Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Official Week 6 NFL Bet Thread | Page 2 | More Sports
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re: Official Week 6 NFL Bet Thread

Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:48 pm to
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Fishy line


Indy is well ahead of Houston in the Vegas ranks and Houston is getting around 3 points for homefield advantage. The line is about right.

To me, this is play on Andrew Luck (who has been unstoppable the last few weeks) and against Ryan Fitzpatrick who is playing an improving Colts D coming off a draining loss to their instate rival.

I'm fully aware the public will be on Indy, and the pros will be on the Texans.

Sometimes the public is right.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

You still like Cincy with AJ Green getting carted off the field today?


Yup... hopefully it will drop a point and I can load up more. The Bengals get Vontaze Burfict back this week (the AJ Green of the defense).
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 8:14 am to
BIG CARD WEEKEND!!!

[102] HOU TEXANS +3-125
250 / 200

[252] NY JETS +10-115
230 / 200

[260] MIA DOLPHINS +3½-110
220 / 200

[266] BUF BILLS +3-120
240 / 200

[268] TB BUCCANEERS +3½-110
220 / 200

[270] OAK RAIDERS +8-125
250 / 200

[278] STL RAMS +3+105
200 / 210

Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
33125 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 8:45 am to
Man you love you some against the public bets, good luck

I haven't been doing great last few weeks after a smoking hot start, I've got some big plays in CFB so I may lay off the NFL until I see what happens there
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 8:51 am to
Stars just aligned this week. Lots of home dogs the public hates. Not going to break my system just because a lot of games fit the bill...

It's been working really well this year!

Posted by Cole Beer
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
4848 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:11 am to
So, what percentage of the time do you actually pick a team laying points? Ever?
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
162431 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Man you love you some against the public bets


aside from last season that's usually where you want to be....

I'm on the fence about tonight, so far this season Luck has just been one of those guys I don't like betting against.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 9:19 am to
In the NFL, I play a FAV maybe 10% of the time. NCAAF, maybe 25% of the time.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 11:39 am to
I may double up on Jets and Raiders. Percentages are nearing the "big play" range.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36680 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 12:02 pm to
I'm hoping for 10.5 on the NYJ. I will likely never see the # though; it would move right back to 10 before I even had a chance.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36680 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 12:03 pm to
Almost 90% on DEN spread

Good frick
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25816 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 12:10 pm to
The Jets have been burning the pros and sharps the last 2 weeks.

If they lose again backing that shitshow again, they have no one to blame but themselves.

I would take NYJ gun-to-head, but I want no part of this debacle
Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8876 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 1:43 pm to
I bet the Jets two weeks ago when they were the "right" side, and lost. I stayed away last week, and they also didn't cover.

I can't in my right mind back a team with an offense that is so pathetically bad at the QB position.
Posted by Sader1990
Metairie
Member since Jun 2013
1095 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 2:22 pm to
Whats yall opinion on the OV/UN tonight? My book has it at 46.5
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 2:56 pm to
It's certainly hard to justify backing the Jets but I've got a feeling they cover this week and maybe even get the SU win. We shall see...

As for now... Go Texans!

Posted by jembeurt
Raceland
Member since Apr 2008
8876 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 3:36 pm to
Any reason in particular you're on the Texans tonight? Or is this one of your "fade the public" games?

I like their defense but I also think Luck is pretty hot right now. Its also hard for me to bet against my fantasy QB.
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

I bet the Jets two weeks ago when they were the "right" side, and lost.


I'm still pissed at the Jets for not covering that MNF game against Chicago. Geno pissed that game away.

Bored at work so I looked up the last time I remember the Broncos laying double digits on the road and it was in 2012 @ KC. The Chiefs were 1-10 with Brady Quinn at QB and covered in a loss 17-9

So as ugly as it looks it is possible the Jets cover. I will bet all double digit home dogs in the NFL on principle. The Jets match up so terribly with them though.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67904 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 4:12 pm to
Nice card breh. Love some of those
Posted by Grassy1
Member since Oct 2009
7330 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 5:00 pm to
Let's go Texans!

Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 10/9/14 at 5:14 pm to
I'm on Indy tonight. Let's do it
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