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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 5
Posted on 9/25/13 at 9:30 am to Captain Ron
Posted on 9/25/13 at 9:30 am to Captain Ron
Save a team who has a heisman winner and a most likely Belitnekoff finalists, we have allowed 10 and 6 points in our other two games. The only touchdown allowed against vatech was 70+ yards I believe.
You must be basing the whole analysis off Bama vs. A&M. Which is fine since it's been our only real test.
You must be basing the whole analysis off Bama vs. A&M. Which is fine since it's been our only real test.
1
Posted on 9/25/13 at 9:32 am to Captain Ron
Their defense has holes that were exploited by one of the best games ive ever seen a college QB and WR play. Mike Evans had almost 300 yards receiving. I expect quite a few 3 and outs from Ole Miss and Bama is gonna be able to score. 38-10 is a very real possibility. Bo Wallace isnt gonna buy 3 seconds with his legs and then unload a 60 yard bomb. He just isnt that kind of QB
This post was edited on 9/25/13 at 9:37 am
Posted on 9/25/13 at 9:38 am to Captain Ron
quote:
because Alabama is riding high on yesterday's news and they are not as good as the pundits pronounce them to be.
What did I miss
Posted on 9/25/13 at 9:42 am to bamafan425
The fact is that each of Alabama's games has been an outlier. Given that, it's very easy to rationalize our own preconceived perceptions.... That said, I'm trying to look through all of that subjectively, and I see AJ, Amari, Vinnie, and Saban, and just can't help but think this team is as stacked as ever.
I still don't think I'll play this one though. Plus, I'd rather not have money on these big SEC games so that I can sit and enjoy them.
I still don't think I'll play this one though. Plus, I'd rather not have money on these big SEC games so that I can sit and enjoy them.
Posted on 9/25/13 at 9:50 am to Flatt2Flowers04
quote:
I would put the title to my truck on Aggy -3
I saw Clay Travis say on Sunday that TAMU opened at -3 and literally couldn't log on to 5dimes fast enough to put my balance on it
. Low and behold, 5dimes didn't have it posted; and from what I can tell still don't. Posted on 9/25/13 at 10:00 am to DovaVol
A&M opens -17 at the Golden Nugget.
Posted on 9/25/13 at 10:18 am to bamafan425
Well that's certainly not as fun as -3.
Posted on 9/25/13 at 10:46 am to bamafan425
Good thing I got it at 3
How people could think it was 3 is beyond me
Edit: joke
How people could think it was 3 is beyond me
Edit: joke
This post was edited on 9/25/13 at 10:48 am
Posted on 9/25/13 at 10:51 am to wish i was tebow
Said I was going to pound anything +14.5 and above for Arkansas.
Going to pound +17
I think Arky will go the Air Force/Navy strategy and milk every second of the clock they can to shorten the game, and run the ball almost every play.
Going to pound +17
I think Arky will go the Air Force/Navy strategy and milk every second of the clock they can to shorten the game, and run the ball almost every play.
Posted on 9/25/13 at 10:51 am to wish i was tebow
Your bookie won't no action it?
Posted on 9/25/13 at 10:54 am to bamafan425
None of my locals have a line on the game yet
Posted on 9/25/13 at 10:55 am to bamafan425
It was never on with my guy. We both knew it was a joke and laughed about it.
I thought the line would open at 15.5-16.5
I thought the line would open at 15.5-16.5
Posted on 9/25/13 at 11:01 am to wish i was tebow
UCONN is a 1 point dog at Caesar's against SUNY- Buffalo. I know UCONN is down but they just played Michigan to a 3 point game. Am I missing something? I know nothing about SUNY.
Posted on 9/25/13 at 11:04 am to wish i was tebow
I figured you were joking.
If I had a bookie that took -3, I would bet a grand, then when the real line came out bet half a grand on Arkansas.
Okay, the -17 the Golden Nugget has was from their GOY lines released in June.
It's still off the board everywhere.
If I had a bookie that took -3, I would bet a grand, then when the real line came out bet half a grand on Arkansas.
Okay, the -17 the Golden Nugget has was from their GOY lines released in June.
It's still off the board everywhere.
Posted on 9/25/13 at 11:07 am to bamafan425
quote:
Okay, the -17 the Golden Nugget has was from their GOY lines released in June.
It's still off the board everywhere.
Because its gonna be -3
I would actually have bet a grand then like 250 on the middle. TAMU would cover 3 easily. Wouldnt want to waste to much free money on a middle chance
Posted on 9/25/13 at 11:26 am to wish i was tebow
The weekly pickem pool I am in sets on Wednesdays, it has the line at -10.5. Not sure their process of setting lines that have not been released yet. Just food for thought.
Posted on 9/25/13 at 11:37 am to bobbyray21
quote:
Is three points enough of a delta for you to pull the trigger? Just curious.
All depends on the game.
I use my hard numbers as a way of picking out lines I am interested in. Then I go to each matchup and breakdown the situation, past history, coaching, Home Field, what side I feel like the books are backing. I learned a long time ago that if you think you are going to simply beat Vegas with some numbers you came up with you are going to get beat down, maybe not every week, but long term you can not beat them at their game. They have too much manpower and data behind those lines.
Posted on 9/25/13 at 11:46 am to TigerTatorTots
From Bovada
I'm taking
Ole Miss +15.5 vs bama
Stanford -10 vs Wash State
OSU -7 vs Wisconsin
Miami -19 vs UCF
still waiting on a line for the A&M game
I'm taking
Ole Miss +15.5 vs bama
Stanford -10 vs Wash State
OSU -7 vs Wisconsin
Miami -19 vs UCF
still waiting on a line for the A&M game
This post was edited on 9/25/13 at 12:02 pm
Posted on 9/25/13 at 12:25 pm to Choctaw
I'm in a pick 'em league where you pick 5 games ATS...I shite YOU NOT, A&M is +7 on it.
Here's my 5, what do you think?
Duke -10
Rice -13.5
Seattle(NFL) -3
Texas A&M +7
Navy -3
Here's my 5, what do you think?
Duke -10
Rice -13.5
Seattle(NFL) -3
Texas A&M +7
Navy -3
Posted on 9/25/13 at 12:31 pm to BaylorTiger
Bama down to -14.5.
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