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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:47 pm to lsuman25
That’s very scary…
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:48 pm to LegendInMyMind
Apologies, that comment came off to me as trite and discompassionate.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:49 pm to longhorn22
quote:
Fake news right?
Just wishcasting according to Cosmo.
This post was edited on 7/1/24 at 7:51 pm
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:49 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
LegendInMyMind
But what do you say? You're pretty much cosmo lite.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:50 pm to LPLGTiger
I think klfy dude is also the one who said Laura wouldn’t be anything. 
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:50 pm to dukke v
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:50 pm to maisweh
Dang! I was planning a trip to cozumel 
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:50 pm to maisweh
quote:
You're pretty much cosmo lite.
Oh, I could never approach the heights of the great Cosmo. I thank you, sir, for making such comparisons.
Tell us, what do you think?
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:53 pm to rds dc
Why is it predicted to weaken south of Jamaica? Wind shear? EWRC? Patch of cooler water?
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:53 pm to BurningHeart
quote:
Assuming it veers off the Yutacan as a tropical storm, how much strength could it realistically gain back for a TX or LA hit?
That is a ways out, but models do show an upper level low over the SW Gulf as the system moves across the Yucatán. Depending on the motion of the ULL, it could either shear the system, keeping it weak, or it could establish an outflow channel to set the stage for strengthening.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:54 pm to rds dc
quote:
it could either shear the system, keeping it weak, or it could establish an outflow channel to set the stage for strengthening.
Well at least we have that.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:56 pm to Mr Roboto
Not again!!! We In Houma are good for a while. I’m supposed to be heading to orange beach on Thursday!
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:56 pm to OysterPoBoy
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:56 pm to rds dc
So I know intensity plays a factor in how well a storm fights off sheer but what about size? Will a smaller storm have more trouble with sheer than a larger one?
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:57 pm to rds dc
I’m going to Cancun on July 17th, I know no one cares, but does this still seem doable?
Is there severe storm surge with Beryl?
Is there severe storm surge with Beryl?
This post was edited on 7/1/24 at 7:58 pm
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:57 pm to NorthEndZone
Just getting back on here after a few hours and catching up on the news and video from the drone.
One thing to consider is that the WXChasing guys set up on the west side of the island (they mentioned it in their stream this morning that they considered the east side but didn't trust the structures that were available).
The island is only 12 square miles, but if the drone only flew on the west side of the island, the damage is probably a bit worse on the east side that was fully exposed to the surge and unblocked winds. With such a small island and that it was a direct hit, the damage difference on the east and west sides may not be extreme but it is still probably significant.
One thing to consider is that the WXChasing guys set up on the west side of the island (they mentioned it in their stream this morning that they considered the east side but didn't trust the structures that were available).
The island is only 12 square miles, but if the drone only flew on the west side of the island, the damage is probably a bit worse on the east side that was fully exposed to the surge and unblocked winds. With such a small island and that it was a direct hit, the damage difference on the east and west sides may not be extreme but it is still probably significant.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:57 pm to ApisMellifera
A smaller core is easier to disrupt than a bigger one.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:58 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Oh, I could never approach the heights of the great Cosmo. I thank you, sir, for making such comparisons.
Tell us, what do you think?
I'm only a step about peej
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:58 pm to rds dc
quote:
Depending on the motion of the ULL, it could either shear the system, keeping it weak, or it could establish an outflow channel to set the stage for strengthening.
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