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re: Official NFL Week 2 Bet Thread

Posted on 9/16/15 at 3:14 pm to
Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
10193 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 3:14 pm to
The Saints might get Byrd and Spiller back. They got Josh Morgan back. So Vegas will put out the line once they know who is playing on the Saints?

No word on the QB situation in Cleveland yet.
Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
10193 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

Anyone think the Broncos cover the 3 points at KC tomorrow?


ATS Trends

Denver

Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC West.
Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.


Kansas City

Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC.
Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC West.
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Chiefs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Chiefs are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2.


Posted by Hodson2Fuller
Member since Aug 2015
561 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 4:05 pm to
Bovada is still missing the TEN-CLE TB-NO and BAL-OAK games.

I'd really love to take the Saints in this spot, but I fear a back door. Just too many points (on all the other sites; assume it'll be 10+ at Bovada).

Thanks for those trends, Saintsfan
This post was edited on 9/16/15 at 4:06 pm
Posted by TotallyTigers
Champagnionship
Member since Nov 2004
2891 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 4:43 pm to
4-0 in Week 1


Week 2 plays thus far:

NYG -1 (-120)

Tampa Bay +10 (-110)

6.5-point teaser (ties win) (-115) (basically a ML parlay)
Ravens -.5 / Colts -1

6-point teaser (ties win) (-105)
Seahawks +10 / Cowboys +11


More to come...
Posted by Hodson2Fuller
Member since Aug 2015
561 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 5:21 pm to
Nice start!
This post was edited on 9/16/15 at 8:24 pm
Posted by Hodson2Fuller
Member since Aug 2015
561 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 8:25 pm to
I'd like to see some totals players weigh in.

Like the under in the NE-BUF and ARI-CHI games.
Like the over in the TB-NO and ATL-NYG games.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 9:36 pm to
Score predictions for every game, huh?
Posted by Hodson2Fuller
Member since Aug 2015
561 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 9:58 pm to
They're predictions, boss. Not gospel. Feedback is welcome.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:02 pm to
Bet thread is now the Hodson NFL week 2 prediction thread
This post was edited on 9/16/15 at 10:03 pm
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82270 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:06 pm to
Definitely a "look at me" thread
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:07 pm to
Its to much. Somebody will jump the gun next week and start it.
Posted by Hodson2Fuller
Member since Aug 2015
561 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:27 pm to
Thanks!
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:48 pm to
Plays so far:

Steelers -5.5
Giants -1

Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82270 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:54 pm to
Like the picks dcrews, i'll likely be on that
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 11:11 pm to
Steelers opened @ -6.5. Now getting a free point at home was enticing, especially considering how everyone will only remember how good SF looked against what I believe to be an over hyped Minnesota team.

Short week for the Niners and a long week for the Steelers makes it even better. Add the fact that the Niners are traveling practically from coast to coast.

Plus, aside from the one turnover, the Steelers nearly had the Patriots beat. They just couldn't punch the ball in. You can fix turnovers.

Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8759 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 11:14 pm to
Will be playing Denver tomorrow. Everybody and their mom thinks that Peyton is done. I'm not ready to bury him yet.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82270 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 11:15 pm to
I see a boatrace in that game. Pittsburgh runs away late, probably wins by 17ish.

Reasons you mentioned like the monday night turnaround for SF and they are being over valued. Its like no one watched how inept they were for 3 quarters besides Hyde.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 11:18 pm to
quote:

Its like no one watched how inept they were for 3 quarters


Very true.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 12:42 am to
Playing a 2-team, 7-pointer:
Broncos +10
Pats +7

As "public" as it gets, but I like the value too much.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32601 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 8:08 am to
quote:

Score predictions for every game, huh?


wtf
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