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re: Worst team to ever win a Championship

Posted on 6/15/11 at 3:00 pm to
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
37358 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 3:00 pm to
quote:


I'm not disputing the impact of turnovers, I'm disputing whether a team can reliably control turnovers. They aren't completely random, but teams can't really control their +/-. If you want to guess a team that will disappoint next season, look for a team with a huge turnover differential. They are likely not as good as their record.



In an individual game I agree with you... luck plays a major part in +/- results

But over the course of a season it becomes less random and more the mark of a good team IMO
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 3:03 pm to
It's not entirely random, it's just closer to random than yards.

For example, the Steelers were +17 this year and the Patriots were +28. 2009? -3 and +6 respectively. Both saw their turnover margins swing by 20 turnovers in one season. That's huge. Buffalo, who was -17 this year, was +3 in 2009. These are massive swings.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
289793 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

I'm not disputing the impact of turnovers, I'm disputing whether a team can reliably control turnovers.



I am not saying they are totally controllable, though.


Random or not, it doesn't change the fact that year to year, teams that force a lot of turnovers are usually in the playoffs.

Whether they are the same teams every year does not really matter.

quote:

If you want to guess a team that will disappoint next season, look for a team with a huge turnover differential. They are likely not as good as their record.



I wasn't predicting anything in this thread. We were talking about years past.


Whether turnovers are random year to year is rather irrelevant. You can't take away what the 2009 Saints did, for example. Even if in 2010 it proved that their 2009 turnover mark was a "fluke".


the discussion is just kind of getting away from where it originally started. It wasn't about turnovers being random or not. Just their importance over yardage. At least that is my opinion.



anyway it all dates back to what McElroy said about the older champions are better than the new ones, because no teams were top 10 in defense and offense(based on yards). I just think that is an absolute silly way to state your case for that argument. I'd be open to other reasons, but that is not a good one.

Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
37358 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 3:10 pm to
there are big swings from year to year but many times IMO that is a reflection of both schedule and the team composition changing (esp defensive emphasis - but to some extent offensive philosophy as well)

The Saints Super Bowl year should have been a year when they finished with a great +/- number... they played a lot of inexperienced and not amazing QBs (esp early that year)

And one thing changes the other IMO... if you are playing a young QB IMO you approach the game differently as a defensive coordinator... you can more easily to decide to take risks and force mistakes instead of playing more conservatively
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
79447 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 3:12 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/15/11 at 3:20 pm
Posted by ohiovol
Member since Jan 2010
21014 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 5:16 pm to
quote:


98?

Italy won 2004, dont you ever forget it
Brazil prior to that im pretty sure


Italy won in 2006.
Posted by Rebman601
Tejas
Member since May 2010
2689 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

2006 Cardinals?
84 BYU?
85 Nova?


Mississippi State 1998 SEC western division champs.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216350 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Mississippi State 1998 SEC western division champs.


And came THIS close to winning the SECCG.
Posted by LouisianaSatNight
Baltimore, MD
Member since Dec 2010
913 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 6:13 pm to
Colorado/Georgia Tech or 84 BYU in a landslide. BCS gets hated on so much but the system before that was broken as shite.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60944 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 6:36 pm to
The 2009 and 2010 Saints are great examples of how turnovers can wildly vary from year to year.
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89921 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 6:48 pm to
1978 Washington bullets
44-38 regular season record
Posted by LSUtigersarefun
Member since Aug 2009
9602 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 6:56 pm to
1972 USSR basketball team, cheated 3 times in 3 seconds to beat the USA. It was so bad that the USA refused to receive their medals.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216350 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 6:57 pm to
quote:

1978 Washington bullets
44-38 regular season record


Thats a real good one SUPA!!!
Posted by ohiovol
Member since Jan 2010
21014 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

And came THIS close to winning the SECCG.


Wasn't any closer than the 2007 Vols came to winning it.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216350 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 6:59 pm to
quote:

1972 USSR basketball team, cheated 3 times in 3 seconds to beat the USA


That was a good team. Don't bring cheating into this. BTW the USA should have been up by twenty.
Posted by Buckeye Fan 19
Member since Dec 2007
36550 posts
Posted on 6/15/11 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

Rebman601


quote:

Mississippi State 1998 SEC western division champs.


I'd say Ole Miss 03 was worse.
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