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Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:03 pm to Coater
Thanks Coater
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:04 pm to blzr
quote:
Sooo I’ll be leaving clanton headed back to bham around 730 will I be good?
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:11 pm to rds dc
quote:
Main round of storms now starting to fire over Mississippi.
Looks like they're lining up pretty quickly on radar. That's a good sign.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:18 pm to slackster
quote:
Looks like they're lining up pretty quickly on radar. That's a good sign.
Looks like that's about where the cold front associated with the low to the NW is. So that ought to stay a nice line and just get meaner looking over the afternoon.
With sun showing through in the moderate zone, it'll be the typical game of watching for discrete cells out in front as far as I can tell as the warm sector migrates north.
quote:
...Discussion... The existing outlook areas, and associated forecast reasoning, remain valid and in line with current thinking. The main adjustments to the outlook at this time will be confined to minor tweaks, mainly to remove areas near the mid-Mississippi Valley where the front has progressed eastward, and some tweaks to the tornado risk over middle Tennessee where it has been slow to destabilize. Otherwise, convection continues to increase as breaks in the clouds from Tennessee south to northeast Mississippi and northwest Alabama are allowing gradual northward destabilization to occur. With the strongest ascent now spreading into the Tennessee Valley per the latest WV imagery, and as the deep-layer wind field across the area correspondingly strengthens with time over the next few hours, expect several severe/supercell storms to evolve along with attendant severe/tornado potential.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:29 pm to Duke
Just got the alert that Shelby County is under tornado watch now.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:31 pm to Flanders
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CDT Mon Mar 19 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and central Alabama
Northeast Mississippi
Southern Tennessee
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Several severe storms will develop along a cold front
through this evening producing strong tornadoes, very large hail,
and damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles south of Tupelo MS to 45
miles northeast of Gadsden AL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25040.
This post was edited on 3/19/18 at 3:33 pm
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:32 pm to Flanders
To be expected.
Birmingham NWS planning to send up a balloon right now. That should provide some useful info going into the early evening. Also, FWIW, Birmingham office forecast discussion is pinning the greatest threat of strong tornados west of I65.
Birmingham NWS planning to send up a balloon right now. That should provide some useful info going into the early evening. Also, FWIW, Birmingham office forecast discussion is pinning the greatest threat of strong tornados west of I65.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:35 pm to Duke
quote:Well shite, just how far west of 65 are we talking?
Also, FWIW, Birmingham office forecast discussion is pinning the greatest threat of strong tornados west of I65.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:37 pm to lsuman25
quote:
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
Oh snap...
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:38 pm to Flanders
The whole area has a tornado threat, don't misunderstand. They just mentioned they're watching areas west of I65 for the greatest threat, but the whole watch area should be ready.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:39 pm to Duke
Yeah, I understand. Was just wondering what you heard to be west of 65. I'm about five miles west of 65.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:43 pm to Flanders
They typically will use interstates as boundaries when explaining where they thing the greatest threat is. It's general through past that, because they can't exactly pinpoint where.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:44 pm to Duke
Gothca I'm sure I've heard it defined as such just didn't pay attention to it.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 3:54 pm to Duke
The cell NE of Huntsville is starting to look pretty bad.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 4:05 pm to slackster
The one NW of Tupelo appears to be showing rotation also.
ETA -WARNING now...and LARGE hail...
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Memphis TN
403 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2018
The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
Eastern Union County in northeastern Mississippi...
Northern Lee County in northeastern Mississippi...
Southwestern Prentiss County in northeastern Mississippi...
* Until 430 PM CDT
* At 403 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm producing a tornado was
located near Keownville, or 10 miles east of New Albany, moving
northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
* Locations impacted include...
Booneville, Baldwyn, Guntown, Blair, Wheeler, Blue Springs, Graham,
Jericho, Branyan, Ellistown, Alpine, Jug Fork, Corrona, Graves,
Reese, Geeville, Fairfield, Boggan Bend, Parks and Frankstown.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter or an interior room on the
lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
&&
LAT...LON 3447 8854 3440 8890 3456 8890 3460 8878
3460 8872 3462 8872 3468 8853
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 240DEG 47KT 3448 8884
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.75IN
ETA -WARNING now...and LARGE hail...
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Memphis TN
403 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2018
The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
Eastern Union County in northeastern Mississippi...
Northern Lee County in northeastern Mississippi...
Southwestern Prentiss County in northeastern Mississippi...
* Until 430 PM CDT
* At 403 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm producing a tornado was
located near Keownville, or 10 miles east of New Albany, moving
northeast at 55 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.
* Locations impacted include...
Booneville, Baldwyn, Guntown, Blair, Wheeler, Blue Springs, Graham,
Jericho, Branyan, Ellistown, Alpine, Jug Fork, Corrona, Graves,
Reese, Geeville, Fairfield, Boggan Bend, Parks and Frankstown.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter or an interior room on the
lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
&&
LAT...LON 3447 8854 3440 8890 3456 8890 3460 8878
3460 8872 3462 8872 3468 8853
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 240DEG 47KT 3448 8884
TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.75IN
This post was edited on 3/19/18 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 3/19/18 at 4:15 pm to NorthEndZone
Almost looks like two tornadoes in the warning box. Booneville and just south for one, and another about to slide north of Baldwyn.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 4:31 pm to Duke
What started off as a pretty distinct line in MS is becoming a bit more discrete headed to AL. That's not good news.
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