Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Beryl Thread - the clean up begins... | Page 25 | O-T Lounge
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re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...

Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:38 pm to
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8709 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:38 pm to
So it hits Natchez then cuts back across LA?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
130431 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

What run is he referencing?


The one he wants to get clicks
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43268 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:41 pm to
Euro ensemble, collection of 50 members and they tweak the condiitons and hence the many different solutions
Posted by Upshift Downshift
Red Stick
Member since Feb 2022
381 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

Hope it slices up towards Texas and brings the rain.



Droughtcucks cope and seethe. Move to a better state.
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
6019 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:44 pm to
quote:


So it hits Natchez then cuts back across LA?


No that black line doesn't mean anything
It says its the median track but its not because a bunch of ensembles disappear after they hit Mexico. There is still way more ensembles going west than North
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
128114 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:46 pm to
Am I cooked for Gulf Shores next week?
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12161 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Classic Wishcaster


I wonder if YouTube shut off the ad revenue for people wishcasting or doom casting storms if they would continue to post fear.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84068 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:56 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21271 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:03 pm to
I mean, that is what the 00z to 12z trend showed. He could have used some nuance, I guess, but it is pretty straight forward. Not really in the category of a major wishcast

From the latest NHC discussion:

quote:

The
latest track guidance has shifted a bit northward this cycle


quote:

The official
prediction still shows Beryl emerging into the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico as a tropical storm at day 5, but the track uncertainty is
greater with more ensemble spread during this period
.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
73480 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Euro ensemble, collection of 50 members and they tweak the condiitons and hence the many different solutions

This is how all ensembles work.
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
38950 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Am I cooked for Gulf Shores next week?


Hell no!

That shite isn't coming to the northern Gulf.

Maybe a few days of red flags though
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
73480 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

I mean, that is what the 00z to 12z trend showed. He could have used some nuance, I guess, but it is pretty straight forward. Not really in the category of a major wishcast.

I was going to say that it was basically a trimmed down version of what you've been saying.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84068 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:12 pm to
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
67229 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:15 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51407 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

Am I cooked for Gulf Shores next week?

There is very little chance that Beryl will have any direct impact on the northern Gulf Coast, particularly Gulf Shores to Panama City. That said, there will probably increased surf and rip currents there.
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
16913 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:20 pm to
So Beryl went through an EWRC last night, how long until that could happen again?
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1277 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:20 pm to
The guy's whose stream died as the eyewall moved over just posted a heck of a video: LINK
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33031 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:22 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
73480 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:24 pm to
Interesting debate in this Xwitter thread.

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Posted by LSURoss
Dragon Believer
Member since Dec 2007
16633 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 4:24 pm to
Woah.
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