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re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 11/9/12 at 1:34 am to JG77056
Posted on 11/9/12 at 1:34 am to JG77056
The Louisville line is SO fishy, but I love a top 10 QB going up against a very bad pass efficiency defense in a DOME no less... other than that Syracuse does not stand out in any category. Louisville is simply the better team.
Ive alreayd made these bets:
Okie State/WVU under 78.5
Indiana +7.5
Louisville -1.5
Marshall -3
Ive alreayd made these bets:
Okie State/WVU under 78.5
Indiana +7.5
Louisville -1.5
Marshall -3
Posted on 11/9/12 at 1:45 am to Ghazi
anyone liking Washington +1 at home v Utah?
Posted on 11/9/12 at 5:50 am to bobbyray21
quote:
Zona-28.5: first half spread?
Zona QB is out .
Posted on 11/9/12 at 6:33 am to Chef Leppard
quote:
Zona QB is out
Thanks
Posted on 11/9/12 at 7:29 am to bobbyray21
Looking hard at Miss St +14.5, can't see how LSU rebounds well.
Posted on 11/9/12 at 7:39 am to ChemE in the OP
You seen Moo State's offense?
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:00 am to ChemE in the OP
On LSU hard.
MSU can't move the ball vs. them or stop the run.
This game has 38-10 written all over it IMO.
MSU can't move the ball vs. them or stop the run.
This game has 38-10 written all over it IMO.
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:07 am to colston12
Two plays locked in so far (from earlier):
Bama -13.5
Arizona St +10
Bama -13.5
Arizona St +10
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:24 am to colston12
Here are my spreadsheet picks for this week. They were 12-8 last week, 3-2 on O/U. 1-0 this week on Va Tech last night:
Hawaii +29
Colorado St +1.5
North Carolina -8
Illinois +3
Texas -10
Memphis pick
Virginia -1
Ole Miss -3
New Mexico St +21
Washington +1
New Mexico/Wyoming Over 55.5
Hawaii +29
Colorado St +1.5
North Carolina -8
Illinois +3
Texas -10
Memphis pick
Virginia -1
Ole Miss -3
New Mexico St +21
Washington +1
New Mexico/Wyoming Over 55.5
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:28 am to Htown Tiger
15-4 this season, +14 units
My plays this week:
2* Arky State -7 vs. ULM (Already won)
1* USCw -9 vs. ASU (How does ASU keep up? Barkley stat-padding time)
1* Tulane -1 at Memphis (Griffin makes me believe)
1* SMU -12.5 vs. USM (USM is atrocious and SMU scores a ton in Highland Park)
1* UGA -15 at Auburn (Auburn vs. USM would be a good game)
BOL everyone!
My plays this week:
2* Arky State -7 vs. ULM (Already won)
1* USCw -9 vs. ASU (How does ASU keep up? Barkley stat-padding time)
1* Tulane -1 at Memphis (Griffin makes me believe)
1* SMU -12.5 vs. USM (USM is atrocious and SMU scores a ton in Highland Park)
1* UGA -15 at Auburn (Auburn vs. USM would be a good game)
BOL everyone!
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:35 am to Billy Mays
It seems that everyone who likes Memphis uses a spreadsheet. Is that a fair assumption? I like Tulane myself, but did notice that for the most part, those on Memphis refer to a spreadsheet. Could the spreadsheet analysis be flawed with Tulane QB Griffin missing several games? I only ask because I have no idea how these things work and which variables are accounted for.
Posted on 11/9/12 at 8:58 am to Ghazi
quote:
Washington +1 at home v Utah?
Not Really. Utah's John White has found his Mojo after having a disappointing season so far. Washington is really bad at stopping the run.
Expect a low scoring game with Utah dominating time of possession.
This post was edited on 11/9/12 at 8:59 am
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:28 am to WRedmondsStang
quote:
It seems that everyone who likes Memphis uses a spreadsheet. Is that a fair assumption? I like Tulane myself, but did notice that for the most part, those on Memphis refer to a spreadsheet. Could the spreadsheet analysis be flawed with Tulane QB Griffin missing several games? I only ask because I have no idea how these things work and which variables are accounted for.
It's definitely a fair assumption. My spreadsheet, as well as rocket's, also initially had ULM last night. I didnt bet it, and instead took Arky St given ULM's injuries. My sheet also likes Maryland , but given they've lost 4 QBs this season, I wont be on that either. It's one of those things that is hard to adjust for, so you have to either decide to play it or lay off. I decided to keep it given the line is moving in the same direction.
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:31 am to ChemE in the OP
Just curious, what makes you so confident in Az St? I think it will be a disaster for them
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:46 am to Carson123987
quote:
Just curious, what makes you so confident in Az St? I think it will be a disaster for them
I'm not sure either. The public has been all over ASU the entire week. USCw is so explosive and ASU is not.
I could see this game being a mudhole if USCw goes up 21-0 and ASU becomes one dimensional.
I like the Trojans a lot.
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:52 am to ChemE in the OP
I was thinking State as well. It's very likely the O-line and Mett have a bit of a letdown after last week. I'm thinking 21-10.
Posted on 11/9/12 at 9:53 am to LSUJuice
I know it's more likely that Mett will come down from his high, but I'm afraid he's found his stride and will keep rolling.
Posted on 11/9/12 at 10:09 am to bamafan425
Does anybody bet the favorites on big money lines (-300 to -500)? Have to have a big bankroll, and have to chose wisely given the upset risk. But it seems like it would pay off. 
Posted on 11/9/12 at 10:09 am to bamafan425
Fellas, Mett doesn't have to do a thing. Moo State will struggle to put points on the board. LSU will slam it down their throats, and have the defense gassed by the 4th quarter.
Posted on 11/9/12 at 10:10 am to LSUJuice
I know bobbyray does. Definitely think it has some merit, but like you said, gotta be wise.
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