Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Official Week 6 NFL Bet Thread | Page 13 | More Sports
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re: Official Week 6 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 10/13/14 at 2:53 pm to
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 2:53 pm to
Can you answer my question, bub?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

Can you answer my question, bub?


Enough said. That's troll-type phrasing, chief.
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:04 pm to
Thanks. Good luck tonight
Posted by oVo
Member since Dec 2013
11983 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:07 pm to
Took the over tonight at 44.5.

Lost last night. Took the over at 51. frick TB that was the only team I got wrong in my 5 game parlay.
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
29329 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

frick TB that was the only team I got wrong in my 5 game parlay.

Ouch
This post was edited on 10/13/14 at 3:11 pm
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:11 pm to
Good work. I like the over as well
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:11 pm to
Definitely like the over if I had to lean one way, both defenses are living off reputation more than recent performance. Was hoping for 42 or so...
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

both defenses are living off reputation more than recent performance.


the 49ers are top 3 in all major categories. Reputation doesn't get you those stats
This post was edited on 10/13/14 at 3:23 pm
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:37 pm to
The Cards and Bears both torched them in the 2nd half and the stats are further skewed because the Eagles didn't need offense to score on them, D/ST did all the damage. The 49ers D is considerably worse than they were in the past two seasons.
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 3:40 pm to
Okay

Eta: FWIW, I promise you I wasn't trolling and am not here to start shite even though it seems like I may have. Sorry for hijacking this thread. Carry on sir
This post was edited on 10/13/14 at 4:01 pm
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 4:06 pm to
We're good. With LSU on a down year, TD.com has just gotten so negative and it's got me on edge... This thread is all about beating the books, not each other.

With that being said, hope you're wrong about tonight...

Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82303 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 4:54 pm to
What was your reasoning for taking the Eagles last night?

That had to be close to 50/50 with the public.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67918 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

For example, if 80% of the money is on one side but the line moves 4 points then the move is legitimate and there's no play.

But... If 80% of the money is on one side but the line holds or moves opposite then you know there's big money on the short side.

So, what you're looking at is the wager % and the line movement. The % alone isn't as useful. Are you familiar with RLM?


Bingo

And

quote:

But... If 80% of the money is on one side but the line holds or moves opposite then you know there's big money on the short side.


= the game tonight
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 4:58 pm to
Got tense in here.

Guess is was a bad sunday
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 4:58 pm to
Keep telling yourself that.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 5:01 pm to
Mostly wanted to sell high on the giants... Their market perception was sky high.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67918 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Guess is was a bad sunday


0-7, with 2 losses on disgusting pick sixes, 1 from breaking my own rule, 3 from blowouts, and one by a half point.

My bookie texted me asking me wtf happened and offered me 300 line of credit to fight back. I told him id try and chip back with the $44 I have left dg went 0-9 and ChemE had a lot of the same plays as me

We are tense
This post was edited on 10/13/14 at 5:04 pm
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67918 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 5:03 pm to
K.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4298 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 5:04 pm to
Bourgs ChemE

Bourgs comes in swinging like a champ, acting like a pro yet doesnt post picks. ChemE comes back with a right hook backing up his reasoning and always posts plays. Bourgs sucks, ChemE wins
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 5:07 pm to
Luckily I was fishing or I would have most likely been burned with the rest of y'all. Hit the only 2 plays I made and am throwing it all on the San Fran tonight.
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