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Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:46 pm to GRTiger
Raining pretty hard here in Kingwood now
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:46 pm to msutiger
Happy to help.
Feel free to post any questions you got here. One of the weather nerds or pros will be able to answer.
Feel free to post any questions you got here. One of the weather nerds or pros will be able to answer.
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:50 pm to Duke
Will be interesting to see how much rain Houston gets through the night... don't think it will be like what just went through, but an inch and hour will devastate the runoffs.
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:50 pm to rds dc
The CAMS continue to be relentless....
00z 3K NAM 40"+ for the Houston area
00z 3K NAM 40"+ for the Houston area
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:52 pm to rds dc
Mother of god... That is unreal.
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:54 pm to rds dc
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/13/23 at 10:48 pm
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:54 pm to rds dc
quote:
00z 3K NAM 40"+ for the Houston area
What was the previous prediction?
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:55 pm to rds dc
Is that from now forward or total storm projections ?
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:56 pm to rds dc
I see the NAM is also ran more eastern last run and quicker to the E then NE? GFS trending that way too? Curious what the euro will do as well.
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:56 pm to Lsut81
quote:
What was the previous prediction?
18z showed 33"
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:57 pm to Lsut81
What rds posted on the last page that like no one will be able to follow was sobering.
It depicts an atmosphere that will almost certainly produced prolonged heavy rains focused around Houston. Abundant moisture. Divergence (winds blowing away creating a localized lower pressure area to serve as a focus for lift) aloft. An almost moist adiabtic sounding profile (the air is saturated way up, making for more water to get squeezed out).
I can't overstate how dangerous this set up is, especially overnight.
It depicts an atmosphere that will almost certainly produced prolonged heavy rains focused around Houston. Abundant moisture. Divergence (winds blowing away creating a localized lower pressure area to serve as a focus for lift) aloft. An almost moist adiabtic sounding profile (the air is saturated way up, making for more water to get squeezed out).
I can't overstate how dangerous this set up is, especially overnight.
This post was edited on 8/26/17 at 11:04 pm
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:57 pm to List Eater
Are they going to warn this cell coming onshore near Bolivar Peninsula or what?
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:57 pm to jlntiger
quote:
Is that from now forward or total storm projections ?
That is from this evening to Tuesday morning.
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:58 pm to rds dc
quote:
18z showed 33"
So 7" uptick based off latest data?
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:00 pm to rds dc
Really starting to fill in behind that 1st band...
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:01 pm to rds dc
Mind numbing amount of rain falling.
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:02 pm to Lsut81
quote:
So 7" uptick based off latest data?
Possibly, it is really impossible to say why the projections are shifting from run-to-run, to many variables. The main takeaway, the CAMS (convection allowing models) continue to produce an alarming signal for insane rain amounts.
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:03 pm to rds dc
quote:
Really starting to fill in behind that 1st band...
Been watching that for a while now
Posted on 8/26/17 at 11:03 pm to Lsut81
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 04 FOR TROPICAL STORM HARVEY RAINFALL AND WIND
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
...TROPICAL STORM HARVEY OBSERVED RAIN TOTALS AND WIND REPORTS...
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 900 PM CDT...THESE ARE THE MOST RECENT RAINFALL AND WIND
REPORTS FROM TROPICAL STORM HARVEY. PLEASE REFER TO NHC FOR THE
LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HARVEY.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 PM CDT THU AUG
24 THROUGH 900 PM CDT SAT AUG 26...
...TEXAS...
AUSTWELL 6 SSE 15.10
SAN ANTONIO RIVER NEAR MCFAD 13.82
COLETO CREEK AT ARNOLD ROAD 13.25
LITTLE CYPRESS CREEK AT BECKER ROAD 11.12
FULSHEAR 3 NE 10.58
ARANSAS NWR 10.54
RICHMOND 3.4 NE 9.92
VICTORIA 2 SW 9.37
WEESATCHE 4 NNE 9.17
WESER 1.9 NW 9.17
SUGAR LAND .5 SE 8.58
BRAZORIA NWR 8.44
LA GRANGE 1 W 8.35
GONZALES 9 SW 8.33
EDNA 8.24
SANTA FE 0.7 S 8.04
BASTROP 7.91
SMILEY 7.91
DANBURY 6 SSE 7.89
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 7.73
ANGLETON/LAKE JACKSON 7.70
LA VERNIA 8 ENE 7.61
LULLING 4 NNW 7.57
SMITHVILLE 7.50
CUERO 8.4 S 7.41
MEYERSVILLE 3 NE 7.41
HALLETTSVILLE 7.38
HOUSTON/HULL FIELD 7.33
BELLVILLE 7.24
BRAZORIA COUNTY AIRPORT 7.12
ROBERT R WELLS JR AIRPORT 7.12
WATTERSON 4 NNE 7.03
ROSANKY 6.92
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 6.81
HOUSTON SOUTHWEST AIRPORT 6.40
LOCKHART 6 NE 6.37
NEW ULM 0.1 ENE 6.36
GREATWOOD 6.20
ELDRIDGE 5.92
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
...TROPICAL STORM HARVEY OBSERVED RAIN TOTALS AND WIND REPORTS...
FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV
AT 900 PM CDT...THESE ARE THE MOST RECENT RAINFALL AND WIND
REPORTS FROM TROPICAL STORM HARVEY. PLEASE REFER TO NHC FOR THE
LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON HARVEY.
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES FROM 800 PM CDT THU AUG
24 THROUGH 900 PM CDT SAT AUG 26...
...TEXAS...
AUSTWELL 6 SSE 15.10
SAN ANTONIO RIVER NEAR MCFAD 13.82
COLETO CREEK AT ARNOLD ROAD 13.25
LITTLE CYPRESS CREEK AT BECKER ROAD 11.12
FULSHEAR 3 NE 10.58
ARANSAS NWR 10.54
RICHMOND 3.4 NE 9.92
VICTORIA 2 SW 9.37
WEESATCHE 4 NNE 9.17
WESER 1.9 NW 9.17
SUGAR LAND .5 SE 8.58
BRAZORIA NWR 8.44
LA GRANGE 1 W 8.35
GONZALES 9 SW 8.33
EDNA 8.24
SANTA FE 0.7 S 8.04
BASTROP 7.91
SMILEY 7.91
DANBURY 6 SSE 7.89
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 7.73
ANGLETON/LAKE JACKSON 7.70
LA VERNIA 8 ENE 7.61
LULLING 4 NNW 7.57
SMITHVILLE 7.50
CUERO 8.4 S 7.41
MEYERSVILLE 3 NE 7.41
HALLETTSVILLE 7.38
HOUSTON/HULL FIELD 7.33
BELLVILLE 7.24
BRAZORIA COUNTY AIRPORT 7.12
ROBERT R WELLS JR AIRPORT 7.12
WATTERSON 4 NNE 7.03
ROSANKY 6.92
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 6.81
HOUSTON SOUTHWEST AIRPORT 6.40
LOCKHART 6 NE 6.37
NEW ULM 0.1 ENE 6.36
GREATWOOD 6.20
ELDRIDGE 5.92
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