily as dogs. As favorites, usually don't mess with anything over about -10. I try to find games where teams are strong in those categories vs teams who trend the other way in those categories.
NW last night was a great example at +3.5. They returned 14 starters overall including QB & 7 from a Top 35 2017 Defense. Purdue was a team that only returned 4 on a Defense that finished 52nd last year. It showed on the field. Later in the year, veteran led defenses can keep a team in a game for a half or a 3 quarters. Good opportunity for 1H covers as dogs in the later portion of the season. I may be crazy, but having that as a sort of guideline has helped my decision making the last couple years.
This post was edited on 8/31/18 at 1:19 pm
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:25 pm to oleyeller
quote:
you mean the rationale of it actually happening?
Lol I'm pretty sure the odds this actually happened are about 0, but I'd really love to hear him explain the play (again, this didn't actually happen).
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:27 pm to LSUShock
quote:
LSUShock
Solid strategy
I definitely place a ton of value on returning starters and seniority.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:28 pm to Azazello
My plays for the weekend:
Auburn -2
Bama -24.5
Bama over 62.5
FAU/OK over 72
OM/TT over 67
Auburn -2
Bama -24.5
Bama over 62.5
FAU/OK over 72
OM/TT over 67
This post was edited on 9/1/18 at 11:02 am
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:33 pm to Faceplant
quote:
My problem is giving it back on sundays once both seasons are rolling
screw nfl! Bunch of crooks in vegas lolol. Im not betn nfl unless its teasing teams up to 7.5 or down to 1.5
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:34 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
Tennessee +10 (-120)
i have tn 10.5 i booked on my card several wks ago. More of a homer bet hoping we can surprise people. o well we will see
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:35 pm to SouthEndzoneTiger
quote:
Then by the time the night games are approaching I'm either chasing or trying to bankrupt my bookie.
every week
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:43 pm to oleyeller
I have lost so much money on homer Vols picks
The games are stressful enough without money on it.
The games are stressful enough without money on it.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 1:46 pm to Faceplant
quote:
My problem is giving it back on sundays once both seasons are rolling
I have been following Cowherd's Blazing 5 NFL picks for the past couple of years and have done really well.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 2:21 pm to oleyeller
How do you post tickets on here? I’ve been on this board forever but I still can’t figure out how to get a picture from my phone to here
Posted on 8/31/18 at 2:22 pm to Azazello
I tailed him a few yrs ago and he was absolutely on fire. He cooled off a bit and I kinda forgot about him
Posted on 8/31/18 at 2:45 pm to JG77056
quote:
How do you post tickets on here? I’ve been on this board forever but I still can’t figure out how to get a picture from my phone to here
go to a pic hosting site like imgur, upload there... copy the image url, paste it in image link button on this site.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 3:03 pm to bstew3006
4-1 ytd
0-0 parlay ytd
Tonite:
Utah St +23.5 Win
W. Kentucky +36 win
Stanford -14 win
Army +14 Loss
Syracuse -5 Win
added
Wisconsin o51.5 loss
Parlay:
25/1000
UCF WIN
Minnesota WIN
Utah St. +23.5 Win
Syracuse -5 Win
Stanford -14 Win
Army +14 Loss (damn you)
25/1000 loss
Duke U46
Wisconsin o51.5
Colorado st o66
Stanford o49.5
mich st u53
w. mich u67.5
0-0 parlay ytd
Tonite:
Utah St +23.5 Win
W. Kentucky +36 win
Stanford -14 win
Army +14 Loss
Syracuse -5 Win
added
Wisconsin o51.5 loss
Parlay:
25/1000
UCF WIN
Minnesota WIN
Utah St. +23.5 Win
Syracuse -5 Win
Stanford -14 Win
Army +14 Loss (damn you)
25/1000 loss
Duke U46
Wisconsin o51.5
Colorado st o66
Stanford o49.5
mich st u53
w. mich u67.5
This post was edited on 9/1/18 at 6:17 am
Posted on 8/31/18 at 3:30 pm to oleyeller
LOL, my only 2 loses are stupid FCS vs FCS games.
For farks sake, why would you touch them with FBS games going on!!!!!!
And Georgia st was worthless for 55minutes out of 60. Still do not know how they covered.
For farks sake, why would you touch them with FBS games going on!!!!!!
And Georgia st was worthless for 55minutes out of 60. Still do not know how they covered.
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