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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:01 pm to doublecutter
I was there on Sunday. You're probably right.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:01 pm to c on z
Winds up to 60
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:03 pm to geauxtigers87
We looking at a hurricane now?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:04 pm to OceanMan
Not yet ... isn't it 70 or 75
Mph sustained??
Mph sustained??
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:04 pm to OceanMan
quote:
We looking at a hurricane now?
Cat 1 is 74-95. Not quite yet.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:04 pm to tiger91
74 mph
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:04 pm to Large Farva
quote:
So nola won't get it bad
Seems like the opposite to me?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:05 pm to OceanMan
This path is exactly Rita just about 150 mph less.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:05 pm to tiger91
I suppose I meant, does it look like it is heating up enough to get there?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:06 pm to The Boat
so driving to atlanta on thursday morning....
retarded, or not?
retarded, or not?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:06 pm to jdd48
New forecast track:
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:06 pm to slackster
quote:
This thing is a mess at the center.
On the last few vis loops today, it looked like there were still multiple vorts spinning around down there in the somewhat elongated "center" of the system.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:07 pm to OceanMan
quote:
I suppose I meant, does it look like it is heating up enough to get there?
According to the advisory discussion, no.
"Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and nearby ships indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected on Wednesday. Slight weakening is forecast to begin on
Thursday."
Fingers crossed that they're right.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:07 pm to The Boat
Rita is not a good memory.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:07 pm to Large Farva
quote:
So nola won't get it bad
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:08 pm to rocket31
I mean I've been looking at all of the maps and I'll I've seen is the worst in the uptown area is 6". If I'm wrong please tell me
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:08 pm to OceanMan
quote:
Tropical Storm Cindy Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
1000 PM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017
Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and nearby
ship D5DY4 indicate that Cindy has strengthened to 50 kt based on
peak SFMR and flight-level winds of 51 kt and 62 kt, respectively,
and the ship report of winds near 50 kt. The NHC greatly
appreciates the observations reported by ships C6CE8, ABVZ5, D5DY4,
V7MO2, and WHED, which have been navigating through and near the
center of Cindy for the past several hours.
The initial motion estimate is 310/06 kt based on recent
reconnaissance fixes. A northwestward motion is expected for the
next 24 hours, after which Cindy is expected to recurve northward
and then northeastward around the western portion of the strong
subtropical ridge located over the southeastern United States. The
18Z model guidance has shifted slightly to the east, and the new
NHC track has been adjusted a little to the east as well, close to
the consensus track model TVCA. Given the nature of the circulation
and the fact that wind and rain hazards extend well north and east
of the center, users are encouraged not to focus on the details of
the track forecast.
Although Cindy has strengthened this evening, little change in
strength is expected for the next 12 hours or so, followed by
gradual weakening thereafter due to the combination of strong
vertical wind shear and abundance of dry mid-level preventing the
development of significant inner-core convection. The new NHC
intensity follows the trend of the previous advisory and is a
little above the intensity consensus model IVCN.
The 34-kt wind radii were expanded in the northwest and northeast
quadrants based on recon wind data, and observations from coastal
and offshore buoy data. This has required and eastward extension of
the Tropical Storm Warning along the north-central Gulf coast.
That must be fun.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:09 pm to jdd48
Thanks for the insight
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:09 pm to jdd48
Seems like a stronger storm would tighten the circulation and not be such a widespread rainmaker?
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