Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us CA Prop 50 projected to pass | Page 4 | Political Talk
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re: CA Prop 50 projected to pass

Posted on 11/4/25 at 11:22 pm to
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
63980 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 11:22 pm to
quote:

ETA: I don’t need an article to explain it. I’ve literally done the work myself on squeezing districts within current constitutional parameters. It’s just not the overall game changer you’re wanting it to be, and that’s with today’s politics. These things change constantly. Should we go through this every two years now? Just redrawing lines every election?


If you had done the work yourself, you'd know the GOP absolutely will dominate the House if this moves forward.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
36236 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

If you had done the work yourself, you'd know the GOP absolutely will dominate the House if this moves forward.

Let’s bookmark and revisit this a year from now. Neither party will “dominate” the House for the foreseeable future. Single digit majorities isn’t “domination”.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
63980 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 11:25 pm to
quote:

Let’s bookmark and revisit this a year from now. Neither party will “dominate” the House for the foreseeable future. Single digit majorities isn’t “domination”.


Go ahead. You will be shocked when everything I've said is accurate. Assuming GOP states do what they should.
Posted by DemonKA3268
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2015
21180 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 11:25 pm to
quote:

You’re on a message board. If you don’t think it should exist, don’t frequent it. Seems pretty simple.


Honestly, not against you but all the crying in the world isn’t going to fix this country.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
36236 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

Assuming GOP states do what they should.

Are there any that can realistically squeeze more than one seat? And how many of those are you counting?

Let’s say KS, MO, LA, AL, SC, NC. Who am I missing? I’m just not seeing where something like a 222-213 house is some sort of massive W that’s worth the constant redistricting.
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
63980 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:13 am to
quote:

Who am I missing?


Florida and Ohio.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
36236 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:22 am to
quote:

Florida and Ohio.

So that gets us to say 12-15 seats net for thE GOP. Hell, let’s say it gets us to 20. Are 237 seats the enormous and irreversible mandate you’re referring to?

Because 20+ seats have been flipped no less than four times in the past couple decades.
This post was edited on 11/5/25 at 12:25 am
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
63980 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:42 am to
quote:

So that gets us to say 12-15 seats net for thE GOP. Hell, let’s say it gets us to 20. Are 237 seats the enormous and irreversible mandate you’re referring to?

Because 20+ seats have been flipped no less than four times in the past couple decades.




These aren't going to be swing districts.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
36236 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 12:47 am to
quote:

These aren't going to be swing districts.

Not for 2026, no. But it’ll give that super-powerful 230-240 seats I guess. Which means nothing because of the Senate.

So what happens in 2027? Are we districting again for 2028 based on where votes shifted? For 2030?

The comes the Census so we’re starting fresh again?

I don’t think you see the forest through the trees.
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
19235 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 5:02 am to
The supreme court would rule on these districts ultimately. You cant purposely draw lines to discriminate against other people.

Its how fricking gerrymandering started and then its how it was reversed and you ended up with an absurd amount of democratic gerrymandered districts.

If all things were equal, yes republicans would end up with far more districts because the supreme court would undo the whole mess.
Posted by weagle1999
Member since May 2025
2385 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 5:07 am to
quote:

It's time.


Blue states control most of both coasts, including the entire Pacific coast and Hawaii.
Posted by abitaman6363
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
465 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 5:48 am to
We should elect our politicians rather than let the system elect them. Both sides gerrymander and it is anathema to democracy.

At minimum, we should prohibit mid-decade redistricting and require bipartisan commissions to draw fair, transparent maps.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
470893 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 5:53 am to
quote:

So what happens in 2027? Are we districting again for 2028 based on where votes shifted? For 2030?

The comes the Census so we’re starting fresh again?

I don’t think you see the forest through the trees.


The simple fact is that there are more DEMs in this country than Reps. This has led to a lot of wasted votes for DEMs over the years in overly-saturated districts. If the DEMs really want to maximize their vote/district, they can create more solid blue districts.

And if they can ever flip one or 2 of those lightly-populated Western states (Montana, Wyoming, etc. ) then they'll own the Senate, too, taking advantage of that structural advantage the GOP has enjoyed for decades.
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
16036 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 5:59 am to
quote:

Lots of Republicans forget, when they are in power, that there are more Democrats in the US


*communists. The Democrat party does not exist.
Posted by IMSA_Fan
Member since Jul 2024
606 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 6:09 am to
It’s something like 18% of the population controls the majority of the Senate
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
113747 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 6:13 am to
quote:

Stop LARPing


I'm not larping.

The Constitution is a contract just like any other and in its inception is essentially a marriage contract with a pre-nup.

Every divorced person once told another person they would be with them "in good times and in bad until death do us part" (or to that effect).

A married couple would have split and divided up the property (and agreed in visitation/custody) a long time ago.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
470893 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 6:16 am to
There is no possible way for this separation/divorce. You'd be talking about a migration of 200M plus people, and how would the borders be drawn? Take California. About 40% of California votes GOP. Or TX, where it's more like 45%. That is literally unworkable.

And how can you break up a state like TX where all the cities are blue? You can't do it geographically.

Plus all the blue areas would have all of the jobs in their little islands. Are we going to be like the EU with free travel/work permits, etc?

It's just dumb.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
113747 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 6:23 am to
quote:

There is no possible way for this separation/divorce. You'd be talking about a migration of 200M plus people, and how would the borders be drawn? Take California. About 40% of California votes GOP. Or TX, where it's more like 45%. That is literally unworkable.

And how can you break up a state like TX where all the cities are blue? You can't do it geographically.

Plus all the blue areas would have all of the jobs in their little islands. Are we going to be like the EU with free travel/work permits, etc?


Nothing worth doing is easy.

quote:

It's just dumb.


I'm sure you tell your clients that when they come in for your services.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
470893 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 6:24 am to
quote:

Nothing worth doing is easy.


So you haven't the slightest clue? I figured

It's not hard. It's not possible.

quote:

I'm sure you tell your clients that when they come in for your services.

If my clients do/say something dumb, I'm quite open about it. If they can't handle it then I don't want to work with them.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30763 posts
Posted on 11/5/25 at 6:26 am to
quote:

Lol no they won't.


they already have started

texas, missouri,etc
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