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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/1/18 at 3:24 am to whodatdude
LA is right where you want to be 5 days out.
Posted on 9/1/18 at 5:59 am to Dizz
Guess I’ll be gassing up on Monday morning 
Posted on 9/1/18 at 6:28 am to PhillyTiger90
Are we just in for lots of rain next week?
Posted on 9/1/18 at 6:55 am to meeple
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 1 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Florence, located about a couple of hundred
miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.
A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing
numerous showers and thunderstorms from Hispaniola northward across
the Turks and Caicos Islands. This activity is forecast to spread
west-northwestward, enhancing rainfall across Hispaniola, the Turks
and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas this weekend, and across Florida
and the northern Gulf of Mexico coast by early next week. Strong
upper-level winds will likely prevent significant development of
this system during the next couple of days, but environmental
conditions are expected to become a little more favorable for a
surface low pressure area to form when the disturbance moves across
the Gulf of Mexico during the early to middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Avila
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 1 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Florence, located about a couple of hundred
miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.
A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing
numerous showers and thunderstorms from Hispaniola northward across
the Turks and Caicos Islands. This activity is forecast to spread
west-northwestward, enhancing rainfall across Hispaniola, the Turks
and Caicos Islands, the Bahamas this weekend, and across Florida
and the northern Gulf of Mexico coast by early next week. Strong
upper-level winds will likely prevent significant development of
this system during the next couple of days, but environmental
conditions are expected to become a little more favorable for a
surface low pressure area to form when the disturbance moves across
the Gulf of Mexico during the early to middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Avila
This post was edited on 9/1/18 at 7:11 am
Posted on 9/1/18 at 7:06 am to lsuman25
Gordon would be the name if this thing organizes....unless something else pops up off of Africa in the next few days
Posted on 9/1/18 at 7:11 am to lsuman25
I know it's only 40% for now, but that percentage keeps rising.
Posted on 9/1/18 at 7:15 am to rds dc
Thank you for the interpretation professor!
Posted on 9/1/18 at 7:27 am to Da Sheik
Ran my genset yesterday . I'm good
Posted on 9/1/18 at 7:34 am to lsuman25
NHC has been slow walking this one but may have to invest it later today and start ramping up the language.
Posted on 9/1/18 at 7:37 am to rds dc
lovely
Posted on 9/1/18 at 7:52 am to East Coast Band
So it begins...
Posted on 9/1/18 at 8:08 am to rds dc
So it seems the stronger it is the more West it goes, Is that correct?
The Canadian and ukmet have it stronger going to Texas
The Canadian and ukmet have it stronger going to Texas
Posted on 9/1/18 at 8:22 am to Midtiger farm
quote:
So it seems the stronger it is the more West it goes,
Seems the north curve early on was based on historical data... the high pressure ridge in the Atlantic seemed to contradict that turn from my layman's eye.
Edit: speaking of Florence
This post was edited on 9/1/18 at 8:24 am
Posted on 9/1/18 at 8:34 am to rds dc
quote:
NHC has been slow walking this one but may have to invest it later today and start ramping up the language.
last I saw... AT WORST it would be a tropical storm coming into LA and it would mainly be a rainmaker (which is esp. an issue since there's already a lot of rain along the LA gulf coast... they don't need any more)
is that changing?
Posted on 9/1/18 at 8:39 am to Zephyrius
quote:
Seems the north curve early on was based on historical data... the high pressure ridge in the Atlantic seemed to contradict that turn from my layman's eye.
Edit: speaking of Florence
a couple days ago when talking about the storm that is now Florence... TWC showed their steering currents graphic and showing a blocking high that basically covered the entire Atlantic
the meteorologist (I forget which 1) explained it as 2 separate highs covering the ocean... but that they expected there to be enough of a lane to be there between them for Florence to slip in between and turn north
This post was edited on 9/1/18 at 8:40 am
Posted on 9/1/18 at 8:46 am to rt3
Euro has (I believe) Florence dangerously close to the east coast on 9/11
Posted on 9/1/18 at 8:53 am to Midtiger farm
Still not very strong though, thankfully.
This post was edited on 9/1/18 at 8:55 am
Posted on 9/1/18 at 9:57 am to tLSU
Posted on 9/1/18 at 10:33 am to rt3
Right now no. Thing is the forecast gets worse each day and anything can happen overnight with weather patterns. Models been pretty consistent on keeping the strength low as well as the track so the strength is good news. Bad news is everyday it gets worse so I think a possibility is out there it could be a bad problem for someone along the coast.
I think you have a lot of scenarios you have to look at with this system. The biggest being how fast it develops into something(if anything) and also how quickly before it makes landfall. Seems they're all over the place from hitting Louisiana to maybe Texas.
I just hope this thing doesn't end up like Isaac that basically just planted itself and skull fricked the Northshore pretty badly with flooding.
I think you have a lot of scenarios you have to look at with this system. The biggest being how fast it develops into something(if anything) and also how quickly before it makes landfall. Seems they're all over the place from hitting Louisiana to maybe Texas.
I just hope this thing doesn't end up like Isaac that basically just planted itself and skull fricked the Northshore pretty badly with flooding.
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