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re: Just on Fox News saying Trump knows he isn’t winning Wisconsin?
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:22 pm to rashman
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:22 pm to rashman
quote:
Are you saying I shouldn’t post here since I’m new and so close to the election? I can respect that if so...
Dude I don't know your arse from a hole in the ground.
Post whatever you want but generally brand new posters that come out of the woodwork are notorious for being trolls.
Saying with certainty Wisconsin is lost certainly seems like a troll.
0
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:22 pm to Rebel
quote:
Two years later, Cahaly’s method once again proved solid. In one of the most polled races of the cycle, Trafalgar stood alone as the only polling firm to correctly show a Ron DeSantis gubernatorial victory in Florida – as well as Rick Scott winning the Senate race there. (Both narrow outcomes will likely result in recounts.)
quote:
Trafalgar also correctly predicted Senate outcomes in Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Texas and West Virginia (as of this writing Arizona remains undecided), making it the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.
quote:
In the Georgia governor race, Cahaly’s results showed a big win for Republican Brian Kemp over Democrat Stacey Abrams. The final result, however, was a much closer Kemp victory. Cahaly gave credit to the Abrams campaign.
“They did a great job of registering voters late and bringing lots of new people into the process,” he told RealClearPolitics by phone on Thursday.
The same was true in Texas, Cahaly said, where Beto O’Rourke finished just 2.6 percentage points behind Ted Cruz.
Real Clear Politics discussing Trafalgar In 2018
This election is going to end some polling firms, depending on who wins.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:23 pm to rashman
quote:
rashman
Member since Oct 2020
30 posts
Online
Share Blue sending in its little douche's.
Going to enjoy the libs crying Nov 4th
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 2:24 pm
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:24 pm to shoelessjoe
Well they are likely right
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:26 pm to Rebel
quote:
Ahhh. But the other polling services that had Beto winning by as much as 10 were more accurate than Trafalgar that at least picked the winner.
Good lord, I hadn't heard that. Some polls had Beto up by 10?
That's absurd.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:28 pm to rashman
quote:
Trump ain't winning Wisconsin. Sorry.
This post will not age well.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:28 pm to LosLobos111
quote:Bernie - not for free.
And the DNC forced everyone else to drop out
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:28 pm to rashman
quote:Polling who exactly? 20 liberals in the parking lot? You didn’t learn your lesson with polls and 2016?
When polling has Biden up by high single digits
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:30 pm to rashman
Just as an FYI: Clinton "averaged" 6.5 points ahead of Trump at the end, but he won Wisconsin with a 0.7 points advantage, a swing of 7.2 points that pollsters didn't catch at all.
Based on that, Trump should win Wisconsin this go round by at-least 2.6 points.
Based on that, Trump should win Wisconsin this go round by at-least 2.6 points.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 2:31 pm
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:30 pm to shoelessjoe
Marquette has it within MOE - anybody saying its gone has an agenda
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:32 pm to SirWinston
quote:
Marquette has it within MOE - anybody saying its gone has an agenda
Or is stupid.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:33 pm to HubbaBubba
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:34 pm to Scruffy
We may have lost rashman with all of those facts.
You know how much those people love science.
You know how much those people love science.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:35 pm to RuLSU
2018 Texas Senate polling
There’s a lot of bullshite in this thread about the Texas race in 2018. The final real clear politics average had Cruz up by almost 7. He won by 2.6
Traflagar had Cruz up 9. There is not one poll on RCP showing Beto leading. Some had it as a close race, which it was. Some people are straight up making things up and conservatives are believing it because they want to.
quote:
Good lord, I hadn't heard that. Some polls had Beto up by 10?
That's absurd.
There’s a lot of bullshite in this thread about the Texas race in 2018. The final real clear politics average had Cruz up by almost 7. He won by 2.6
Traflagar had Cruz up 9. There is not one poll on RCP showing Beto leading. Some had it as a close race, which it was. Some people are straight up making things up and conservatives are believing it because they want to.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:37 pm to ValDawgsta
Plenty of polls had Beto up.
Then they starting tightening as Election Day approached.
Just as they are doing now.
Then they starting tightening as Election Day approached.
Just as they are doing now.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:38 pm to Rebel
quote:
Plenty of polls had Beto up.
Then they starting tightening as Election Day approached.
Just as they are doing now.
Did they get scrubbed off RCP? I’m earnestly asking here cause I thought I remembered it that way too.
RCP has polls from April to November with none showing Beto leading
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:40 pm to ladyluckUGA
quote:They are leading in mail in ballot requests too.
GOP leading EV by 6 points WI is very red this year.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:40 pm to shoelessjoe
Who said this, Donna?
After Kenosha Trump has Wisconsin locked up.
After Kenosha Trump has Wisconsin locked up.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:42 pm to shoelessjoe
Watch Trump Card and you will find your answer there. They don’t give a crap about the truth, they are there to program your brain.
Posted on 10/25/20 at 2:44 pm to ValDawgsta
quote:
There’s a lot of bullshite in this thread about the Texas race in 2018. The final real clear politics average had Cruz up by almost 7. He won by 2.6
Traflagar had Cruz up 9.
So what you are saying is they weren't more wrong than the average without it being skewed down by Emerson, which is a plus D pollster?
What does any of this have to do with Wisconsin? Trafalgar would seem as likely to be correct as anybody.
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