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Started By
Message
re: Cincy -2.5 @ South Florida
Posted on 10/15/09 at 1:13 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
Posted on 10/15/09 at 1:13 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
I know, but I'm so hard headed...
I've won 11 of my last 13 bets(lost wisconsin vs osu, and LSU vs UF), and I'm just in one of those rolls where I can just feel Cincy covering this game tonight-I'll be very shcoked if they dont-
I've won 11 of my last 13 bets(lost wisconsin vs osu, and LSU vs UF), and I'm just in one of those rolls where I can just feel Cincy covering this game tonight-I'll be very shcoked if they dont-
0
Posted on 10/15/09 at 1:22 pm to rocket31
quote:
i like cincy here, and i like them a lot.
I have SFLA + 16.5 in part 2 of my teaser. If I can somehow catch 3 or 3.5 with SFLA, I'll play em.
Good luck though.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 1:24 pm to Will Cover
if the line moves down to 1.5 or 1 I will jump on cincy, Don't see them losing this game, Also like the under still.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 1:36 pm to Will Cover
quote:
If I can somehow catch 3 or 3.5 with SFLA, I'll play em.
Good luck though.
bol as well
Posted on 10/15/09 at 1:48 pm to rocket31
Just read a good thought from another board
Also another guy on this board lives a block from the stadium and says the weather looks bad, he just like the poster on here, joked about weather being a factor earlier, but has now said he thinks its going to pour.
quote:
the line was opened for me at 3.5 points. As of this morning, it is now 2 points. The line has shifted in favor of USF by a 1.5 points. But only 30% of the public is betting on USF.
What does this trend mean? It means that the 30% of the combined bets heavily outweighs the 70% of the public betting on Cincy. So that means all the big heavy bets are being placed on USF. This is also known as a reverse line movement.
Just like last nights game, if you had follow this kind of trend, you would have won.
So if it stays like this, i am going to go bigger on USF.
Also another guy on this board lives a block from the stadium and says the weather looks bad, he just like the poster on here, joked about weather being a factor earlier, but has now said he thinks its going to pour.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 1:50 pm to TruLsu
Im going UNDER tonight
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:06 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
quote:
he line was opened for me at 3.5 points
this is not true though, (it opened at -1.5)i always follow the RLM trends and this game is not an indication of that wagering theory.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:10 pm to rocket31
FWIW, Brandon Lang is on S. Florida for 20 dimes. Normally, he is a great fade.
Interesting with almost 10,000 wagers at one sportsbook (relatively speaking, small sample, but often a great indication of what is taking place at other outs), the line goes down but the majority of the betting public is playing Cincinnati. Usually this is a good sign to play the opposite side.
quote:
Cincinnati U 71.19%
South Florida 28.81%
9900 Bets
Interesting with almost 10,000 wagers at one sportsbook (relatively speaking, small sample, but often a great indication of what is taking place at other outs), the line goes down but the majority of the betting public is playing Cincinnati. Usually this is a good sign to play the opposite side.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:18 pm to Will Cover
you should set up an account on
LINK
if you dont have one already...
it provides betting trend information from 7 online sportsbooks, weather, injuries, etc and its all free.
very useful tool.
ETA: currently they are reporting:
35,923 bets
spread
cincy 70%
sf 30%
ML
cincy 58%
sf 42%
LINK
if you dont have one already...
it provides betting trend information from 7 online sportsbooks, weather, injuries, etc and its all free.
very useful tool.
ETA: currently they are reporting:
35,923 bets
spread
cincy 70%
sf 30%
ML
cincy 58%
sf 42%
This post was edited on 10/15/09 at 2:21 pm
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:39 pm to rocket31
being bored at work is never good for betting, I got on USF and the Under early, but decided to throw 5 on a dumb parlay and came up with this.
106 S Florida +2 -110
106 S Florida un48½ -110
951 PHI Phillies gm1 +125
951 PHI() ov7 -120
91 NHL Away Teams +130
Risk $5.00 To win $137.85
106 S Florida +2 -110
106 S Florida un48½ -110
951 PHI Phillies gm1 +125
951 PHI() ov7 -120
91 NHL Away Teams +130
Risk $5.00 To win $137.85
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:40 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
haha, bol to you.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:42 pm to rocket31
indeed, gives me some reason to cheer on the baseball game, wanted to bet the over on the game, but I've got a couple nice size bets out already on the USF game. 
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:49 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
The RLM on this game is pretty intense. Some real heavy hitters are taking the Bulls.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:51 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
quote:
91 NHL Away Teams +130
expain this one for me please
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:53 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
expain this one for me please
the away teams total goals tonight will be higher than the home teams total goals
they usually have an over under total of goals in the entire league
usually referred to as "The Grand Salami"
Posted on 10/15/09 at 2:54 pm to LSU-MNCBABY
quote:
"The Grand Salami"
gotcha... yea I've seen this.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 5:13 pm to BayouBengals03
Eighty-two percent of the side action is on Cincy and 69 percent is behind the over.
I'm siding with the book here.
USF & the under
I'm siding with the book here.
USF & the under
Posted on 10/15/09 at 6:14 pm to CWilken21
frick. The line is now at -1 Cincy. I took Cincy at 2 1/2. 
Something fishy about this.
Something fishy about this.Posted on 10/15/09 at 6:16 pm to TigerEyes
Pack it up pack it in. USF takes this one.
Thursday night ESPN College football: Where road favorites go to die.
Thursday night ESPN College football: Where road favorites go to die.
Posted on 10/15/09 at 6:18 pm to LikeKnightsofOld
I keep pulling the trigger on more and more as it lowers, got em at -2, -1.5, and now -1. Dont like the drop but I was committed at -2 so F it
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