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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:40 am to Ba Ba Boooey
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:40 am to Ba Ba Boooey
at hour 168... it definitely butt-pumping more of the Bahama islands than it was in the 12z run
2
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:43 am to rt3
this... is mildly concerning
ETA: mildly b/c it's still way too far out time wise
ETA: mildly b/c it's still way too far out time wise
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 1:44 am
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:43 am to rt3
Misses the trough in this run. At hour 192 bearing down as a monster on south Florida.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:45 am to Ba Ba Boooey
quote:
Misses the trough in this run. At hour 192 bearing down as a monster on south Florida.
let's see what the last 2 images say... but this may be getting back to worst case scenario for the GOM states
ETA: nope... going to recurve right along the eastern seaboard
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 1:51 am
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:49 am to Ingeniero
quote:
Anyone got a good resource that'll explain what I'm looking at with these maps? Preferably a YouTube video?
Go to Tropical Tidbits and watch the videos on the home page. Usually a video every day when there is an active storm.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:51 am to rt3
I didn't see that jog north coming at 216 after all the other frames 
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:52 am to slackster
Floridians have puckered buttholes
Bahamas still bye-bye
Bahamas still bye-bye
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:52 am to Ba Ba Boooey
quote:
I didn't see that jog north coming at 216 after all the other frames
I didn't either
either way... it's a bit more west this run than 12z
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 1:55 am
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:56 am to rt3
nice knowing you, Gamecocks
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:58 am to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
"Irma" - classic old lady name. Scares me to death.
I'll use it in a sentence:
Irma shite myself if this storm gets into the gulf.
quote:You just made it into my top 5 TD posters of all time rank with this quote.
NawlinsTiger9
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:59 am to rt3
That storm could theoretically wipe a large portion of North AND South Carolina off the map.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:01 am to rt3
Yea it's still a while away but that jump north into a strong ridge is odd We will see what the next few runs show
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:01 am to TigerStripes06
so to recap...
00z GFS... landfall in Maryland/Delaware/Virginia/New Jersey
00z Euro... destroy Bahamas, kiss Florida, landfall in South Carolina/North Carolina
if I lived on the east coast... my spidey senses would seriously be starting to tingle
00z GFS... landfall in Maryland/Delaware/Virginia/New Jersey
00z Euro... destroy Bahamas, kiss Florida, landfall in South Carolina/North Carolina
if I lived on the east coast... my spidey senses would seriously be starting to tingle
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:05 am to Ba Ba Boooey
quote:
Yea it's still a while away but that jump north into a strong ridge is odd We will see what the next few runs show
to the met pros... is the general movement back to the west that's seems consistent somewhat disconcerting... if not concerning?
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:10 am to rt3
I just kinda want to lean on the, meet in the middle, philosophy that a lot of people have when it comes to the disagreement between the gfs and the euro. That keeps it far away from us, and while I don't want anyone to experience what this storm can possibly turn into, I care a lot more about our asses than their asses.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:11 am to rt3
I am on the west coast of FL, Naples area, an hour and a half NW of Miami. If it skirts the east coast, what does that mean for us? While Harvey was going on, we got a tropical storm that lasted for three days, felt like a normal weekend in Baton Rouge, and houses flooded here. I assume this thing is on a war path and won't stall out. 
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:18 am to rt3
Not a pro met...but I DO find it disconcerting AND concerning that the trending is going west. If it's going this far west now, LA is still very much in the military zone. 
But we CAN take solace in that the models do not get the strength right until later, right? Don't they generally overstate the strength a lot until a day or three before landfall, then they weaken from the projections? Didn't Harvey do that, too? Wasn't it showing like a 920-something for landfall a couple of days out?
But we CAN take solace in that the models do not get the strength right until later, right? Don't they generally overstate the strength a lot until a day or three before landfall, then they weaken from the projections? Didn't Harvey do that, too? Wasn't it showing like a 920-something for landfall a couple of days out?
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:37 am to liz18lsu
quote:
I assume this thing is on a war path and won't stall out.
Kinda LOOKS that way, but never assume. I would rather be in the Colorado mountains for the next couple of weeks than be anywhere near a coast down here right now.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:42 am to CCT
quote:
Kinda LOOKS that way, but never assume. I would rather be in the Colorado mountains for the next couple of weeks than be anywhere near a coast down here right now.
I'm no expert, but FL seems small enough that storms don't stall here. I can deal with the wind, but stalling rain, like Baton Rouge last year, or Harvey, I'm not equipped to deal with.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:58 am to liz18lsu
There's a U2 concert in NOLA on the 14th, too. shite.
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