Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™ | Page 20 | More Sports
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re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 11/9/12 at 1:34 am to
Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 1:34 am to
The Louisville line is SO fishy, but I love a top 10 QB going up against a very bad pass efficiency defense in a DOME no less... other than that Syracuse does not stand out in any category. Louisville is simply the better team.

Ive alreayd made these bets:

Okie State/WVU under 78.5
Indiana +7.5
Louisville -1.5
Marshall -3
Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 1:45 am to
anyone liking Washington +1 at home v Utah?
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 5:50 am to
quote:

Zona-28.5: first half spread?


Zona QB is out .
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 6:33 am to
quote:

Zona QB is out


Thanks
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 7:29 am to
Looking hard at Miss St +14.5, can't see how LSU rebounds well.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16907 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 7:39 am to
You seen Moo State's offense?
Posted by colston12
Member since Jan 2007
769 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:00 am to
On LSU hard.

MSU can't move the ball vs. them or stop the run.

This game has 38-10 written all over it IMO.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:07 am to
Two plays locked in so far (from earlier):

Bama -13.5
Arizona St +10
Posted by Htown Tiger
Houston
Member since Sep 2005
2329 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:24 am to
Here are my spreadsheet picks for this week. They were 12-8 last week, 3-2 on O/U. 1-0 this week on Va Tech last night:

Hawaii +29
Colorado St +1.5
North Carolina -8
Illinois +3
Texas -10
Memphis pick
Virginia -1
Ole Miss -3
New Mexico St +21
Washington +1
New Mexico/Wyoming Over 55.5
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:28 am to
15-4 this season, +14 units

My plays this week:

2* Arky State -7 vs. ULM (Already won)
1* USCw -9 vs. ASU (How does ASU keep up? Barkley stat-padding time)
1* Tulane -1 at Memphis (Griffin makes me believe)
1* SMU -12.5 vs. USM (USM is atrocious and SMU scores a ton in Highland Park)
1* UGA -15 at Auburn (Auburn vs. USM would be a good game)

BOL everyone!
Posted by WRedmondsStang
Member since Sep 2012
460 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:35 am to
It seems that everyone who likes Memphis uses a spreadsheet. Is that a fair assumption? I like Tulane myself, but did notice that for the most part, those on Memphis refer to a spreadsheet. Could the spreadsheet analysis be flawed with Tulane QB Griffin missing several games? I only ask because I have no idea how these things work and which variables are accounted for.
Posted by shuke33
Under The Bridge
Member since Nov 2010
9052 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:58 am to
quote:

Washington +1 at home v Utah?


Not Really. Utah's John White has found his Mojo after having a disappointing season so far. Washington is really bad at stopping the run.

Expect a low scoring game with Utah dominating time of possession.
This post was edited on 11/9/12 at 8:59 am
Posted by Htown Tiger
Houston
Member since Sep 2005
2329 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:28 am to
quote:

It seems that everyone who likes Memphis uses a spreadsheet. Is that a fair assumption? I like Tulane myself, but did notice that for the most part, those on Memphis refer to a spreadsheet. Could the spreadsheet analysis be flawed with Tulane QB Griffin missing several games? I only ask because I have no idea how these things work and which variables are accounted for.

It's definitely a fair assumption. My spreadsheet, as well as rocket's, also initially had ULM last night. I didnt bet it, and instead took Arky St given ULM's injuries. My sheet also likes Maryland , but given they've lost 4 QBs this season, I wont be on that either. It's one of those things that is hard to adjust for, so you have to either decide to play it or lay off. I decided to keep it given the line is moving in the same direction.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67929 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:31 am to
Just curious, what makes you so confident in Az St? I think it will be a disaster for them
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:46 am to
quote:

Just curious, what makes you so confident in Az St? I think it will be a disaster for them


I'm not sure either. The public has been all over ASU the entire week. USCw is so explosive and ASU is not.

I could see this game being a mudhole if USCw goes up 21-0 and ASU becomes one dimensional.

I like the Trojans a lot.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18027 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:52 am to
I was thinking State as well. It's very likely the O-line and Mett have a bit of a letdown after last week. I'm thinking 21-10.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:53 am to
I know it's more likely that Mett will come down from his high, but I'm afraid he's found his stride and will keep rolling.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18027 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 10:09 am to
Does anybody bet the favorites on big money lines (-300 to -500)? Have to have a big bankroll, and have to chose wisely given the upset risk. But it seems like it would pay off.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16907 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 10:09 am to
Fellas, Mett doesn't have to do a thing. Moo State will struggle to put points on the board. LSU will slam it down their throats, and have the defense gassed by the 4th quarter.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 11/9/12 at 10:10 am to
I know bobbyray does. Definitely think it has some merit, but like you said, gotta be wise.
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