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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 8/26/14 at 10:38 pm to wish i was tebow
Posted on 8/26/14 at 10:38 pm to wish i was tebow
LOL, i fricking was addicted ot the online roulette i was up 80 then went -30.. 
Posted on 8/26/14 at 10:50 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
I might have just lost 30 dollars on blackjack after being up 50 maybe
Save it and put it on Baylor
This post was edited on 8/26/14 at 10:51 pm
Posted on 8/26/14 at 10:55 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
I might have just lost 30 dollars on blackjack after being up 50
maybe
what's the matter with you?
Posted on 8/26/14 at 11:07 pm to The Boat
Just once. If you make it to 10 you forfeit the 5 prize & so on
Posted on 8/26/14 at 11:47 pm to Billy Mays
quote:
I like teasers because it's Week 1.
There are so many unknowns and I'm an "eyeballs" bettor.
Expert analysis is kinda of silly right now. This is a "feel it out" week.
How does that justify teasers?
You don't know anything so you counteract that by making a terrible bet?
Posted on 8/26/14 at 11:48 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
I don't doubt Tennessee is recruiting better now, but it is going to take some time before they get better and gel. Expect a tight game. Utah St is due for a win against the big boys. Don't forget they nearly beat USC at the coliseum last year.
I also locked in Arkansas +21
They were better last year.
Keeton is 10 months off a torn ACL and MCL. No way he's the same Keeton.
Posted on 8/26/14 at 11:51 pm to Flatt2Flowers04
i will jerk off if so
Posted on 8/26/14 at 11:53 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
I might have just lost 30 dollars on blackjack after being up 50
maybe
I might have maybe done that three or four times.
Alcohol imbibing may have preceded any of the blackjack sessions I may have participated in.
But but but...the Costa Rican dealer girl was HOT!
Posted on 8/26/14 at 11:54 pm to Carson123987
quote:
i will jerk off if so
You like PSU?
I have no read on that game. Drop some knowledge on me.
Posted on 8/27/14 at 12:07 am to kidbourbon
quote:
How does that justify teasers? You don't know anything so you counteract that by making a terrible bet?
Who the frick are you to say something is a terrible bet? You don't think successful gamblers never tease games, parlay, or buy points? Straight betting isn't the only way to win.
You sound like a guy who has rebuy every year because you clearly don't know shite about the variety of ways to cash tickets...
Posted on 8/27/14 at 12:13 am to Billy Mays
What up BM?!?!?! Don't let the noob get you riled up. frick him!
Posted on 8/27/14 at 5:42 am to kidbourbon
quote:
How does that justify teasers?
You don't know anything so you counteract that by making a terrible bet?
I was going to leave it alone but... THIS!
Posted on 8/27/14 at 5:48 am to Billy Mays
quote:
Who the frick are you to say something is a terrible bet?
If I could open a sportsbook that could do 100% of my volume on NCAAF 3-team 10-pt teaser at -115 juice I would. I definitely agree with him that the logic of using this week one is off. If there are higher levels of uncertainty you just compound the uncertain outcome by needing three results.
Theoretically a combo 10pt teaser would be more effective once the models for setting the lines have 6-8 weeks of data.
Posted on 8/27/14 at 6:05 am to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 8/27/14 at 7:28 am to ChemE in the OP
OK CFB bet thread all-stars, it's getting down to crunch time. T minus 35 hours or so until the start of the real college football season.
Had a health scare this last year that put things in perspective so even though everything is good I'm still knocking off as many bucket list items as I can. So far in the last few months I've checked off WSOP and Yellowstone although I plan to do both again. Next up is winning the Supercontest.
To enter I'm taking $500 on 2 opening weekend games. The second will be Baylor on Sunday, but I need help coming up with a Thu-sat game to start it. Right now I'm looking at the over in the Wazzou game (via Brian Edwards), U of Houston, miss st, LSU (really, really don't want to use this but I think it's a great bet), and Arizona against a UNLV team they dominated last year breaking in a new QB. Also open to Florida, A&M (will probably play them on the ML somewhere)....
Talk to me brethren of the TD CFB bet thread.
Had a health scare this last year that put things in perspective so even though everything is good I'm still knocking off as many bucket list items as I can. So far in the last few months I've checked off WSOP and Yellowstone although I plan to do both again. Next up is winning the Supercontest.
To enter I'm taking $500 on 2 opening weekend games. The second will be Baylor on Sunday, but I need help coming up with a Thu-sat game to start it. Right now I'm looking at the over in the Wazzou game (via Brian Edwards), U of Houston, miss st, LSU (really, really don't want to use this but I think it's a great bet), and Arizona against a UNLV team they dominated last year breaking in a new QB. Also open to Florida, A&M (will probably play them on the ML somewhere)....
Talk to me brethren of the TD CFB bet thread.
Posted on 8/27/14 at 7:31 am to Flatt2Flowers04
quote:
Another lean: USC -21
right off the bat..
without looking at a single piece of info on anything college football related,(and i haven't.. seriously), this looks good..
but as you all know, i don't play the first week of the season..
Posted on 8/27/14 at 7:36 am to aVatiger
quote:
but as you all know, i don't play the first week of the season.
I think this is a mistake.
Sure there are a lot of unknowns, but what that does is there are a lot of lines that can be taken advantage of if you do your "research," especially on units the average Joe doesn't care about (OL and DL). Once you have more data to go by, so does the average Joe and that usually closes the gap between perception and reality, which means the lines are tighter.
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:28 am to castorinho
quote:
Sure there are a lot of unknowns, but what that does is there are a lot of lines that can be taken advantage of if you do your "research,"
agreed
quote:
Once you have more data to go by, so does the average Joe and that usually closes the gap between perception and reality, which means the lines are tighter.
duh, castor
i know that if i would have played the first week of the season the past two years i would have been 5-12.. i gotta go back and check three years ago, but i believe that would bump me to 7-15
Posted on 8/27/14 at 8:30 am to aVatiger
quote:
i know that if i would have played the first week of the season the past two years i would have been 5-12.. i gotta go back and check three years ago, but i believe that would bump me to 7-15
Even better, you're "due."
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