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Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 2 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 9/10/14 at 8:51 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Posted on 9/10/14 at 8:51 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
I'm damn sure not playing the under. 
0
Posted on 9/10/14 at 9:48 pm to LooseCannon22282
quote:
looking at JAX +6- I just don't see any reason to believe in WASH right now. JAX will come to play and it will be close. I wouldn't even be surprised to see JAX win straight up.
Yes - one of my favorite plays of the week. I just hope Jonathan Cyprien is healthy enough to play for JAX.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 8:42 am to Billy Mays
Page 2! Nah, can't have that.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 8:43 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
Sep 11 NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[102] BAL RAVENS -145
218 / 150
Posted on 9/11/14 at 9:30 am to ChemE in the OP
1U PITT/BAL O44.5 -103
1U BAL -2.5 -105
0-0 YTD
1U BAL -2.5 -105
0-0 YTD
This post was edited on 9/11/14 at 9:36 am
Posted on 9/11/14 at 9:41 am to Louie T
Minnesota +3
Chargers +6
Bills +1
Jets +8.5
Panthers -2.5
Chargers +6
Bills +1
Jets +8.5
Panthers -2.5
Posted on 9/11/14 at 4:34 pm to ChemE in the OP
Where do you get your info on the public's betting trends?
Posted on 9/11/14 at 4:59 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
I think Baltimore wins if my life depended on it, but you can't take them -3. If it drops to 2.5 I'll probably be on them.
Lots of playmakers on offense for both teams and two transitioning defenses. Pittsburgh looked straight up terrible against an up-tempo Browns offense in the 2nd half last week. They couldn't get lined up. Their linemen weren't even set. They looked tired. They played a lot of base defense. Those things probably aren't fixable in such a short week.
As for Baltimore, they really struggled to run the ball in the first half against Cincy. They also had a ton of dropped passes. They pretty much abandoned the run. However, in the 2nd half they looked very good on offense, running the ball very well with Forsett. I think you'll see a bit of a running back by committee tonight.
Also, Kyle Shanahan (Browns Offensive Coordinator) coached under Kubiak (Baltimore Offensive Coordinator). They are from the same tree. Baltimore will do a lot of the same things on offense that Cleveland did last week to test this Pittsburgh defense.
As for Baltimore's defense, they really need Webb to play at corner. He's a very good player, and without him Antonio Brown should have a monster day. Webb didn't play last week, and AJ Green had a big play at the end of that game to win it.
The Ravens got hardly any pass rush last week, and any pass rush they get will have to come from Suggs and Dumervil. They were pretty decent against the run, but I still think Pittsburgh will be able to run the ball.
I don't think the Ray Race thing will be any distraction for the Ravens. It's a short week and they don't have time to worry about stuff like that. I trust Harbaugh.
In the end, I wouldn't trust Pittsburgh's defense. Baltimore's defense, like I said, is in transition as well. Pittsburgh should try to run the ball a good bit, and I'm sure Baltimore will too (since they threw it 62 times last week). However, I think we'll see some big plays tonight, too.
I'm leaning over 44.5 as of now.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 5:46 pm to BayouBengals03
I'm taking Pitt +3 and the over of 44.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 6:04 pm to 4LSU2
I played ravens ml
Posted on 9/11/14 at 6:24 pm to tigerNation09
Im takin Ravens -2.5 and Steelers TT over 10.5
Posted on 9/11/14 at 6:26 pm to tigerNation09
Ravens 1st half over 10 1/2
Steelers 1st half over 10 1/2
Ravens/Steelers over 44
Steelers 1st half over 10 1/2
Ravens/Steelers over 44
Posted on 9/11/14 at 6:29 pm to Louie T
I'm with Louie
Posted on 9/11/14 at 6:36 pm to ChemE in the OP
When's the last time a Ravens-Steelers game had 45 points? Those always seem to be low scoring.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 6:37 pm to BilJ
I think I may get off my BAL bet. If the line doesn't move back to PIT +3, I will probably arbitrage BAL -2.5 -105 with PIT +2.5 +110 & guarantee myself a small profit. #s heavily favor BAL, but this is a weird spot.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 6:42 pm to castorinho
quote:
Those always seem to be low scoring.
They had better defenses then.
Baltimore still has some big names on defense (Ngata, Suggs, Dumervil, Webb), but they are really young on that side. Front 7 still has question marks.
Baltimore is stronger on the O-line than Pittsburgh. I ended up taking Baltimore ML.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 6:56 pm to BayouBengals03
Only play, Bell over 3.5 receptions.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 7:24 pm to castorinho
Webb is out. He's their number one CB and the guy who was going to guard Antonio Brown all night. That is a game changer.
Posted on 9/11/14 at 7:26 pm to blakep
Huge game-changer.
ETA: liking the over more
ETA: liking the over more
This post was edited on 9/11/14 at 7:27 pm
Posted on 9/11/14 at 7:28 pm to BayouBengals03
I'm a degenerate, I just bet $5 that the first play from scrimmage is a run play
ETA: WWWWOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!
ETA: WWWWOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!
This post was edited on 9/11/14 at 7:29 pm
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